2025 Pat (through 4 weeks)

2-2 (0.500), 390.50 points (97.62 average)

7th place

1.80 expected wins (0.450)

25-27 all-play record (0.481)

-30.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 Babel
6 Rabbit
7 Pulley
8 Dave
9 Derrek
10 Mike R.
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Matt
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.23076923076923144.3%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.0769230769231141.2307692307692330.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692343.6%61.846153846153854135.6497203484784033.2%164.9230769230769389.3958660416954810.0%268.000000000000062.7692307692307736217.5%371.0769230769231113.8757858283320831.3%474.1538461538462139.123980189798744Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th207.5153846153846230.69822485207124th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289937th599.053846153846140.7573964497041547th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th207.515384615384673.3017751479289924th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289937th599.053846153846140.7573964497041548th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th207.5153846153846230.69822485207124th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289939th599.053846153846185.72781065088764Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.36361.12307692307692116.0808365922877810.458166.5076923076923109.5361377793223520.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692330.000377.276923076923141.2307692307692340.00061.1230769230769290.9309039538063410.000166.507692307692377.8415063278754620.886271.8923076923076779.8923128320501230.092377.276923076923134.89009017987394Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234663.6326923076923109.2781065088757416173.34423076923076109.2781065088757420283.0557692307692141.2307692307692330392.76730769230767141.230769230769234063.632692307692377.3254437869822510173.3442307692307677.32544378698225212283.055769230769277.3254437869822531392.76730769230767135.905325443786984All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 2-2 7th 97.63 0.450 20.48
1 987 2025 Rob 2-2 8th 96.35 0.446 19.66
2 986 2019 Scott 1-3 12th 96.00 0.452 22.37 4-9 14th
3 985 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.454 18.27 6-7 7th
4 980 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.456 19.33 6-7 7th
5 978 2025 Ed 1-3 13th 97.64 0.452 11.73
6 975 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.446 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
7 971 2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.445 11.80 6-8 8th
8 968 2020 Pat 3-1 4th 103.14 0.448 17.26 5-8 12th
9 965 2009 Mike R. 1-3 10th 94.38 0.450 9.86 5-8 10th
10 959 2025 Babel 2-2 5th 99.73 0.441 28.21