2009 Pulley (through 11 weeks)

3-8 (0.273), 941.25 points

12th place

3.60 expected wins (0.327)

33-88 all-play record (0.273)

+2.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 98.73 115.11 Kevin -16.38
2 L 86.69 115.60 Rob -28.91
3 L 42.13 95.08 Dave -52.95 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 68.02 73.75 Ed -5.73 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 93.89 113.92 Pat -20.03
6 W 85.04 82.35 Allen 2.69
7 L 83.43 105.17 Mike R. -21.74
8 L 95.55 112.98 Matt -17.43
9 L 82.90 115.93 Derrek -33.03 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 91.15 72.05 Rabbit 19.10
11 W 113.72 86.50 Babel 27.22
12 Kevin
13 Rob

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.23076923076923226.2%160.6282051282051472.030.0%203.57692307692307141.2307692307692340.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.7%31.782051282051285139.3573977329901405.4%74.73076923076923127.04524868800823116.1%117.6794871794871798.6719155374048920.0%160.628205128205142.7692307692307736326.0%203.5769230769230772.45987913405156416.6%246.5256410256410297.3101919103167756.9%289.474358974359122.9277109825717161.9%332.42307692307696136.32844104818970.3%375.3717948717949140.430031871975680.0%418.3205128205129141.1601820766366690.0%461.26923076923083141.22834187353732100.0%504.21794871794873141.2307692307692311Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845165.2867132867133110th70.47692307692309245.006993006993212th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613312th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613412th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613512th305.4298.15384615384613612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131012th599.053846153846298.15384615384613117th11.746153846153845165.2867132867133111th70.47692307692309271.5804195804196212th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613312th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613412th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613512th305.4298.15384615384613612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131012th599.053846153846298.15384615384613117th11.746153846153845165.2867132867133110th70.47692307692309245.006993006993212th129.2076923076923298.15384615384613312th187.93846153846152298.15384615384613412th246.66923076923075298.15384615384613512th305.4298.15384615384613612th364.1307692307692298.15384615384613712th422.86153846153843298.15384615384613812th481.59230769230766298.15384615384613912th540.3230769230769298.153846153846131012th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Clinton Portis RB
2.01 13 Drew Brees K QB
3.12 36 Tony Gonzalez TE
4.01 37 Steve Smith, Sr. K WR
5.12 60 Lance Moore WR
6.01 61 Pittsburgh DEF
7.12 84 Jamal Lewis RB
8.01 85 Domenik Hixon WR
9.12 108 Donald Brown RB
10.01 109 Jake Delhomme QB
11.12 132 Jeremy Shockey TE
12.01 133 Rob Bironas K
13.12 156 Jamaal Charles RB
14.01 157 Deion Branch WR
15.12 180 Maurice Morris RB
16.01 181 T.J. Duckett RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839140.8749188039700810.00065.91328671328671140.8749188039700820.000104.23496503496503140.8749188039700830.000142.55664335664335140.8749188039700840.000180.87832167832164140.8749188039700850.273219.19999999999996122.0100373940635260.000257.5216783216783140.8749188039700870.000295.8433566433567140.8749188039700880.000334.165034965035140.8749188039700890.364372.4867132867133115.7644502217768100.750410.808391608391689.11585595309064110.49227.59160839160839106.9004771387854810.30065.91328671328671120.12842673961782-0.003104.23496503496503141.0528440173696430.076142.55664335664335135.6007071210540340.416180.87832167832164112.1712539720220150.000219.19999999999996103.1451559841569660.246257.5216783216783123.857643036681970.443295.8433566433567110.2556383057489680.240334.165034965035124.2883731864947890.000372.486713286713390.65398163958352100.000410.808391608391637.3567931022112111Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week006611111234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692340188.30489510489508141.2307692307692351228.2134.9370629370629360268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692394387.7804195804196116.05594405594405106427.67552447552447103.4685314685314711528.724475524475523109.762237762237761268.61958041958042128.6433566433566420108.5146853146853141.2307692307692330148.40979020979017141.2307692307692345188.30489510489508109.7622377622377650228.2128.6433566433566464268.09510489510484116.0559440559440576307.9902097902098103.4685314685314780347.8853146853147141.2307692307692390387.780419580419690.8811188811189100427.6755244755244765.7062937062937211All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pulley 3-8 12th 85.57 0.327 17.51 4-9 12th
1 987 2022 Pat 5-6 13th 86.46 0.328 14.11 8-6 6th 6th place
2 984 2013 Allen 4-7 13th 83.71 0.325 15.19 4-9 14th
3 968 2015 Pat 4-7 11th 81.36 0.333 19.39 6-7 9th
4 967 2011 Pulley 4-7 10th 88.86 0.336 16.70 5-8 10th
5 965 2024 Derrek 3-8 14th 86.47 0.313 18.94 4-10 14th
6 964 2013 Derrek 5-6 10th 83.31 0.317 20.70 7-6 7th
7 960 2012 Kevin 3-8 12th 81.20 0.319 20.07 5-8 10th
8 957 2024 Pulley 4-7 12th 86.73 0.310 15.49 4-10 13th
9 952 2017 Mike R. 3-8 14th 80.87 0.317 13.57 3-10 14th
10 952 2020 Pat 4-7 12th 89.29 0.344 17.48 5-8 12th