2012 Pat (through 11 weeks)

4-7 (0.364), 850.21 points (77.29 average)

10th place

3.50 expected wins (0.318)

44-99 all-play record (0.308)

-3.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.04 119.79 Mike R. -19.75
2 L 108.53 147.72 Allen -39.19
3 L 64.41 71.75 Rob -7.34
4 W 65.51 57.72 Schertz 7.79
5 W 107.02 54.78 Dave 52.24
6 W 105.34 76.03 Richie 29.31
7 L 41.41 97.03 Derrek -55.62 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 67.19 103.07 Pulley -35.88
9 L 83.66 114.71 Ed -31.05
10 W 76.97 43.52 Kevin 33.45
11 L 30.13 155.23 Matt -125.10 Slapped Heartbeat
12 Babel
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%012345678910110.0%31.782051282051285141.2307692307692300.0%74.73076923076923141.2307692307692310.0%117.67948717948717141.2307692307692320.0%160.62820512820514141.23076923076923328.5%203.5769230769230773.7958095459624640.0%246.52564102564102141.2307692307692350.0%289.474358974359141.2307692307692360.0%332.42307692307696141.2307692307692370.0%375.3717948717949141.2307692307692380.0%418.3205128205129141.2307692307692390.0%461.26923076923083141.23076923076923100.0%504.21794871794873141.23076923076923110.5%31.782051282051285139.996475628020104.6%74.73076923076923130.27912016785172116.3%117.67948717948717102.60303786197865229.2%160.6282051282051472.030.0%203.576923076923076.360849861155685415.3%246.52564102564102104.9583506951950154.6%289.474358974359130.2477858035217760.8%332.42307692307696139.3369978949366270.1%375.3717948717949141.046091497566680.0%418.3205128205129141.2210617649384490.0%461.26923076923083141.23052531970131100.0%504.21794871794873141.230766954536511Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567891011Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th70.47692307692309140.7573964497041529th129.2076923076923185.7278106508876312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272410th246.66923076923075208.2130177514793510th305.4208.2130177514793612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272712th422.86153846153843253.18343195266272813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544912th540.3230769230769253.183431952662721013th599.053846153846275.66863905325441110th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th70.47692307692309253.18343195266272213th129.2076923076923275.6686390532544312th187.93846153846152253.1834319526627249th246.66923076923075185.727810650887658th305.4163.24260355029585610th364.1307692307692208.2130177514793711th422.86153846153843230.698224852071811th481.59230769230766230.698224852071910th540.3230769230769208.21301775147931010th599.053846153846208.2130177514793118th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th70.47692307692309140.75739644970415210th129.2076923076923208.2130177514793312th187.93846153846152253.18343195266272411th246.66923076923075230.698224852071511th305.4230.698224852071612th364.1307692307692253.18343195266272713th422.86153846153843275.6686390532544813th481.59230769230766275.6686390532544913th540.3230769230769275.66863905325441014th599.053846153846298.1538461538461311Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 7.11 - from Rob
  • Pick 8.04 - from Rob
  • Pick 6.14 - to Rob
  • Pick 8.14 - to Rob
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ray Rice RB
2.14 28 Reggie Bush RB
3.01 29 Hakeem Nicks WR
4.14 56 Isaac Redman RB
5.01 57 Matt Schaub QB
7.01 85 Sidney Rice WR
7.11 95 Greg Little WR
8.04 102 Anquan Boldin WR
9.01 113 Jay Cutler K QB
10.14 140 Pittsburgh DEF
11.01 141 Dustin Keller K TE
12.14 168 Brandon LaFell WR
13.01 169 Joe McKnight RB
14.14 196 Nate Kaeding K
15.01 197 Dallas Clark TE
16.14 224 Ryan Tannehill QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345678910110.00027.59160839160839141.2307692307692310.00065.91328671328671141.2307692307692320.000104.23496503496503141.2307692307692330.104142.55664335664335134.0250858254994240.684180.8783216783216493.8885625018939250.655219.1999999999999695.8726917060103660.000257.5216783216783141.2307692307692370.000295.8433566433567141.2307692307692380.000334.165034965035141.2307692307692390.223372.4867132867133125.81442998679168100.000410.8083916083916141.23076923076923110.54927.59160839160839103.215185433319110.71165.9132867132867192.0165931249054320.097104.23496503496503134.5192383066261430.000142.55664335664335126.819402420229640.000180.8783216783216446.5463557730185950.000219.1999999999999650.514614181251560.029257.5216783216783139.2338928709944870.113295.8433566433567133.4243881335170880.306334.165034965035120.0286258861453690.000372.4867132867133110.39809074281413100.025410.8083916083916139.5306891058044711Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567891011028.724475524475523141.230769230769231068.61958041958042141.2307692307692320108.5146853146853141.2307692307692332148.40979020979017130.5798816568047349188.3048951048950893.3017751479289958228.298.6272189349112460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692370307.9902097902098141.2307692307692380347.8853146853147141.2307692307692393387.7804195804196125.25443786982248100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311628.724475524475523109.2781065088757411068.6195804195804287.9763313609467421108.5146853146853135.9053254437869830148.40979020979017119.9289940828402340188.3048951048950845.37278106508874550228.256.0236686390532460268.09510489510484141.2307692307692371307.9902097902098135.9053254437869884347.8853146853147119.9289940828402390387.7804195804196109.27810650887574100427.67552447552447141.2307692307692311All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Pat 4-7 10th 77.29 0.318 25.45 5-8 11th
1 967 2012 Kevin 3-8 12th 81.20 0.321 20.07 5-8 10th
2 964 2012 Richie 1-10 14th 80.71 0.313 18.86 1-12 14th
3 963 2013 Derrek 5-6 10th 83.31 0.319 20.70 7-6 7th
4 959 2010 Allen 5-6 7th 80.19 0.308 20.54 7-6 6th 4th place
5 957 2017 Mike R. 3-8 14th 80.87 0.315 13.57 3-10 14th
6 957 2008 Dave 4-7 10th 75.18 0.306 19.56 5-8 11th
7 950 2009 Pulley 3-8 12th 85.57 0.317 17.51 4-9 12th
8 947 2008 Matt 1-10 12th 80.26 0.331 18.68 3-10 12th
9 944 2024 Derrek 3-8 14th 86.47 0.314 18.94 4-10 14th
10 938 2015 Kevin 2-9 14th 80.29 0.302 15.71 3-10 14th