2015 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 696.72 points

9th place

2.98 expected wins (0.372)

39-65 all-play record (0.375)

-7.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 65.49 87.11 Rabbit -21.62 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 82.17 72.40 Pat 9.77
3 L 67.24 155.50 Babel -88.26 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 67.48 79.87 Ed -12.39
5 W 97.49 84.98 Schertz 12.51
6 W 108.94 101.40 Kevin 7.54
7 L 87.26 93.86 Mike R. -6.60
8 W 120.65 105.99 Matt 14.66
9 Richie
10 Rob
11 Dave
12 Pulley
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923322.5%268.096.730463900488740.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.7%38.940170940170944139.8786452175009207.7%96.20512820512818126.09247246118593125.6%153.4700854700854890.60563283395135235.0%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.052.2301585702081647.2%325.2649572649573126.9556632463727151.2%382.52991452991455138.9403918312811560.1%439.79487179487177141.0543131598496470.0%497.05982905982904141.225560118941768Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544711th599.053846153846230.698224852071814th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th95.64725274725272230.698224852071214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613413th347.3505494505494275.6686390532544510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793611th515.1527472527472230.69822485207179th599.053846153846185.7278106508876814th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613114th95.64725274725272298.15384615384613214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613413th347.3505494505494275.6686390532544513th431.2516483516483275.6686390532544613th515.1527472527472275.6686390532544711th599.053846153846230.6982248520718Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Matt Forte RB
2.09 23 Frank Gore K RB
3.06 34 Andrew Luck K QB
4.09 51 Allen Robinson II WR
5.06 62 Nelson Agholor WR
6.09 79 Shane Vereen RB
7.06 90 Davante Adams WR
8.09 107 Breshad Perriman WR
9.06 118 Owen Daniels TE
10.09 135 Houston DEF
11.06 146 Teddy Bridgewater QB
12.09 163 Terrance West RB
13.06 174 Dwayne Bowe WR
14.09 191 Jeremy Langford RB
15.06 202 Caleb Sturgis K
16.09 219 Cordarrelle Patterson WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.26487.46923076923076122.9581337080516320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.505245.54615384615386106.2641087572965450.706298.238461538461592.3770437540135660.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.868403.623076923076981.137839753811580.08934.776923076923076135.0610176920912410.00087.46923076923076104.6854981853340420.103140.16153846153844134.1291524463717330.104192.85384615384618134.0382387638625240.000245.5461538461538671.2974482838238550.000298.238461538461543.5233182772578760.340350.93076923076916117.6965043328306670.000403.623076923076921.04491027685388Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231291.06057692307692130.5798816568047320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692347255.6278846153846103.9526627218934959310.4836538461538693.3017751479289960365.3394230769231141.23076923076923712420.195192307692377.325443786982258036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692119.9289940828402320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692333200.77211538461538125.2544378698224840255.627884615384666.6745562130177550310.4836538461538645.37278106508874566365.3394230769231109.2781065088757470420.195192307692313.420118343195278All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Derrek 4-4 9th 87.09 0.372 19.30 7-6 7th
1 983 2017 Matt 3-5 11th 85.38 0.374 15.45 5-8 11th
2 980 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th
3 980 2012 Kevin 3-5 10th 88.05 0.379 17.59 5-8 10th
4 973 2008 Katie 2-6 11th 83.07 0.375 16.89 5-8 10th
5 973 2020 Pat 3-5 12th 92.04 0.369 19.75 5-8 12th
6 973 2013 Allen 4-4 9th 88.36 0.367 13.13 4-9 14th
7 962 2008 Dave 4-4 9th 83.10 0.380 15.68 5-8 11th
8 957 2010 Kevin 2-6 11th 86.20 0.389 16.73 5-8 10th
9 956 2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.383 15.09 6-7 10th
10 955 2013 Derrek 5-3 5th 90.32 0.387 20.09 7-6 7th