2012 Kevin (through 9 weeks)

3-6 (0.333), 774.63 points (86.07 average)

10th place

3.16 expected wins (0.351)

41-76 all-play record (0.350)

+6.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 92.76 79.19 Schertz 13.57
2 W 117.87 81.41 Babel 36.46
3 L 75.79 115.57 Mike R. -39.78
4 L 103.90 134.65 Rabbit -30.75
5 W 98.22 90.31 Richie 7.91
6 L 81.48 89.04 Allen -7.56
7 L 58.66 75.89 Pulley -17.23
8 L 75.73 109.75 Derrek -34.02
9 L 70.22 124.81 Matt -54.59 Slapped Heartbeat
10 Pat
11 Ed
12 Rob
13 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.2307692307692310.0%191.07692307692307141.23076923076923231.8%261.846153846153872.030.0%332.6153846153846141.2307692307692340.0%403.38461538461536141.2307692307692350.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692390.8%49.53846153846153139.535638356554507.2%120.30769230769232125.53780389051451122.1%191.0769230769230793.2010111404524120.0%261.84615384615382.7692307692307736324.5%332.615384615384687.92897074376566410.6%403.38461538461536118.1637129845300552.6%474.15384615384613135.5480780394792660.4%544.9230769230769140.458610738244270.0%615.6923076923078141.1788601040704280.0%686.4615384615386141.229513390629689Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.727810650887615th85.1596153846153695.786982248520727th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041536th231.98653846153846118.2721893491124147th305.4140.7573964497041559th378.8134615384615185.7278106508876611th452.226923076923230.698224852071711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071811th599.053846153846230.69822485207196th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd85.1596153846153650.81656804733728426th158.5730769230769118.2721893491124136th231.98653846153846118.2721893491124145th305.495.786982248520757th378.8134615384615140.7573964497041569th452.226923076923185.7278106508876710th525.6403846153845208.2130177514793810th599.053846153846208.213017751479399th11.746153846153845185.727810650887616th85.15961538461536118.2721893491124127th158.5730769230769140.7573964497041536th231.98653846153846118.2721893491124146th305.4118.2721893491124158th378.8134615384615163.24260355029585611th452.226923076923230.698224852071711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071811th599.053846153846230.6982248520719Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Tom Brady QB
2.12 26 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
3.03 31 Jonathan Stewart RB
4.12 54 Vernon Davis K TE
5.03 59 Peyton Hillis RB
6.12 82 Michael Bush RB
7.03 87 David Wilson RB
8.12 110 Vincent Brown WR
9.03 115 Victor Cruz K WR
10.12 138 Baltimore DEF
11.03 143 Mario Manningham WR
12.12 166 Matt Cassel QB
13.03 171 LaMichael James RB
14.12 194 Jordan Cameron TE
15.03 199 Matt Prater K
16.12 222 Mark Sanchez QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.41346.379487179487185112.6442294712332910.833114.5846153846153983.5701053369318920.000182.78974358974358141.2307692307692330.000250.99487179487176141.2307692307692340.502319.20000000000005106.4737368775740550.000387.4051282051282141.2307692307692360.000455.61025641025645141.2307692307692370.000523.8153846153846141.2307692307692380.000592.0205128205127141.2307692307692390.00046.37948717948718584.0576897116973510.000114.5846153846153925.9094414430945520.188182.78974358974358128.2385465687978630.610250.9948717948717699.0199539345622740.000319.2000000000000571.716704524378950.257387.4051282051282123.4079194013885360.049455.61025641025645137.854140046764770.186523.8153846153846128.3753469596561380.125592.0205128205127132.553588631145669Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789547.687179487179485114.60355029585799111117.815384615384682.650887573964520187.9435897435897141.2307692307692330258.07179487179485141.2307692307692347328.2103.9526627218934950398.32820512820507141.2307692307692360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692370538.5846153846154141.2307692307692380608.7128205128206141.230769230769239047.68717948717948587.9763313609467410117.815384615384624.07100591715975223187.9435897435897125.2544378698224838258.0717948717948598.6272189349112440328.266.6745562130177552398.32820512820507130.5798816568047361468.45641025641015135.9053254437869874538.5846153846154119.9289940828402380608.7128205128206141.230769230769239All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Kevin 3-6 10th 86.07 0.351 17.50 5-8 10th
1 985 2013 Derrek 5-4 7th 87.38 0.350 20.69 7-6 7th
2 984 2015 Pat 3-6 12th 84.08 0.350 20.32 6-7 9th
3 983 2014 Allen 4-5 10th 87.73 0.356 16.62 6-7 10th
4 981 2017 Matt 3-6 12th 83.30 0.349 15.70 5-8 11th
5 977 2017 Allen 3-6 13th 83.28 0.351 12.38 5-8 12th
6 975 2011 Pulley 4-5 10th 90.27 0.348 16.76 5-8 10th
7 972 2023 Derrek 2-7 13th 88.83 0.359 16.85 5-9 12th
8 969 2016 Pat 5-4 7th 87.28 0.339 18.20 7-6 7th
9 968 2016 Mike R. 2-7 13th 89.38 0.361 17.30 5-8 11th
10 968 2012 Schertz 2-7 13th 83.83 0.346 23.80 5-8 9th