2013 Dave (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 803.37 points (100.42 average)

11th place

4.25 expected wins (0.531)

55-49 all-play record (0.529)

+20.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 97.74 135.65 Rabbit -37.91
2 L 70.28 91.19 Pat -20.91
3 W 141.62 105.11 Ed 36.51
4 W 118.62 112.11 Babel 6.51
5 L 108.89 167.43 Rob -58.54
6 W 111.53 67.52 Schertz 44.01
7 L 81.10 86.96 Allen -5.86
8 L 73.59 109.47 Derrek -35.88
9 Pulley
10 Matt
11 Richie
12 Mike R.
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923219.1%289.36752136752136102.6272601845197830.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.0%53.470085470085465141.2015809778677600.5%132.1025641025641140.1437383692541815.0%210.73504273504273131.1504681712427220.0%289.3675213675213664.02375113827034334.2%368.072.0428.6%446.632478632478783.30960104628224510.7%525.2649572649573119.534145354361961.7%603.897435897436137.696606003045970.1%682.5299145299145141.02688162233238Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th95.64725274725272298.1538461538461328th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958535th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289964th515.152747252747273.3017751479289974th599.05384615384673.30177514792899810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th95.64725274725272298.1538461538461329th179.54835164835166185.727810650887635th263.4494505494505595.7869822485207410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479357th431.2516483516483140.7573964497041569th515.1527472527472185.7278106508876711th599.053846153846230.698224852071810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793114th95.64725274725272298.1538461538461326th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124135th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289954th431.251648351648373.3017751479289964th515.152747252747273.3017751479289975th599.05384615384695.78698224852078Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Steven Jackson RB
2.07 21 Roddy White WR
3.08 36 Torrey Smith WR
4.07 49 Jason Witten TE
5.08 64 Mike Williams WR
6.07 77 Fred Jackson RB
7.08 92 Josh Gordon WR
8.07 105 Jacquizz Rodgers RB
9.08 120 Cincinnati DEF
10.07 133 Cordarrelle Patterson WR
11.08 148 Darren Sproles K RB
12.07 161 Cam Newton K QB
13.08 176 Matt Prater K
14.07 189 Knowshon Moreno RB
15.08 204 Brandon LaFell WR
16.07 217 E.J. Manuel QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00050.642307692307696141.2307692307692310.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.962204.1038461538461574.5974397303211830.832280.834615384615483.6572234351028840.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.732434.2961538461538690.5508654855467260.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.49250.642307692307696107.1925769991894110.123127.37307692307691132.723536844422220.000204.103846153846157.964110229873142530.000280.834615384615426.0836776394365340.695357.5653846153846393.1041278772647250.000434.2961538461538639.8709617403242360.251511.0269230769231123.8489131451362170.163587.7576923076922129.942808618092478Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678052.07019230769231141.2307692307692310130.96442307692305141.23076923076923212209.8586538461538677.32544378698225310288.7528846153846387.9763313609467440367.6471153846154141.23076923076923511446.541346153846282.650887573964560525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238452.07019230769231119.9289940828402311130.96442307692305135.9053254437869820209.8586538461538613.4201183431952730288.7528846153846334.7218934911242549367.647115384615493.3017751479289950446.541346153846224.07100591715975264525.435576923077119.9289940828402374604.3298076923076119.928994082840238All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Dave 3-5 11th 100.42 0.531 23.00 7-6 5th 4th place
1 980 2022 Derrek 4-4 7th 102.59 0.534 20.22 8-6 4th 4th place
2 979 2024 Babel 6-2 2nd 103.16 0.529 20.10 9-5 4th 4th place
3 976 2024 Ed 4-4 7th 103.03 0.532 16.33 6-8 9th
4 974 2024 Scott 4-4 8th 100.52 0.540 26.50 5-9 12th
5 972 2024 Pat 5-3 3rd 104.99 0.535 21.73 6-8 10th
6 972 2025 Schertz 4-4 7th 101.63 0.522 20.42
7 970 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.519 23.52 6-7 8th
8 970 2010 Babel 4-4 6th 97.18 0.523 22.22 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 968 2015 Babel 4-4 7th 102.44 0.542 24.26 5-8 10th
10 966 2017 Kevin 5-3 5th 94.00 0.532 19.51 10-3 2nd 4th place