2011 Kevin (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 698.52 points

10th place

3.08 expected wins (0.439)

31-46 all-play record (0.403)

-13.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 92.47 120.97 Rob -28.50
2 W 106.90 102.41 Babel 4.49
3 W 113.31 81.20 Dave 32.11
4 L 90.08 115.80 Ed -25.72
5 W 154.68 98.46 Matt 56.22 Team Blangums
6 L 84.80 89.22 Pulley -4.42
7 L 56.28 75.32 Mike R. -19.04
8 Allen
9 Rabbit
10 Derrek
11 Pat
12 Matt
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923236.7%235.7884615384615271.9999999999999930.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692370.3%42.519230769230774140.7199152555978705.4%106.9423076923077131.0350859111943122.7%171.365384615384698.3988827994824420.0%235.788461538461522.769230769230745325.9%300.211538461538592.467224333826348.1%364.6346153846155125.9744276148222550.9%429.0576923076924139.5016827944580260.0%493.4807692307693141.230769230769237Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.00699300699319th109.6307692307692218.4335664335664526th207.5153846153846138.71328671328675311th305.4271.580419580419645th403.28461538461534112.1398601398601659th501.16923076923075218.4335664335664569th599.053846153846218.43356643356645710th11.746153846153845245.00699300699319th109.6307692307692218.4335664335664524th207.515384615384685.5664335664335739th305.4218.4335664335664543rd403.2846153846153458.99300699300701557th501.16923076923075165.2867132867133610th599.053846153846245.006993006993710th11.746153846153845245.006993006993110th109.6307692307692245.00699300699326th207.5153846153846138.71328671328675311th305.4271.580419580419642nd403.2846153846153432.4195804195804355th501.16923076923075112.1398601398601669th599.053846153846218.433566433566457Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Chris Johnson RB
2.09 21 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.04 28 Stevie Johnson WR
4.09 45 Vernon Davis TE
5.04 52 Anquan Boldin WR
6.09 69 Roy Helu, Jr. RB
7.04 76 LeSean McCoy K RB
8.09 93 Eli Manning QB
9.04 100 Rashad Jennings RB
10.09 117 Donald Driver WR
11.04 124 Ben Tate RB
12.09 141 Brandon Pettigrew TE
13.04 148 Sam Bradford K QB
14.09 165 Josh Brown K
15.04 172 New Orleans DEF
16.09 189 Delone Carter RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934137.3710106899874310.59798.7604395604395597.2102151821377720.698158.9802197802197690.4160511431304330.000219.19999999999996137.3710106899874340.937279.419780219780274.2978636099406850.000339.6395604395604137.3710106899874360.000399.8593406593406137.3710106899874370.34438.54065934065934114.2011489902569310.00098.7604395604395557.049419674288120.000158.9802197802197643.4610915962734530.304219.19999999999996116.8967197634565940.000279.419780219780211.22471652989392550.224339.6395604395604122.265766467452626-0.029399.8593406593406139.300889960378337Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692314102.8153846153846116.0559440559440529165.5076923076922884.5874125874125930228.19999999999996141.23076923076923411290.892307692307772.050353.5846153846154141.2307692307692360416.2769230769231141.230769230769237240.12307692307692128.6433566433566410102.815384615384690.881118881118920165.5076923076922827.94405594405594732228.19999999999996128.6433566433566440290.89230769230772.769230769230773652353.5846153846154128.6433566433566461416.2769230769231134.937062937062937All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Kevin 3-4 10th 99.79 0.439 28.06 6-7 8th
1 977 2024 Richie 3-4 8th 99.70 0.449 26.26 8-6 5th
2 973 2023 Schertz 4-3 7th 96.72 0.433 26.49 6-8 9th
3 971 2011 Derrek 4-3 7th 96.54 0.434 25.65 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 962 2024 Matt 3-4 10th 94.93 0.444 23.35 8-6 6th
5 959 2019 Kevin 4-3 5th 104.06 0.435 35.08 6-7 8th
6 957 2020 Derrek 4-3 6th 97.57 0.431 19.95 8-5 5th 5th place
7 956 2019 Babel 4-3 7th 98.04 0.428 20.66 8-5 5th 5th place
8 952 2018 Rabbit 3-4 9th 102.21 0.427 21.01 7-6 7th
9 948 2012 Dave 3-4 8th 92.71 0.446 22.57 6-7 7th
10 946 2013 Rabbit 2-5 13th 94.90 0.422 27.56 5-8 11th