2008 Matt (through 11 weeks)

1-10 (0.091), 882.87 points

12th place

3.78 expected wins (0.344)

38-83 all-play record (0.314)

+30.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 84.10 106.97 Ed -22.87
2 L 80.30 107.26 Derrek -26.96
3 L 82.07 91.49 Dave -9.42
4 W 125.27 69.67 Katie 55.60 Team Blangums
5 L 87.28 110.69 Pulley -23.41
6 L 91.73 114.39 Rob -22.66
7 L 69.03 92.40 Mike R. -23.37
8 L 66.02 113.14 Rabbit -47.12 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 72.43 108.37 Kevin -35.94
10 L 79.36 118.90 Babel -39.54
11 L 45.28 86.30 Allen -41.02
12 Ed
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692303.6%74.73076923076923132.1461028602895710.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.2307692307692330.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.1%31.782051282051285140.9865384548840600.0%74.73076923076923123.06143648980994114.2%117.67948717948717104.96717821360934225.8%160.6282051282051475.40217187338905327.2%203.5769230769230772.0418.2%246.5256410256410294.888924899760558.1%289.474358974359120.6799941347405862.4%332.42307692307696135.1343999989736670.5%375.3717948717949140.0396574913236880.1%418.3205128205129141.0845471883237790.0%461.26923076923083141.2206243455501100.0%504.21794871794873141.230468763751411Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675111th70.47692307692309271.5804195804196212th129.2076923076923298.1538461538461336th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867547th246.66923076923075165.286713286713358th305.4191.860139860139969th364.1307692307692218.43356643356645710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993810th481.59230769230766245.006993006993911th540.3230769230769271.58041958041961011th599.053846153846271.5804195804196119th11.746153846153845218.43356643356645111th70.47692307692309271.5804195804196212th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613311th187.93846153846152271.5804195804196411th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196511th305.4271.5804195804196612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131012th599.053846153846298.15384615384613116th11.746153846153845138.71328671328675110th70.47692307692309245.006993006993211th129.2076923076923271.580419580419636th187.93846153846152138.7132867132867547th246.66923076923075165.286713286713358th305.4191.860139860139968th364.1307692307692191.8601398601399710th422.86153846153843245.006993006993810th481.59230769230766245.006993006993911th540.3230769230769271.58041958041961011th599.053846153846271.580419580419611Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Tom Brady QB
2.07 19 Larry Johnson RB
3.06 30 Chad Ochocinco WR
4.07 43 Reggie Bush RB
5.06 54 Roy Williams WR
6.07 67 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.06 78 Kevin Smith RB
8.07 91 Nate Burleson WR
9.06 102 Owen Daniels TE
10.07 115 Ricky Williams RB
11.06 126 Nick Folk K
12.07 139 Aaron Rodgers QB
13.06 150 Dallas DEF
14.07 163 Kevin Walter WR
15.06 174 Buffalo DEF
16.07 187 Robert Meachem WR
Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.971142.5566433566433574.040478398817240.000180.87832167832164141.2307692307692350.000219.19999999999996141.2307692307692360.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.000372.4867132867133141.23076923076923100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.35827.59160839160839116.4176186584262810.30065.91328671328671120.429184899145520.328104.23496503496503118.5199975664519330.000142.556643356643356.850187566865173540.407180.87832167832164113.0197197746442650.474219.19999999999996108.3831219666741760.184257.5216783216783128.4977742218385770.159295.8433566433567130.2364983998273580.212334.165034965035126.5204016272630890.290372.4867132867133121.17922277984654100.099410.8083916083916134.384435164310411Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.23076923076923311148.4097902097901772.040188.30489510489508141.2307692307692350228.2141.2307692307692360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.7804195804196141.23076923076923100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311628.724475524475523103.468531468531471268.61958041958042128.6433566433566424108.5146853146853116.0559440559440530148.409790209790172.769230769230773645188.30489510489508109.7622377622377653228.2122.3496503496503561268.09510489510484134.9370629370629370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692383347.8853146853147122.3496503496503592387.7804195804196128.64335664335664101427.67552447552447134.9370629370629311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2008 Matt 1-10 12th 80.26 0.344 18.68 3-10 12th
1 972 2015 Pat 4-7 11th 81.36 0.333 19.39 6-7 9th
2 969 2013 Richie 5-6 9th 85.15 0.346 21.74 6-7 10th
3 961 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.344 17.48 5-8 12th
4 959 2011 Pat 4-7 11th 85.83 0.347 24.78 5-8 11th
5 958 2022 Pulley 6-5 8th 87.53 0.346 14.48 7-7 8th
6 955 2010 Pat 3-8 12th 83.33 0.357 22.03 3-10 12th
7 947 2016 Richie 5-6 10th 89.65 0.350 16.87 5-8 12th
8 946 2011 Pulley 4-7 10th 88.86 0.336 16.70 5-8 10th
9 946 2017 Matt 4-7 12th 84.45 0.360 16.17 5-8 11th
10 944 2015 Derrek 6-5 7th 85.22 0.361 17.77 7-6 7th