2013 Dave (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 803.37 points

11th place

4.24 expected wins (0.530)

55-49 all-play record (0.529)

+21.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 97.74 135.65 Rabbit -37.91
2 L 70.28 91.19 Pat -20.91
3 W 141.62 105.11 Ed 36.51
4 W 118.62 112.11 Babel 6.51
5 L 108.89 167.43 Rob -58.54
6 W 111.53 67.52 Schertz 44.01
7 L 81.10 86.96 Allen -5.86
8 L 73.59 109.47 Derrek -35.88
9 Pulley
10 Matt
11 Richie
12 Mike R.
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923219.2%210.73504273504273103.0099953943771430.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.0%38.940170940170944141.2156282674100.5%96.20512820512818140.2900435361032714.8%153.47008547008548131.606336438772620.0%210.7350427350427364.78922155798506334.9%268.072.0428.7%325.264957264957384.16229169705548510.2%382.52991452991455120.955536726361861.5%439.79487179487177138.1610139328605670.1%497.05982905982904141.0671605253338Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793113th95.64725274725272275.668639053254428th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958535th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289964th515.152747252747273.3017751479289974th599.05384615384673.30177514792899810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th95.64725274725272298.1538461538461329th179.54835164835166185.727810650887635th263.4494505494505595.7869822485207410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479357th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041569th515.1527472527472185.7278106508876711th599.053846153846230.698224852071810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th95.64725274725272298.1538461538461326th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124135th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289964th515.152747252747273.3017751479289975th599.05384615384695.78698224852078Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Steven Jackson RB
2.07 21 Roddy White WR
3.08 36 Torrey Smith WR
4.07 49 Jason Witten TE
5.08 64 Mike Williams WR
6.07 77 Fred Jackson RB
7.08 92 Josh Gordon WR
8.07 105 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
9.08 120 Cincinnati DEF
10.07 133 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
11.08 148 Darren Sproles K RB
12.07 161 Cam Newton K QB
13.08 176 Matt Prater K
14.07 189 Knowshon Moreno RB
15.08 204 Brandon LaFell WR
16.07 217 E.J. Manuel QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.981140.1615384615384473.3443252004069430.833192.8538461538461883.5493860620666340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.734298.238461538461590.3906406708852660.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.49934.776923076923076106.6641898400352210.11687.46923076923076133.176892501785820.000140.161538461538445.45788117004465830.000192.8538461538461825.86800289336403640.694245.5461538461538693.1748721977300550.000298.238461538461539.5505121110012860.234350.93076923076916125.0514821275244870.146403.6230769230769131.142698855642078Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.06057692307692141.23076923076923212145.9163461538461577.32544378698225310200.7721153846153887.9763313609467440255.6278846153846141.23076923076923511310.4836538461538682.650887573964560365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238436.20480769230769119.928994082840231191.06057692307692135.9053254437869820145.9163461538461513.4201183431952730200.7721153846153834.7218934911242549255.627884615384693.3017751479289950310.4836538461538624.07100591715975264365.3394230769231119.9289940828402374420.1951923076923119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Dave 3-5 11th 100.42 0.530 23.00 7-6 5th 4th place
1 983 2024 Babel 6-2 2nd 103.16 0.529 20.10 9-5 4th
2 978 2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
3 976 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.538 26.50 5-9 12th
4 976 2016 Ed 4-4 7th 100.49 0.524 16.57 6-7 9th
5 974 2024 Ed 4-4 7th 103.03 0.531 16.33 6-8 9th
6 974 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.520 23.52 6-7 8th
7 973 2010 Babel 4-4 6th 97.18 0.523 22.22 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 971 2013 Mike R. 5-3 4th 98.02 0.521 24.10 7-6 6th 5th place
9 971 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.539 24.26 5-8 10th
10 967 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.536 21.73 6-8 10th