2021 Ed (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 388.28 points (97.07 average)

11th place

1.78 expected wins (0.445)

24-28 all-play record (0.462)

+17.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 Kevin
6 Pat
7 Richie
8 Schertz
9 Dave
10 Rabbit
11 Mike R.
12 Pulley
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%84.9230769230769141.23076923076923030.7%226.4615384615384589.1052225332713910.0%368.0141.2307692307692320.0%509.53846153846155141.2307692307692330.0%651.0769230769231141.2307692307692347.4%84.9230769230769128.648064008229300.0%226.4615384615384536.979675835773534140.8%368.072.0218.7%509.53846153846155109.4038377233307532.4%651.0769230769231137.171967404596134Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415210th403.28461538461534208.213017751479339th599.053846153846185.727810650887648th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124129th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876311th599.053846153846230.69822485207145th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th207.5153846153846140.75739644970415210th403.28461538461534208.213017751479339th599.053846153846185.72781065088764Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00089.00769230769231141.2307692307692310.357242.46923076923076116.534198759633920.000395.9307692307692141.2307692307692330.000549.3923076923077141.2307692307692340.65689.0076923076923195.8459320594130610.000242.4692307692307691.8376282884985620.171395.9307692307692129.368517073134530.596549.392307692307799.93753511387714Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234091.5173076923077141.2307692307692315249.30576923076922114.6035502958579920407.09423076923076141.2307692307692330564.8826923076923141.230769230769234991.517307692307793.3017751479289910249.3057692307692287.9763313609467423407.09423076923076125.2544378698224837564.8826923076923103.952662721893494All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.445 11.80 6-8 8th
1 985 2025 Ed 1-3 13th 97.64 0.451 11.73
2 978 2020 Babel 2-2 9th 101.98 0.445 10.80 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 978 2025 Rob 2-2 8th 96.35 0.447 19.66
4 975 2009 Mike R. 1-3 10th 94.38 0.450 9.86 5-8 10th
5 972 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.446 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
6 969 2012 Pulley 1-3 10th 93.00 0.441 15.26 4-9 12th
7 967 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.454 18.27 6-7 7th
8 967 2025 Pat 2-2 7th 97.63 0.452 20.48
9 964 2015 Kevin 2-2 8th 92.03 0.452 12.69 3-10 14th
10 962 2014 Ed 2-2 9th 94.67 0.432 12.75 6-7 8th