2021 Kevin (through 5 weeks)

4-1 (0.800), 553.88 points

5th place

2.76 expected wins (0.552)

36-29 all-play record (0.554)

-6.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 102.07 81.96 Matt 20.11
2 L 77.65 167.50 Rabbit -89.85
3 W 139.14 108.74 Mike R. 30.40
4 W 97.37 85.80 Pulley 11.57
5 W 137.65 99.24 Ed 38.41
6 Babel
7 Rob
8 Matt
9 Derrek
10 Scott
11 Pat
12 Richie
13 Schertz
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.2307692307692320.0%310.94871794871796141.23076923076923318.2%396.84615384615387111.1867659453685640.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692350.4%53.25641025641026140.6154513318656706.3%139.15384615384616130.8287116503772131.6%225.0512820512820489.14878662069736242.0%310.9487179487179672.030.0%396.8461538461538781.1427626599679141.6%482.7435897435898138.57334824755555Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th158.5730769230769230.69822485207126th305.4118.2721893491124137th452.226923076923140.7573964497041547th599.053846153846140.7573964497041556th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124119th158.5730769230769185.727810650887625th305.495.786982248520736th452.226923076923118.2721893491124145th599.05384615384695.786982248520758th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th158.5730769230769230.69822485207125th305.495.786982248520737th452.226923076923140.7573964497041547th599.053846153846140.757396449704155Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Davante Adams K WR
2.01 15 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
3.14 42 D.J. Moore WR
4.01 43 Kareem Hunt RB
5.14 70 Logan Thomas TE
6.01 71 Corey Davis WR
7.14 98 Josh Allen K QB
8.01 99 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
9.14 126 T.Y. Hilton WR
10.01 127 Jonnu Smith TE
11.14 154 Russell Gage WR
12.01 155 Cole Beasley WR
13.14 182 J.D. McKissic RB
14.01 183 Derek Carr QB
15.14 210 Kansas City DEF
16.01 211 Robbie Gould K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.48550.58461538461538107.686867302100410.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.887219.279.8445520336524930.405303.50769230769225113.1985093042217240.880387.815384615384680.2991204461985750.00050.5846153846153874.1429653734315710.105134.8923076923077133.9495573369506520.000219.218.4583348365357730.000303.5076923076922585.1662493776741940.000387.815384615384619.367471661627935Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345652.661538461538456109.2781065088757410140.43076923076922141.23076923076923212228.2000000000000277.3254437869822535315.9692307692307114.60355029585799411403.738461538461582.65088757396455052.66153846153845677.3254437869822512140.43076923076922130.5798816568047320228.2000000000000213.4201183431952730315.969230769230787.9763313609467440403.738461538461524.0710059171597525All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Kevin 4-1 5th 110.78 0.552 24.00 5-9 9th
1 974 2011 Allen 4-1 1st 107.16 0.552 18.46 7-6 5th 5th place
2 966 2018 Ed 2-3 7th 109.55 0.561 18.60 6-7 9th
3 964 2011 Kevin 3-2 3rd 111.49 0.536 23.28 6-7 8th
4 957 2019 Rabbit 3-2 5th 108.81 0.539 28.21 6-7 7th
5 952 2014 Rabbit 4-1 2nd 102.58 0.550 18.22 10-3 1st 2nd place
6 950 2022 Derrek 3-2 6th 103.53 0.544 22.20 8-6 4th 4th place
7 948 2012 Allen 2-3 7th 107.59 0.569 26.92 6-7 8th
8 942 2019 Derrek 3-2 7th 104.72 0.554 9.36 7-6 6th 3rd place
9 942 2024 Ed 3-2 5th 104.38 0.563 18.38 6-8 9th
10 942 2024 Babel 4-1 3rd 105.60 0.570 23.03 9-5 4th