2017 Matt (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 599.18 points

10th place

2.68 expected wins (0.384)

35-56 all-play record (0.385)

-8.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 Derrek
9 Rabbit
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923232.6%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692371.2%42.519230769230774138.75800306329324012.7%106.9423076923077114.21206915490534131.1%171.365384615384675.0629077786493820.0%235.788461538461522.7692307692307736317.1%300.2115384615385104.9354040007314744.7%364.6346153846155131.2657920480797350.6%429.0576923076924139.8705361194601660.0%493.4807692307693141.158654352206847Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272214th207.5153846153846298.1538461538461339th305.4185.727810650887649th403.28461538461534185.727810650887659th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876611th599.053846153846230.698224852071712th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613312th305.4253.1834319526627248th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958558th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585610th599.053846153846208.2130177514793711th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272213th207.5153846153846275.668639053254439th305.4185.727810650887648th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958558th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585611th599.053846153846230.6982248520717Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.889219.1999999999999679.703079211380540.503279.4197802197802106.3748808175222150.462339.6395604395604109.2386618165625760.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.24338.54065934065934124.3757899543473110.25698.76043956043955123.5348383911370420.198158.98021978021976127.4895835802880130.000219.1999999999999618.17538919199175540.000279.419780219780271.5189924042752150.000339.639560439560477.2465544023559160.133399.8593406593406132.03526770574897Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.23076923076923312228.1999999999999677.3254437869822548290.892307692307798.6272189349112455353.5846153846154114.6035502958579960416.2769230769231141.230769230769237340.12307692307692125.2544378698224813102.8153846153846125.2544378698224824165.50769230769228119.9289940828402330228.1999999999999613.4201183431952740290.892307692307756.0236686390532450353.584615384615487.9763313609467460416.2769230769231141.230769230769237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 3-4 10th 85.60 0.384 16.50 5-8 11th
1 985 2010 Kevin 2-5 10th 86.50 0.379 17.86 5-8 10th
2 984 2022 Pat 3-4 11th 88.80 0.382 16.79 8-6 6th 6th place
3 974 2013 Allen 3-4 12th 89.44 0.381 13.69 4-9 14th
4 969 2012 Pat 3-4 10th 84.61 0.389 25.02 5-8 11th
5 968 2008 Katie 2-5 11th 83.72 0.394 17.96 5-8 10th
6 964 2023 Richie 1-6 14th 91.48 0.387 13.48 4-10 13th
7 964 2008 Mike R. 2-5 10th 85.90 0.397 20.79 5-8 8th
8 962 2019 Dave 2-5 14th 93.53 0.381 16.07 6-7 10th
9 953 2013 Pat 3-4 11th 89.86 0.397 17.95 5-8 12th
10 953 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.364 15.35 3-10 14th