2017 Matt (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 599.18 points (85.60 average)

10th place

2.69 expected wins (0.385)

35-56 all-play record (0.385)

-8.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 W 92.25 89.55 Babel 2.70
7 L 65.24 85.16 Ed -19.92 Slapped Heartbeat
8 Derrek
9 Rabbit
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923232.4%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692371.3%42.519230769230774138.47173263581175012.7%106.9423076923077114.08301740975058130.7%171.365384615384675.5905207954692920.0%235.788461538461522.7692307692307736317.3%300.2115384615385104.2161983654752144.9%364.6346153846155130.8197432620429250.7%429.0576923076924139.776998983746760.0%493.4807692307693141.152587785784427Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272214th207.5153846153846298.1538461538461339th305.4185.727810650887649th403.28461538461534185.727810650887659th501.16923076923075185.7278106508876611th599.053846153846230.698224852071712th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th109.6307692307692275.6686390532544214th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613312th305.4253.1834319526627248th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958558th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585610th599.053846153846208.2130177514793711th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272213th207.5153846153846275.668639053254439th305.4185.727810650887648th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958558th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585611th599.053846153846230.6982248520717Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.873219.1999999999999680.7994670978443840.500279.4197802197802106.6182486631181550.461339.6395604395604109.3329862351787760.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.25338.54065934065934123.685077467295210.26898.76043956043955122.6462140762325420.209158.98021978021976126.72948300657730.000219.1999999999999620.36816496491954440.000279.419780219780272.0057280954670850.000339.639560439560477.4352032395882960.128399.8593406593406132.393124110861327Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.23076923076923312228.1999999999999677.3254437869822548290.892307692307798.6272189349112455353.5846153846154114.6035502958579960416.2769230769231141.230769230769237340.12307692307692125.2544378698224813102.8153846153846125.2544378698224824165.50769230769228119.9289940828402330228.1999999999999613.4201183431952740290.892307692307756.0236686390532450353.584615384615487.9763313609467460416.2769230769231141.230769230769237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 3-4 10th 85.60 0.385 16.50 5-8 11th
1 985 2008 Mike R. 2-5 10th 85.90 0.382 20.79 5-8 8th
2 985 2008 Katie 2-5 11th 83.72 0.387 17.96 5-8 10th
3 982 2010 Kevin 2-5 10th 86.50 0.379 17.86 5-8 10th
4 979 2022 Pat 3-4 11th 88.80 0.381 16.79 8-6 6th 6th place
5 976 2013 Allen 3-4 12th 89.44 0.383 13.69 4-9 14th
6 973 2012 Pat 3-4 10th 84.61 0.388 25.02 5-8 11th
7 969 2015 Kevin 2-5 12th 87.04 0.373 15.35 3-10 14th
8 966 2023 Richie 1-6 14th 91.48 0.387 13.48 4-10 13th
9 958 2019 Dave 2-5 14th 93.53 0.380 16.07 6-7 10th
10 958 2013 Pat 3-4 11th 89.86 0.396 17.95 5-8 12th