2014 Allen (through 9 weeks)

4-5 (0.444), 789.54 points

10th place

3.18 expected wins (0.354)

38-79 all-play record (0.325)

-13.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 L 89.05 107.18 Schertz -18.13
6 L 109.12 112.15 Rob -3.03
7 W 78.02 77.73 Kevin 0.29
8 W 108.28 98.27 Dave 10.01
9 L 63.43 91.71 Mike R. -28.28
10 Rabbit
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%36.07692307692308141.2307692307692300.0%87.61538461538464141.2307692307692310.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692320.0%190.6923076923077141.23076923076923324.8%242.2307692307692585.3622812131376540.0%293.7692307692308141.2307692307692350.0%345.3076923076923141.2307692307692360.0%396.8461538461538141.2307692307692370.0%448.3846153846154141.2307692307692380.0%499.9230769230769141.2307692307692391.0%36.07692307692308138.872588691798507.5%87.61538461538464124.36886192009351121.2%139.1538461538461693.47386169971554230.8%190.692307692307772.030.0%242.2307692307692529.493793195506072411.4%293.7692307692308115.6838342058910352.8%345.3076923076923134.8405792296715660.4%396.8461538461538140.4433268416893870.0%448.3846153846154141.1919967780661480.0%499.9230769230769141.230135760792229Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544313th231.98653846153846275.6686390532544412th305.4253.18343195266272511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071611th452.226923076923230.698224852071713th525.6403846153845275.6686390532544814th599.053846153846298.15384615384613910th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585212th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272310th231.98653846153846208.2130177514793412th305.4253.18343195266272512th378.8134615384615253.18343195266272611th452.226923076923230.69822485207178th525.6403846153845163.24260355029585810th599.053846153846208.2130177514793910th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th85.15961538461536163.24260355029585213th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544312th231.98653846153846253.18343195266272412th305.4253.18343195266272511th378.8134615384615230.698224852071612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272812th599.053846153846253.183431952662729Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.00031.84957264957265141.2307692307692310.40478.68717948717948113.239636922499720.000125.5247863247863141.2307692307692330.523172.36239316239318105.0460412863564640.000219.2141.2307692307692350.000266.03760683760686141.2307692307692360.178312.8752136752136128.9222471553397370.665359.712820512820595.1591783134790380.000406.5504273504273141.2307692307692390.31431.84957264957265119.4785883846947510.00078.6871794871794885.2485046142301620.035125.5247863247863138.8318385488444730.000172.3623931623931868.8613133419436740.339219.2117.7853210479605850.679266.0376068376068694.2045846471322460.000312.8752136752136116.6137250799102470.000359.712820512820549.0875873961888480.045406.5504273504273138.115893299084359Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789033.15726495726496141.230769230769231581.9179487179487114.6035502958579920130.67863247863247141.2307692307692334179.4393162393162119.9289940828402340228.2141.2307692307692350276.96068376068376141.2307692307692364325.7213675213675119.9289940828402377374.4820512820512103.9526627218934980423.242735042735141.230769230769239433.15726495726496119.928994082840231081.917948717948787.9763313609467421130.67863247863247135.9053254437869830179.439316239316298.6272189349112445228.2114.6035502958579957276.96068376068376103.9526627218934960325.721367521367598.6272189349112470374.482051282051266.6745562130177581423.242735042735135.905325443786989All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 4-5 10th 87.73 0.354 16.62 6-7 10th
1 990 2023 Derrek 2-7 13th 88.83 0.356 16.85 5-9 12th
2 983 2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.349 17.50 5-8 10th
3 979 2011 Pulley 4-5 10th 90.27 0.348 16.76 5-8 10th
4 979 2016 Mike R. 2-7 13th 89.38 0.360 17.30 5-8 11th
5 978 2023 Richie 1-8 14th 89.67 0.359 14.52 4-10 13th
6 976 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.346 20.69 7-6 7th
7 976 2014 Pat 3-6 12th 87.68 0.362 19.71 5-8 11th
8 969 2017 Matt 3-6 12th 83.30 0.348 15.70 5-8 11th
9 969 2015 Derrek 5-4 6th 87.80 0.367 18.31 7-6 7th
10 967 2013 Richie 4-5 11th 87.67 0.364 22.94 6-7 10th