2013 Allen (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 706.85 points

9th place

2.94 expected wins (0.367)

43-61 all-play record (0.413)

+8.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 W 80.75 43.90 Kevin 36.85
9 Schertz
10 Rob
11 Babel
12 Pulley
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923321.4%268.092.7973360524891340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692381.8%38.940170940170944137.13722951431706010.6%96.20512820512818117.33944045650264124.9%153.4700854700854885.00274658378011230.6%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.044.36390287420904648.6%325.2649572649573121.716819895299451.9%382.52991452991455136.891053242605360.2%439.79487179487177140.7642165147812570.0%497.05982905982904141.214612247846168Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th95.64725274725272163.2426035502958526th179.54835164835166118.27218934911241310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.668639053254487th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289925th179.5483516483516695.786982248520739th263.44945054945055185.7278106508876411th347.3505494505494230.698224852071512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272612th515.1527472527472253.1834319526627279th599.053846153846185.727810650887689th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th95.64725274725272163.2426035502958527th179.54835164835166140.75739644970415312th263.44945054945055253.18343195266272412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.66863905325448Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.63534.77692307692307697.300080541585810.57987.46923076923076101.1639120482275420.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.325350.93076923076916118.744345403447570.229403.6230769230769125.4037726472476980.00034.77692307692307653.3693918524023610.00087.4692307692307661.0970548656858620.475140.16153846153844108.3233645458284430.058192.85384615384618137.2339155837596540.238245.54615384615386124.7446484490558650.401298.2384615384615113.4827160282265360.000350.9307692307691696.2579215761257770.000403.6230769230769109.576776063726168Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678536.20480769230769114.603550295857991791.06057692307692103.9526627218934920145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692366365.3394230769231109.2781065088757476420.1951923076923109.278106508875748036.2048076923076987.976331360946741091.0605769230769266.6745562130177528145.9163461538461598.6272189349112430200.77211538461538141.2307692307692344255.6278846153846119.9289940828402357310.48365384615386103.9526627218934960365.339423076923177.3254437869822570420.195192307692377.325443786982258All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 4-4 9th 88.36 0.367 13.13 4-9 14th
1 980 2016 Mike R. 2-6 14th 89.94 0.369 18.28 5-8 11th
2 973 2015 Derrek 4-4 9th 87.09 0.372 19.30 7-6 7th
3 971 2017 Matt 3-5 11th 85.38 0.374 15.45 5-8 11th
4 969 2020 Pat 3-5 12th 92.04 0.369 19.75 5-8 12th
5 967 2012 Kevin 3-5 10th 88.05 0.379 17.59 5-8 10th
6 966 2016 Derrek 2-6 13th 89.98 0.357 16.89 3-10 14th
7 959 2022 Pat 3-5 12th 88.28 0.350 15.77 8-6 6th 6th place
8 956 2023 Richie 1-7 14th 92.48 0.381 12.88 4-10 13th
9 956 2014 Allen 4-4 8th 90.76 0.383 15.09 6-7 10th
10 955 2008 Katie 2-6 11th 83.07 0.375 16.89 5-8 10th