2022 Derrek (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 820.68 points

7th place

4.27 expected wins (0.534)

54-50 all-play record (0.519)

+11.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 137.10 91.48 Matt 45.62 Team Blangums
2 L 84.98 93.01 Ed -8.03
3 W 79.38 74.12 Mike R. 5.26
4 L 94.52 127.48 Dave -32.96
5 W 121.68 98.61 Pat 23.07
6 L 81.37 113.64 Rob -32.27
7 L 121.18 139.37 Kevin -18.19
8 W 100.47 97.78 Babel 2.69
9 Matt
10 Richie
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Pulley
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923333.5%268.072.040.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.1962152378495400.5%96.20512820512818140.170427741400914.9%153.47008547008548131.06055034691857219.6%210.73504273504273100.7846375010542830.0%268.02.7692307692307736427.6%325.264957264957384.11399473406533511.4%382.52991452991455117.5994330428138762.3%439.79487179487177136.5170627502502670.2%497.05982905982904140.87046041270538Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek1st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th95.64725274725272118.2721893491124129th179.54835164835166185.727810650887638th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958547th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041558th431.2516483516483163.2426035502958567th515.1527472527472140.7573964497041577th599.053846153846140.7573964497041581st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381116th95.64725274725272118.2721893491124127th179.54835164835166140.7573964497041537th263.44945054945055140.7573964497041546th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124157th431.2516483516483140.75739644970415610th515.1527472527472208.213017751479377th599.053846153846140.7573964497041581st11.7461538461538455.84615384615381115th95.6472527472527295.786982248520728th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958537th263.44945054945055140.7573964497041547th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041557th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041567th515.1527472527472140.7573964497041577th599.053846153846140.757396449704158Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Jonathan Taylor K RB
2.03 17 D.J. Moore WR
3.12 40 Antonio Gibson RB
4.03 45 Patrick Mahomes II QB
5.12 68 DeAndre Hopkins WR
6.03 73 Hunter Renfrow WR
7.12 96 Justin Jefferson K WR
8.03 101 Dawson Knox TE
9.12 124 Alexander Mattison RB
10.03 129 Michael Carter RB
11.12 152 Raheem Mostert RB
12.03 157 Tampa Bay DEF
13.12 180 Matt Ryan QB
14.03 185 Daniel Carlson K
15.12 208 Tyrion Davis-Price RB
16.03 213 Sony Michel RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.94534.77692307692307675.8273036877764410.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.193140.16153846153844127.8526585036762230.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.846245.5461538461538682.6571940862814150.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.523403.6230769230769105.0219599835489580.00034.77692307692307610.42383814478364510.27487.46923076923076122.2614670293593420.000140.16153846153844114.4745477765832430.428192.85384615384618111.5904735448399240.000245.5461538461538624.0836189417935950.218298.2384615384615126.125298536001160.843350.9307692307691682.8844782925544670.000403.623076923076968.813150736328688Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781336.2048076923076972.01091.06057692307692141.2307692307692322145.91634615384615130.5798816568047330200.77211538461538141.23076923076923411255.627884615384682.650887573964550310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692373420.1951923076923125.254437869822488036.204807692307692.76923076923077361591.06057692307692114.6035502958579920145.91634615384615119.9289940828402335200.77211538461538114.6035502958579940255.627884615384624.07100591715975253310.48365384615386125.25443786982248612365.339423076923177.3254437869822570420.1951923076923109.278106508875748All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
1 989 2024 Babel 6-2 2nd 103.16 0.529 20.10 9-5 4th
2 984 2024 Ed 4-4 7th 103.03 0.531 16.33 6-8 9th
3 983 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.536 21.73 6-8 10th
4 981 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.539 24.26 5-8 10th
5 978 2013 Dave 3-5 11th 100.42 0.530 23.00 7-6 5th 4th place
6 974 2020 Mike R. 3-5 11th 102.92 0.534 8.57 6-7 11th
7 971 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.538 26.50 5-9 12th
8 971 2018 Ed 3-5 9th 108.91 0.533 18.87 6-7 9th
9 965 2016 Ed 4-4 7th 100.49 0.524 16.57 6-7 9th
10 963 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.544 15.87 6-7 9th