2020 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 959.74 points

9th place

4.71 expected wins (0.471)

64-66 all-play record (0.492)

-6.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 120.29 89.64 Mike R. 30.65
2 W 120.45 115.27 Ed 5.18
3 L 94.86 115.20 Pulley -20.34
4 L 77.59 103.54 Rob -25.95
5 L 72.78 94.18 Babel -21.40
6 W 117.52 105.43 Pat 12.09
7 W 79.49 65.33 Dave 14.16
8 L 53.06 87.50 Kevin -34.44 Slapped Heartbeat
9 L 102.33 115.69 Matt -13.36
10 W 121.37 73.31 Richie 48.06 Team Blangums
11 Schertz
12 Scott
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923432.0%268.072.050.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.194512755028700.3%80.5874125874126140.478877647760212.9%127.44055944055944134.99830714879886212.1%174.29370629370626115.00563513282471327.3%221.1468531468531582.29901482011440.0%268.02.7692307692307736519.1%314.8531468531468100.0653121895318565.5%361.7062937062937129.4110426317961470.7%408.5594405594406139.6559926369315680.0%455.41258741258747141.1513752795024290.0%502.2657342657343141.230504195922410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek2nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557612nd77.002564102564128.33136094674557625th142.258974358974395.7869822485207310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272911th599.053846153846230.698224852071102nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557611st77.00256410256415.84615384615381125th142.258974358974395.786982248520738th207.5153846153846163.24260355029585411th272.77179487179484230.69822485207159th338.0282051282051185.727810650887666th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124179th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876811th533.7974358974359230.69822485207199th599.053846153846185.7278106508876102nd11.74615384615384528.33136094674557613rd77.002564102564150.81656804733728425th142.258974358974395.7869822485207310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.12 12 Christian McCaffrey K RB
2.03 17 Adam Thielen WR
3.12 40 Jonathan Taylor RB
4.03 45 T.Y. Hilton WR
5.12 68 Diontae Johnson WR
6.03 73 Tyler Higbee TE
7.12 96 Robbie Chosen WR
8.03 101 Daniel Jones QB
9.12 124 James Conner K RB
10.03 129 Justin Jefferson WR
11.12 152 Pittsburgh DEF
12.03 157 Benny Snell, Jr. RB
13.12 180 Nyheim Hines RB
14.03 185 Denzel Mims WR
15.12 208 Jimmy Garoppolo QB
16.03 213 Matt Prater K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.82429.50769230769230684.1850309900211510.82671.6615384615384784.0486604662573220.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.790240.2769230769230586.5260583146334960.185282.4307692307692128.4259017410691770.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.835408.8923076923076783.43499310932009100.00029.50769230769230627.13929274927305410.00071.6615384615384726.86655170174540820.424113.8153846153846111.868247314077930.162155.96923076923073130.0055269746668240.110198.12307692307692133.6193458544082450.000240.2769230769230531.8213473984977560.000282.4307692307692115.6210342513691270.004324.58461538461535140.9833541376548680.547366.73846153846154103.3791822097797190.000408.8923076923076725.63921698787096710Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101230.71923076923076277.325443786982251974.6038461538461593.3017751479289920118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.23076923076923512250.1423076923076777.3254437869822563294.026923076923125.2544378698224870337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.23076923076923913425.680769230769272.010030.71923076923076213.420118343195271074.6038461538461545.37278106508874524118.48846153846154119.9289940828402331162.3730769230769135.9053254437869841206.2576923076923135.9053254437869850250.1423076923076713.4201183431952760294.026923076923109.2781065088757470337.9115384615384141.2307692307692389381.7961538461538693.3017751479289990425.68076923076922.769230769230773610All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Derrek 5-5 9th 95.97 0.471 23.09 8-5 5th 5th place
1 993 2012 Dave 6-4 6th 94.94 0.470 23.62 6-7 7th
2 984 2010 Matt 3-7 10th 97.49 0.466 23.79 5-8 9th
3 980 2013 Rob 6-4 5th 98.26 0.468 26.39 8-5 2nd 2nd place
4 978 2019 Ed 4-6 10th 100.79 0.472 23.23 5-8 11th
5 977 2020 Rabbit 5-5 8th 100.10 0.473 22.61 6-7 10th
6 974 2011 Dave 3-7 11th 98.02 0.478 24.62 3-10 12th
7 974 2010 Mike R. 4-6 7th 93.46 0.474 18.57 4-9 11th
8 974 2021 Mike R. 2-8 10th 97.81 0.478 21.05 4-10 11th
9 972 2009 Dave 5-5 8th 96.32 0.475 14.36 5-8 11th
10 970 2015 Babel 4-6 10th 95.75 0.459 25.70 5-8 10th