2018 Babel (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 503.40 points (100.68 average)

11th place

2.23 expected wins (0.446)

29-36 all-play record (0.446)

-14.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 99.69 103.70 Rob -4.01
2 L 91.45 109.71 Schertz -18.26
3 W 116.13 87.17 Pulley 28.96
4 L 124.69 135.93 Richie -11.24
5 W 71.44 46.68 Pat 24.76
6 Scott
7 Mike R.
8 Dave
9 Rabbit
10 Matt
11 Kevin
12 Derrek
13 Ed

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923140.5%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692352.6%53.25641025641026136.8135111024107018.4%139.15384615384616109.7177270341018110.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736230.7%310.9487179487179688.8385287841107137.5%396.84615384615387128.3377214869373740.3%482.7435897435898140.752895030272875Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th158.5730769230769208.213017751479329th305.4185.727810650887637th452.226923076923140.75739644970415410th599.053846153846208.213017751479358th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793210th305.4208.2130177514793311th452.226923076923230.698224852071411th599.053846153846230.69822485207157th11.746153846153845140.75739644970415110th158.5730769230769208.2130177514793210th305.4208.213017751479338th452.226923076923163.24260355029585411th599.053846153846230.6982248520715Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.13 13 Mike Evans WR
2.02 16 Leonard Fournette K RB
3.13 41 Marshawn Lynch RB
4.02 44 Michael Crabtree WR
5.13 69 Delanie Walker TE
6.02 72 Kareem Hunt K RB
7.13 97 Jared Goff QB
8.02 100 D.J. Moore WR
9.13 125 Jacksonville DEF
10.02 128 Anthony Miller WR
11.13 153 Derek Carr QB
12.02 156 Charles Clay TE
13.13 181 Theo Riddick RB
14.02 184 Doug Martin RB
15.13 209 Chris Boswell K
16.02 212 Baker Mayfield QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.690219.293.473815729513630.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.043387.8153846153846138.2672306583537550.42850.58461538461538111.5848737830561810.280134.8923076923077121.8162223657769120.000219.245.7168622282579830.788303.5076923076922586.6466002243489940.000387.8153846153846135.30369208593835Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.43076923076922141.23076923076923212228.2000000000000277.3254437869822530315.9692307692307141.2307692307692341403.7384615384615135.905325443786985752.661538461538456103.9526627218934912140.43076923076922130.5798816568047320228.2000000000000213.4201183431952737315.9692307692307103.9526627218934940403.7384615384615130.579881656804735All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2018 Babel 2-3 11th 100.68 0.446 18.74 4-9 12th
1 979 2011 Matt 2-3 9th 100.26 0.453 15.73 7-6 6th 2nd place
2 977 2018 Rabbit 2-3 9th 102.95 0.442 21.52 7-6 7th
3 975 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.448 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 973 2013 Richie 4-1 2nd 98.23 0.454 19.35 6-7 10th
5 967 2018 Richie 2-3 10th 102.87 0.455 21.98 5-8 11th
6 964 2019 Rob 3-2 8th 97.80 0.439 13.14 5-8 13th
7 962 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.446 14.72 6-7 8th
8 962 2020 Babel 3-2 7th 100.42 0.436 10.15 8-5 3rd 3rd place
9 961 2016 Allen 3-2 8th 99.63 0.459 23.40 4-9 13th
10 960 2021 Pat 1-4 10th 100.30 0.465 18.35 3-11 12th