2011 Dave (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 405.38 points (101.34 average)

11th place

1.75 expected wins (0.437)

16-28 all-play record (0.364)

+12.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 95.82 71.61 Pulley 24.21
2 L 113.62 145.29 Mike R. -31.67
3 L 81.20 113.31 Kevin -32.11
4 L 114.74 119.40 Rabbit -4.66
5 Derrek
6 Pat
7 Rob
8 Babel
9 Allen
10 Ed
11 Matt
12 Rob
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%84.9230769230769141.23076923076923031.4%226.4615384615384590.5271411561079310.0%368.0141.2307692307692320.0%509.53846153846155141.2307692307692330.0%651.0769230769231141.2307692307692347.0%84.9230769230769129.847108694889700.0%226.4615384615384539.823513081446634142.8%368.072.0217.3%509.53846153846155113.3268426509694531.5%651.0769230769231138.874070003697034Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th207.5153846153846191.8601398601399212th403.28461538461534298.1538461538461339th599.053846153846218.4335664335664546th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th207.5153846153846165.2867132867133210th403.28461538461534245.006993006993311th599.053846153846271.580419580419648th11.746153846153845191.860139860139918th207.5153846153846191.8601398601399210th403.28461538461534245.00699300699339th599.053846153846218.433566433566454Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Turner RB
2.07 19 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
3.06 30 Antonio Gates TE
4.07 43 Tim Hightower RB
5.06 54 Jeremy Maclin K WR
6.07 67 Josh Freeman QB
7.06 78 Plaxico Burress WR
8.07 91 Brandon Jacobs RB
9.06 102 Green Bay DEF
10.07 115 Mike Williams K WR
11.06 126 Devin Hester WR
12.07 139 Brent Celek TE
13.06 150 Ryan Torain RB
14.07 163 Stephen Gostkowski K
15.06 174 Darren Sproles RB
16.07 187 Cam Newton QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.32989.00769230769231118.4532971595009510.000242.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692330.000549.3923076923077141.2307692307692340.00089.0076923076923195.6758250882326610.649242.4692307692307696.3267120409406320.102395.9307692307692134.1374488274537430.667549.392307692307795.048418006597774Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234491.5173076923077116.0559440559440510249.30576923076922141.2307692307692320407.09423076923076141.2307692307692330564.8826923076923141.230769230769234091.517307692307790.881118881118915249.30576923076922109.7622377622377621407.09423076923076134.9370629370629336564.8826923076923103.468531468531474All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2011 Dave 1-3 11th 101.35 0.437 13.84 3-10 12th
1 975 2020 Babel 2-2 9th 101.98 0.445 10.80 8-5 3rd 3rd place
2 971 2020 Schertz 1-3 12th 100.71 0.426 11.09 6-7 9th
3 971 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.446 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 968 2025 Derrek 2-2 9th 95.65 0.436 17.92
5 964 2020 Pat 3-1 4th 103.14 0.448 17.26 5-8 12th
6 962 2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.445 11.80 6-8 8th
7 962 2014 Ed 2-2 9th 94.67 0.432 12.75 6-7 8th
8 960 2011 Derrek 2-2 7th 101.92 0.431 27.39 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 957 2025 Kevin 2-2 6th 98.07 0.434 26.18
10 955 2012 Pulley 1-3 10th 93.00 0.441 15.26 4-9 12th