2014 Allen (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 789.54 points (87.73 average)

10th place

3.20 expected wins (0.356)

38-79 all-play record (0.325)

-13.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 L 89.05 107.18 Schertz -18.13
6 L 109.12 112.15 Rob -3.03
7 W 78.02 77.73 Kevin 0.29
8 W 108.28 98.27 Dave 10.01
9 L 63.43 91.71 Mike R. -28.28
10 Rabbit
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923325.0%242.2307692307692584.7417471152940940.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692391.0%36.07692307692308138.9564030603689607.3%87.61538461538464124.7254657145609121.0%139.1538461538461693.93720009495865230.7%190.692307692307772.030.0%242.2307692307692528.252724999818966411.6%293.7692307692308115.0283231921671253.0%345.3076923076923134.5640888563481860.4%396.8461538461538140.3995285734445770.0%448.3846153846154141.1913482658424680.0%499.9230769230769141.230172219921779Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479319th85.15961538461536185.7278106508876213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544412th305.4253.18343195266272511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.15384615384613910th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585212th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793412th305.4253.18343195266272512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272611th452.226923076923230.69822485207178th525.6403846153845163.24260355029585810th599.053846153846208.2130177514793910th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544312th231.98653846153846253.18343195266272412th305.4253.18343195266272511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272812th599.053846153846253.183431952662729Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.39678.68717948717948113.8165036171145520.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.510172.36239316239318105.8948309409053440.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.198312.8752136752136127.5483596006887770.672359.712820512820594.7013190090029380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.32231.84957264957265118.9322141184754310.00078.6871794871794886.4022380034598720.030125.5247863247863139.1814399644502530.000172.3623931623931870.5588926510414640.342219.2117.5230020352388550.687266.0376068376068693.6981916225525160.000312.8752136752136113.8659499706083370.000359.712820512820548.1718687872366380.044406.5504273504273138.185613542790189Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231581.9179487179487114.6035502958579920130.67863247863247141.2307692307692334179.4393162393162119.9289940828402340228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692364325.7213675213675119.9289940828402377374.4820512820512103.9526627218934980423.242735042735141.230769230769239433.15726495726496119.928994082840231081.917948717948787.9763313609467421130.67863247863247135.9053254437869830179.439316239316298.6272189349112445228.2114.6035502958579957276.96068376068376103.9526627218934960325.721367521367598.6272189349112470374.482051282051266.6745562130177581423.242735042735135.905325443786989All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 4-5 10th 87.73 0.356 16.62 6-7 10th
1 989 2023 Derrek 2-7 13th 88.83 0.358 16.85 5-9 12th
2 983 2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.351 17.50 5-8 10th
3 982 2016 Mike R. 2-7 13th 89.38 0.361 17.30 5-8 11th
4 981 2023 Richie 1-8 14th 89.67 0.359 14.52 4-10 13th
5 979 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.350 20.69 7-6 7th
6 974 2011 Pulley 4-5 10th 90.27 0.348 16.76 5-8 10th
7 973 2014 Pat 3-6 12th 87.68 0.366 19.71 5-8 11th
8 971 2022 Pulley 4-5 10th 89.37 0.365 14.40 7-7 8th
9 971 2015 Derrek 5-4 6th 87.80 0.368 18.31 7-6 7th
10 967 2020 Pat 4-5 12th 91.32 0.363 18.73 5-8 12th