2009 Mike R. (through 4 weeks)

1-3 (0.250), 377.52 points

10th place

1.82 expected wins (0.455)

21-23 all-play record (0.477)

+21.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 82.27 101.19 Allen -18.92
2 W 108.95 87.78 Matt 21.17
3 L 96.83 121.92 Rabbit -25.09
4 L 89.47 105.70 Kevin -16.23
5 Dave
6 Pat
7 Pulley
8 Derrek
9 Babel
10 Rob
11 Ed
12 Allen
13 Matt

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.23076923076923030.2%164.9230769230769388.3630521801756310.0%268.00000000000006141.2307692307692320.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692347.1%61.846153846153854128.7851084945429500.0%164.9230769230769335.49533512958202139.5%268.0000000000000672.0219.8%371.0769230769231106.481073173022433.3%474.1538461538462135.461737000539074Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664519th207.5153846153846218.4335664335664529th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664538th599.053846153846191.860139860139949th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th207.5153846153846191.8601398601399210th403.28461538461534245.006993006993310th599.053846153846245.00699300699349th11.746153846153845218.4335664335664518th207.5153846153846191.860139860139929th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664538th599.053846153846191.86013986013994Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Calvin Johnson WR
2.10 22 Joseph Addai RB
3.03 27 Braylon Edwards WR
4.10 46 Michael Turner K RB
5.03 51 Hines Ward WR
6.10 70 John Carlson TE
7.03 75 Matt Schaub QB
8.10 94 Darren Sproles RB
9.03 99 Baltimore DEF
10.10 118 Sammy Morris RB
11.03 123 Michael Jenkins WR
12.10 142 Chad Pennington QB
13.03 147 Stephen Gostkowski K
14.10 166 Greg Camarillo WR
15.03 171 Leon Washington RB
16.10 190 Donald Lee TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.702166.507692307692392.6549257538259520.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.26061.12307692307692123.2019230769230710.000166.507692307692344.0790822768826720.490271.89230769230767107.2806644274963330.368377.276923076923115.769729531794524Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234063.6326923076923141.2307692307692319173.3442307692307684.5874125874125920283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234363.6326923076923122.3496503496503510173.3442307692307627.94405594405594725283.0557692307692109.7622377622377634392.76730769230767116.055944055944054All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Mike R. 1-3 10th 94.38 0.455 9.86 5-8 10th
1 974 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.455 19.33 6-7 7th
2 969 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.456 18.27 6-7 7th
3 968 2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.446 11.80 6-8 8th
4 968 2019 Scott 1-3 12th 96.00 0.455 22.37 4-9 14th
5 962 2023 Richie 0-4 11th 97.55 0.467 9.19 4-10 13th
6 961 2012 Pulley 1-3 10th 93.00 0.444 15.26 4-9 12th
7 960 2009 Ed 2-2 9th 93.03 0.440 11.73 7-6 4th 6th place
8 959 2023 Pat 2-2 8th 95.71 0.455 27.22 5-9 11th
9 958 2015 Kevin 2-2 8th 92.03 0.441 12.69 3-10 14th
10 953 2020 Babel 2-2 9th 101.98 0.448 10.80 8-5 3rd 3rd place