2024 Pat (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 839.92 points

3rd place

4.29 expected wins (0.536)

55-49 all-play record (0.529)

-14.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 90.24 75.23 Derrek 15.01
2 W 82.85 72.58 Kevin 10.27
3 L 128.26 134.07 Ed -5.81
4 W 108.54 87.50 Pulley 21.04
5 L 81.26 126.18 Mike R. -44.92
6 W 145.60 81.08 Babel 64.52 Team Blangums
7 W 113.45 102.58 Rabbit 10.87
8 L 89.72 93.48 Derrek -3.76
9 Matt
10 Dave
11 Rob
12 Richie
13 Scott
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923427.8%325.264957264957383.197555592509250.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.1982515420859300.5%96.20512820512818140.1457733838769915.0%153.47008547008548130.80140733855836219.1%210.73504273504273101.52057601021205333.2%268.072.040.0%325.264957264957325.16434195424918511.8%382.52991452991455116.7292392867255362.4%439.79487179487177136.2186930852566370.2%497.05982905982904140.836579699240428Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th95.64725274725272230.69822485207128th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958536th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124149th347.3505494505494185.727810650887655th431.251648351648395.786982248520764th515.152747252747273.3017751479289975th599.05384615384695.786982248520785th11.74615384615384595.786982248520714th95.6472527472527273.3017751479289925th179.5483516483516695.786982248520733rd263.4494505494505550.81656804733728447th347.3505494505494140.7573964497041554th431.251648351648373.3017751479289962nd515.152747252747228.33136094674557673rd599.05384615384650.81656804733728487th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415111th95.64725274725272230.69822485207127th179.54835164835166140.7573964497041534th263.4494505494505573.3017751479289948th347.3505494505494163.2426035502958554th431.251648351648373.3017751479289964th515.152747252747273.3017751479289975th599.05384615384695.78698224852078Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Derrick Henry RB
2.12 26 Kenneth Walker III RB
3.03 31 Malik Nabers WR
4.12 54 Aaron Jones RB
5.03 59 Chris Olave K WR
6.12 82 Courtland Sutton WR
7.03 87 Caleb Williams QB
8.12 110 Dalton Kincaid K TE
9.03 115 Jakobi Meyers WR
10.12 138 Tua Tagovailoa QB
11.03 143 Cole Kmet TE
12.12 166 Ray Davis RB
13.03 171 Braelon Allen RB
14.12 194 Jermaine Burton WR
15.03 199 Jake Elliott K
16.12 222 Houston DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.33434.776923076923076118.075074588904210.22287.46923076923076125.8368302331286520.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.650192.8538461538461896.2557907866919640.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.953298.238461538461575.254730127062760.727350.9307692307691690.8691550980208370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307694.9193799470391810.00087.46923076923076110.4428912354880820.876140.1615384615384480.5959089744792230.000192.8538461538461851.2808123426147140.198245.54615384615386127.5300975698628350.000298.23846153846159.27869102335617460.000350.9307692307691640.50754096527242670.326403.6230769230769118.677377735527778Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678736.20480769230769103.952662721893491291.06057692307692130.5798816568047320145.91634615384615141.2307692307692339200.7721153846153893.3017751479289940255.6278846153846141.23076923076923513310.4836538461538672.0610365.339423076923187.9763313609467470420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076966.674556213017751091.06057692307692119.92899408284023212145.9163461538461577.3254437869822530200.7721153846153845.37278106508874541255.6278846153846135.9053254437869850310.483653846153862.769230769230773660365.339423076923134.7218934911242571420.1951923076923135.905325443786988All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.536 21.73 6-8 10th
1 983 2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
2 978 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.539 24.26 5-8 10th
3 977 2024 Babel 6-2 2nd 103.16 0.529 20.10 9-5 4th
4 973 2018 Ed 3-5 9th 108.91 0.533 18.87 6-7 9th
5 972 2020 Schertz 3-5 10th 104.78 0.544 15.87 6-7 9th
6 971 2024 Ed 4-4 7th 103.03 0.531 16.33 6-8 9th
7 969 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.538 26.50 5-9 12th
8 968 2018 Matt 5-3 6th 109.78 0.542 22.43 8-5 4th 2nd place
9 967 2013 Dave 3-5 11th 100.42 0.530 23.00 7-6 5th 4th place
10 963 2011 Mike R. 5-3 3rd 105.74 0.551 19.86 6-7 9th