2013 Allen (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 920.80 points (83.71 average)

13th place

3.61 expected wins (0.328)

49-94 all-play record (0.343)

+20.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 105.41 87.31 Richie 18.10
2 W 102.44 92.60 Rabbit 9.84
3 L 96.19 145.44 Matt -49.25
4 L 61.78 137.68 Ed -75.90 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 81.37 118.50 Pat -37.13
6 L 91.95 99.75 Mike R. -7.80
7 W 86.96 81.10 Dave 5.86
8 W 80.75 43.90 Kevin 36.85
9 L 64.72 111.92 Schertz -47.20
10 L 59.46 101.71 Rob -42.25 Slapped Heartbeat
11 L 89.77 128.65 Babel -38.88
12 Pulley
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923326.1%203.5769230769230771.9999999999999940.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.8%31.782051282051285139.1933593972800605.4%74.73076923076923126.95902847732853115.9%117.6794871794871799.1078608740684226.0%160.6282051282051472.2899564883801430.0%203.576923076923072.769230769230745416.8%246.5256410256410296.7404084665774657.0%289.474358974359122.7538047909793261.8%332.42307692307696136.3471027897036870.3%375.3717948717949140.4421895167026880.0%418.3205128205129141.1582630350194290.0%461.26923076923083141.22734746202343100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307055347823211Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th70.47692307692309163.2426035502958526th129.2076923076923118.27218934911241310th187.93846153846152208.2130177514793412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131013th599.053846153846275.6686390532544117th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th70.4769230769230973.3017751479289925th129.207692307692395.786982248520739th187.93846153846152185.7278106508876411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.1834319526627279th422.86153846153843185.7278106508876812th481.59230769230766253.18343195266272913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441013th599.053846153846275.6686390532544119th11.746153846153845185.727810650887618th70.47692307692309163.2426035502958527th129.2076923076923140.75739644970415312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272412th246.66923076923075253.18343195266272512th305.4253.18343195266272612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544814th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613914th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131013th599.053846153846275.668639053254411Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Aaron Rodgers QB
2.11 25 Vincent Jackson WR
3.04 32 Montee Ball RB
4.11 53 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
5.04 60 DeAngelo Williams RB
6.11 81 Denarius Moore WR
7.04 88 Brandon Myers TE
8.11 109 Rueben Randle WR
9.04 116 Chicago DEF
10.11 137 Malcom Floyd WR
11.04 144 Michael Bush RB
12.11 165 Stephen Gostkowski K
13.04 172 Philip Rivers QB
14.11 193 Marcel Reece RB
15.04 200 Christine Michael RB
16.11 221 Robert Woods WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.64927.5916083916083996.3049303751088510.58565.91328671328671100.7305348272011520.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.348257.5216783216783117.1185877650660270.260295.8433566433567123.1967332158978480.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083951.37909151944846510.00065.9132867132867160.2303004236330720.479104.23496503496503108.0583350007856330.071142.55664335664335136.2875128981489240.270180.87832167832164122.5423990512440550.417219.19999999999996112.3373335246631860.000257.521678321678393.0064062993628470.000295.8433566433567105.1626972010264680.087334.165034965035135.233396752430190.054372.4867132867133137.4730335278777100.385410.8083916083916114.6049729604879711Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011528.724475524475523114.603550295857991768.61958041958042103.9526627218934920108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692366268.09510489510484109.2781065088757476307.9902097902098109.2781065088757480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552387.976331360946741068.6195804195804266.6745562130177528108.514685314685398.6272189349112430148.40979020979017141.2307692307692344188.30489510489508119.9289940828402357228.2103.9526627218934960268.0951048951048477.3254437869822570307.990209790209877.3254437869822581347.8853146853147135.9053254437869890387.7804195804196141.23076923076923105427.67552447552447114.6035502958579911All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Allen 4-7 13th 83.71 0.328 15.19 4-9 14th
1 983 2022 Pat 5-6 13th 86.46 0.326 14.11 8-6 6th 6th place
2 972 2008 Matt 1-10 12th 80.26 0.331 18.68 3-10 12th
3 971 2013 Derrek 5-6 10th 83.31 0.319 20.70 7-6 7th
4 967 2012 Kevin 3-8 12th 81.20 0.321 20.07 5-8 10th
5 967 2009 Pulley 3-8 12th 85.57 0.317 17.51 4-9 12th
6 962 2011 Pulley 4-7 10th 88.86 0.335 16.70 5-8 10th
7 961 2017 Mike R. 3-8 14th 80.87 0.315 13.57 3-10 14th
8 960 2015 Pat 4-7 11th 81.36 0.339 19.39 6-7 9th
9 955 2024 Derrek 3-8 14th 86.47 0.314 18.94 4-10 14th
10 951 2012 Richie 1-10 14th 80.71 0.313 18.86 1-12 14th