2011 Dave (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 405.38 points (101.34 average)

11th place

1.75 expected wins (0.437)

16-28 all-play record (0.364)

+12.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 Derrek
6 Pat
7 Rob
8 Babel
9 Allen
10 Ed
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923031.4%164.9230769230769390.5271474665549210.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692347.0%61.846153846153854129.847119552026300.0%164.9230769230769339.82352570234062142.8%268.0000000000000672.0217.3%371.0769230769231113.3269038388796231.5%474.1538461538462138.87408478878244Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th207.5153846153846191.8601398601399212th403.28461538461534298.1538461538461339th599.053846153846218.4335664335664546th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133210th403.28461538461534245.006993006993311th599.053846153846271.580419580419648th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th207.5153846153846191.8601398601399210th403.28461538461534245.00699300699339th599.053846153846218.433566433566454Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.32961.12307692307692118.4533515648555210.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692320.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769295.6759338989418210.649166.507692307692396.3266881177532620.102271.89230769230767134.137479843256430.667377.27692307692395.048393477900534Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234463.6326923076923116.0559440559440510173.34423076923076141.2307692307692320283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692390.881118881118915173.34423076923076109.7622377622377621283.0557692307692134.9370629370629336392.76730769230767103.468531468531474All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 1-3 11th 101.35 0.437 13.84 3-10 12th
1 975 2020 Babel 2-2 9th 101.98 0.445 10.80 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 971 2020 Schertz 1-3 12th 100.71 0.426 11.09 6-7 9th
3 971 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.446 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 964 2020 Pat 3-1 4th 103.14 0.448 17.26 5-8 12th
5 962 2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.445 11.80 6-8 8th
6 962 2014 Ed 2-2 9th 94.67 0.432 12.75 6-7 8th
7 960 2011 Derrek 2-2 7th 101.92 0.431 27.39 8-5 3rd 6th place
8 955 2012 Pulley 1-3 10th 93.00 0.441 15.26 4-9 12th
9 954 2018 Schertz 2-2 10th 100.33 0.423 6.13 6-7 10th
10 952 2009 Ed 2-2 9th 93.03 0.432 11.73 7-6 4th 6th place