2026 Derrek

1-4 (0.200), 498.22 points (99.64 average)

12th place

2.20 expected wins (0.440)

30-35 all-play record (0.462)

+59.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.52 133.20 Pat -32.68
2 W 127.74 107.69 Ed 20.05 Team Blangums
3 L 103.48 111.71 Kevin -8.23
4 L 84.02 143.23 Babel -59.21
5 L 82.46 143.08 Mike R. -60.62
6 Richie
7 Rob
8 Dave
9 Pat
10 Schertz
11 Pulley
12 Scott
13 Matt
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%73.12820512820512141.23076923076923020.7%191.07692307692304104.8749895051939510.0%309.02564102564105141.2307692307692320.0%426.974358974359141.2307692307692330.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692340.0%662.8717948717949141.2307692307692352.8%73.12820512820512136.4039514111568700.0%191.0769230769230468.51920977961868139.5%309.0256410256410572.0228.5%426.97435897435991.267021953116137.8%544.9230769230769127.5657988597898840.7%662.8717948717949139.989892701452565Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958515th158.573076923076995.786982248520725th305.495.786982248520738th452.226923076923163.2426035502958549th599.053846153846185.7278106508876510th11.746153846153845208.213017751479316th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124127th305.4140.75739644970415310th452.226923076923208.2130177514793412th599.053846153846253.1834319526627258th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958514th158.573076923076973.3017751479289924th305.473.3017751479289939th452.226923076923185.727810650887649th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Bijan Robinson RB
2.13 27 Davante Adams WR
3.02 30 Terry McLaurin WR
4.13 55 Jalen Hurts QB
5.02 58 Ladd McConkey K×2 WR
6.13 83 Zach Charbonnet RB
7.02 86 Jordan Mason RB
8.13 111 Colston Loveland K TE
9.02 114 Romeo Doubs WR
10.13 139 Rashid Shaheed WR
11.02 142 Brian Robinson, Jr. RB
12.13 167 Dontayvion Wicks WR
13.02 170 Sam Darnold QB
14.13 195 New England DEF
15.02 198 Alvin Kamara RB
16.13 223 Harrison Butker K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00073.66153846153847141.2307692307692310.836196.4307692307692483.3596609548620420.000319.20000000000005141.2307692307692330.000441.96923076923076141.2307692307692340.000564.7384615384616141.2307692307692350.46673.66153846153847108.9860710915958210.000196.4307692307692425.48855267895484620.526319.20000000000005104.8463148696725730.196441.96923076923076127.6824662160572640.177564.7384615384616128.99126654243065Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345075.73846153846152141.23076923076923113201.9692307692307672.020328.2141.2307692307692330454.43076923076916141.2307692307692340580.6615384615385141.230769230769235675.73846153846152109.2781065088757410201.969230769230762.769230769230773628328.298.6272189349112432454.43076923076916130.5798816568047341580.6615384615385135.905325443786985All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % StDev Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2026 Derrek 1-4 12th 99.64 0.440 16.40
1 985 2019 Rob 3-2 8th 97.80 0.439 13.14 5-8 13th
2 984 2025 Dave 2-3 11th 97.01 0.440 14.15 7-7 7th
3 979 2018 Babel 2-3 11th 100.68 0.446 18.74 4-9 12th
4 977 2020 Babel 3-2 7th 100.42 0.436 10.15 8-5 3rd 3rd place
5 973 2018 Rabbit 2-3 9th 102.95 0.442 21.52 7-6 7th
6 971 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
7 971 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.449 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
8 967 2012 Pulley 1-4 11th 93.55 0.442 13.69 4-9 12th
9 962 2024 Schertz 2-3 9th 92.43 0.441 20.14 7-7 7th
10 961 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.454 19.35 6-7 10th