2013 Derrek (through 11 weeks)

5-6 (0.455), 916.41 points (83.31 average)

10th place

3.51 expected wins (0.319)

39-104 all-play record (0.273)

-19.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 131.44 91.71 Pat 39.73
2 L 68.08 104.24 Ed -36.16 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 95.46 65.88 Rabbit 29.58
4 L 90.42 107.02 Mike R. -16.60
5 W 76.78 66.87 Babel 9.91
6 W 78.90 69.18 Richie 9.72
7 L 71.99 87.27 Kevin -15.28
8 W 109.47 73.59 Dave 35.88
9 L 63.85 113.15 Matt -49.30 Slapped Heartbeat
10 L 60.26 85.35 Pulley -25.09
11 L 69.76 112.58 Rob -42.82
12 Schertz
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.23076923076923414.9%246.52564102564102107.1744072617435150.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.2%31.782051282051285140.7414883668411703.9%74.73076923076923132.23367128018094117.0%117.67948717948717102.28860106604446230.2%160.6282051282051472.0327.8%203.5769230769230777.3999948719726840.0%246.5256410256410273.1180452927178154.9%289.474358974359130.0949279448852361.0%332.42307692307696138.9439945540398270.1%375.3717948717949140.9368919190590480.0%418.3205128205129141.207999075950290.0%461.26923076923083141.22980422647953100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307521846429411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th70.47692307692309185.727810650887629th129.2076923076923185.727810650887638th187.93846153846152163.24260355029585411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071512th305.4253.18343195266272614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.15384615384613114th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289918th70.47692307692309163.2426035502958526th129.2076923076923118.2721893491124138th187.93846153846152163.2426035502958549th246.66923076923075185.727810650887656th305.4118.2721893491124168th364.1307692307692163.2426035502958575th422.8615384615384395.786982248520787th481.59230769230766140.7573964497041599th540.3230769230769185.72781065088761010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793114th11.74615384615384573.3017751479289919th70.47692307692309185.727810650887629th129.2076923076923185.727810650887639th187.93846153846152185.7278106508876411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071511th305.4230.698224852071614th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.10 10 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.05 19 Darren McFadden RB
3.10 38 Eric Decker WR
4.05 47 Vernon Davis TE
5.10 66 Sidney Rice WR
6.05 75 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB
7.10 94 Vincent Brown WR
8.05 103 Tony Romo QB
9.10 122 Colin Kaepernick K QB
10.05 131 Houston DEF
11.10 150 Austin Collie WR
12.05 159 Blair Walsh K
13.10 178 Robert Turbin RB
14.05 187 Zac Stacy RB
15.10 206 LaRod Stephens-Howling RB
16.05 215 DuJuan Harris RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.92927.5916083916083976.9198887099949210.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.468104.23496503496503108.8047099097192130.000142.55664335664335141.2307692307692340.214180.87832167832164126.4104785359865750.244219.19999999999996124.3679164835135360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.720295.843356643356791.3679813430088180.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.00027.5916083916083912.60900818922061710.11565.91328671328671133.2787150489807920.000104.2349650349650376.3786505886691930.392142.55664335664335114.0921882436608440.000180.87832167832164111.5901878412039150.000219.19999999999996107.5050637362578260.160257.5216783216783130.1439532326759870.000295.843356643356741.50519345524837480.080334.165034965035135.7012812035324390.060372.4867132867133137.05443375903923100.131410.8083916083916132.16424116900911Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910111028.72447552447552387.976331360946741068.61958041958042141.2307692307692327108.5146853146853103.9526627218934930148.40979020979017141.2307692307692342188.30489510489508130.5798816568047353228.2125.2544378698224860268.09510489510484141.2307692307692378307.990209790209898.6272189349112480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311028.72447552447552334.721893491124251068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.514685314685366.6745562130177534148.40979020979017119.9289940828402340188.30489510489508119.9289940828402350228.2109.2781065088757463268.09510489510484125.2544378698224870307.990209790209856.0236686390532480347.8853146853147141.2307692307692391387.7804195804196135.90532544378698101427.67552447552447135.9053254437869811All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Derrek 5-6 10th 83.31 0.319 20.70 7-6 7th
1 987 2012 Kevin 3-8 12th 81.20 0.321 20.07 5-8 10th
2 980 2009 Pulley 3-8 12th 85.57 0.317 17.51 4-9 12th
3 974 2024 Derrek 3-8 14th 86.47 0.314 18.94 4-10 14th
4 973 2012 Richie 1-10 14th 80.71 0.313 18.86 1-12 14th
5 971 2013 Allen 4-7 13th 83.71 0.328 15.19 4-9 14th
6 968 2017 Mike R. 3-8 14th 80.87 0.315 13.57 3-10 14th
7 965 2010 Allen 5-6 7th 80.19 0.308 20.54 7-6 6th 4th place
8 963 2012 Pat 4-7 10th 77.29 0.318 25.45 5-8 11th
9 962 2022 Pat 5-6 13th 86.46 0.326 14.11 8-6 6th 6th place
10 960 2008 Matt 1-10 12th 80.26 0.331 18.68 3-10 12th