2009 Pat (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 466.56 points

11th place

2.27 expected wins (0.454)

25-30 all-play record (0.455)

+17.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 Mike R.
7 Derrek
8 Babel
9 Rob
10 Ed
11 Allen
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923139.5%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692352.6%53.25641025641026136.69384704045785018.3%139.15384615384616109.179336878194510.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736229.8%310.9487179487179689.121416109766438.9%396.84615384615387125.6660205811124240.9%482.7435897435898139.629987095728385Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613210th305.4245.006993006993310th452.226923076923245.00699300699349th599.053846153846218.43356643356645510th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613211th305.4271.5804195804196311th452.226923076923271.5804195804196411th599.053846153846271.5804195804196510th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th158.5730769230769298.15384615384613210th305.4245.006993006993310th452.226923076923245.00699300699349th599.053846153846218.433566433566455Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.689219.293.5412394565382130.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.789387.815384615384686.5863427445830650.23050.58461538461538125.3382999141370810.208134.8923076923077126.8383756755391720.000219.245.8517096823071930.352303.50769230769225116.8378705995252240.000387.815384615384631.94191625839695Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.43076923076922141.23076923076923210228.2000000000000278.293706293706330315.9692307692307141.23076923076923410403.738461538461578.29370629370635252.661538461538456128.6433566433566410140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.2000000000000215.3566433566433633315.9692307692307122.3496503496503540403.738461538461515.356643356643365All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.454 14.72 6-7 8th
1 994 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
2 980 2012 Pulley 1-4 11th 93.55 0.445 13.69 4-9 12th
3 970 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 967 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.446 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
5 964 2019 Rob 3-2 8th 97.80 0.446 13.14 5-8 13th
6 962 2008 Rob 2-3 8th 90.42 0.467 14.71 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 962 2024 Schertz 2-3 9th 92.43 0.442 20.14 7-7 7th
8 955 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.445 19.35 6-7 10th
9 953 2008 Matt 1-4 11th 91.80 0.472 16.89 3-10 12th
10 953 2008 Dave 3-2 6th 90.87 0.464 6.96 5-8 11th