2013 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 916.41 points

10th place

3.48 expected wins (0.317)

39-104 all-play record (0.273)

-20.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 131.44 91.71 Pat 39.73
2 L 68.08 104.24 Ed -36.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 95.46 65.88 Rabbit 29.58
4 L 90.42 107.02 Mike R. -16.60
5 W 76.78 66.87 Babel 9.91
6 W 78.90 69.18 Richie 9.72
7 L 71.99 87.27 Kevin -15.28
8 W 109.47 73.59 Dave 35.88
9 L 63.85 113.15 Matt -49.30 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 60.26 85.35 Pulley -25.09
11 L 69.76 112.58 Rob -42.82
12 Schertz
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923414.3%246.52564102564102109.1207746749097450.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.8746492799645603.9%74.73076923076923132.55982217799775117.4%117.67948717948717102.16169862139003230.9%160.6282051282051472.0327.8%203.5769230769230778.883741251171940.0%246.5256410256410277.0107801190502554.5%289.474358974359131.1418778000818360.9%332.42307692307696139.238330459210770.1%375.3717948717949140.9833695242451280.0%418.3205128205129141.212108569903690.0%461.26923076923083141.22999184447107100.0%504.21794871794873141.230755577700811Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th70.47692307692309185.727810650887629th129.2076923076923185.727810650887638th187.93846153846152163.24260355029585411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071512th305.4253.18343195266272614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.15384615384613114th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th70.47692307692309163.2426035502958526th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.727810650887656th305.4118.2721893491124168th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958575th422.8615384615384395.786982248520787th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041599th540.3230769230769185.72781065088761010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793114th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th70.47692307692309185.727810650887629th129.2076923076923185.727810650887639th187.93846153846152185.7278106508876411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071511th305.4230.698224852071614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.05 19 Darren McFadden RB
3.10 38 Eric Decker WR
4.05 47 Vernon Davis TE
5.10 66 Sidney Rice WR
6.05 75 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
7.10 94 Vincent Brown WR
8.05 103 Tony Romo QB
9.10 122 Colin Kaepernick K QB
10.05 131 Houston DEF
11.10 150 Austin Collie WR
12.05 159 Blair Walsh K
13.10 178 Robert Turbin RB
14.05 187 Zac Stacy RB
15.10 206 LaRod Stephens-Howling RB
16.05 215 DuJuan Harris RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.95027.5916083916083975.4413632985530610.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.478104.23496503496503108.1361963709304330.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.196180.87832167832164127.6712739000985850.222219.19999999999996125.8757286705415360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.718295.843356643356791.5103566820572880.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.591608391608399.65195736633688710.11465.91328671328671133.353379056924720.000104.2349650349650375.0416235110916630.390142.55664335664335114.2615057299889840.000180.87832167832164114.1117785694279450.000219.19999999999996110.5206881103138460.145257.5216783216783131.2169075179580870.000295.843356643356741.78994413334531580.081334.165034965035135.5921284887141790.065372.4867132867133136.7058210994521100.126410.8083916083916132.5124274937144311Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111028.72447552447552387.976331360946741068.61958041958042141.2307692307692327108.5146853146853103.9526627218934930148.40979020979017141.2307692307692342188.30489510489508130.5798816568047353228.2125.2544378698224860268.09510489510484141.2307692307692378307.990209790209898.6272189349112480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552334.721893491124251068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.514685314685366.6745562130177534148.40979020979017119.9289940828402340188.30489510489508119.9289940828402350228.2109.2781065088757463268.09510489510484125.2544378698224870307.990209790209856.0236686390532480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692391387.7804195804196135.90532544378698101427.67552447552447135.9053254437869811All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Derrek 5-6 10th 83.31 0.317 20.70 7-6 7th
1 987 2012 Kevin 3-8 12th 81.20 0.319 20.07 5-8 10th
2 978 2010 Allen 5-6 7th 80.19 0.312 20.54 7-6 6th 4th place
3 976 2017 Mike R. 3-8 14th 80.87 0.317 13.57 3-10 14th
4 975 2024 Derrek 3-8 14th 86.47 0.313 18.94 4-10 14th
5 970 2013 Allen 4-7 13th 83.71 0.325 15.19 4-9 14th
6 967 2012 Richie 1-10 14th 80.71 0.307 18.86 1-12 14th
7 965 2012 Pat 4-7 10th 77.29 0.317 25.45 5-8 11th
8 965 2008 Dave 4-7 10th 75.18 0.317 19.56 5-8 11th
9 964 2009 Pulley 3-8 12th 85.57 0.327 17.51 4-9 12th
10 962 2024 Pulley 4-7 12th 86.73 0.310 15.49 4-10 13th