2012 Pat (through 7 weeks)

3-4 (0.429), 592.26 points (84.61 average)

10th place

2.71 expected wins (0.388)

36-55 all-play record (0.396)

-21.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 100.04 119.79 Mike R. -19.75
2 L 108.53 147.72 Allen -39.19
3 L 64.41 71.75 Rob -7.34
4 W 65.51 57.72 Schertz 7.79
5 W 107.02 54.78 Dave 52.24
6 W 105.34 76.03 Richie 29.31
7 L 41.41 97.03 Derrek -55.62 Slapped Heartbeat
8 Pulley
9 Ed
10 Kevin
11 Matt
12 Babel
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%012345670.0%42.519230769230774141.2307692307692300.0%106.9423076923077141.2307692307692310.0%171.3653846153846141.23076923076923236.5%235.7884615384615272.030.0%300.2115384615385141.2307692307692340.0%364.6346153846155141.2307692307692350.0%429.0576923076924141.2307692307692360.0%493.4807692307693141.2307692307692371.4%42.519230769230774138.5293628070699010.5%106.9423076923077121.30146479884698129.1%171.365384615384686.1048296709931720.0%235.788461538461522.7692307692307736319.4%300.2115384615385104.3897128716807642.9%364.6346153846155135.7552553335794450.1%429.0576923076924140.9611383593541560.0%493.4807692307693141.228200311380877Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234567Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th109.6307692307692140.7573964497041529th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876312th305.4253.18343195266272410th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793510th501.16923076923075208.2130177514793612th599.053846153846253.18343195266272710th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793112th109.6307692307692253.18343195266272213th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544312th305.4253.1834319526627249th403.28461538461534185.727810650887658th501.16923076923075163.24260355029585610th599.053846153846208.213017751479378th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th109.6307692307692140.75739644970415210th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793312th305.4253.18343195266272411th403.28461538461534230.698224852071511th501.16923076923075230.698224852071612th599.053846153846253.183431952662727Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1
  • Pick 7.11 - from Rob
  • Pick 8.04 - from Rob
  • Pick 6.14 - to Rob
  • Pick 8.14 - to Rob

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Ray Rice RB
2.14 28 Reggie Bush RB
3.01 29 Hakeem Nicks WR
4.14 56 Isaac Redman RB
5.01 57 Matt Schaub QB
7.01 85 Sidney Rice WR
7.11 95 Greg Little WR
8.04 102 Anquan Boldin WR
9.01 113 Jay Cutler K QB
10.14 140 Pittsburgh DEF
11.01 141 Dustin Keller K TE
12.14 168 Brandon LaFell WR
13.01 169 Joe McKnight RB
14.14 196 Nate Kaeding K
15.01 197 Dallas Clark TE
16.14 224 Ryan Tannehill QB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012345670.00038.54065934065934141.2307692307692310.00098.76043956043955141.2307692307692320.000158.98021978021976141.2307692307692330.087219.19999999999996135.174558707212540.667279.419780219780295.0380353836070150.639339.639560439560497.0221645877234760.000399.8593406593406141.2307692307692370.53338.54065934065934104.3646583150322210.69498.7604395604395593.1660660066185420.080158.98021978021976135.6687111883392230.000219.19999999999996129.118348183655840.000279.419780219780248.84530153644479450.000339.639560439560452.8135599446777260.012399.8593406593406140.383365752707567Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234567040.12307692307692141.2307692307692310102.8153846153846141.2307692307692320165.50769230769228141.2307692307692332228.19999999999996130.5798816568047349290.892307692307793.3017751479289958353.584615384615498.6272189349112460416.2769230769231141.230769230769237640.12307692307692109.27810650887574110102.815384615384687.9763313609467421165.50769230769228135.9053254437869830228.19999999999996119.9289940828402340290.892307692307745.37278106508874550353.584615384615456.0236686390532460416.2769230769231141.230769230769237All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2012 Pat 3-4 10th 84.61 0.388 25.02 5-8 11th
1 982 2008 Katie 2-5 11th 83.72 0.387 17.96 5-8 10th
2 976 2008 Mike R. 2-5 10th 85.90 0.382 20.79 5-8 8th
3 973 2017 Matt 3-4 10th 85.60 0.385 16.50 5-8 11th
4 960 2010 Kevin 2-5 10th 86.50 0.379 17.86 5-8 10th
5 956 2016 Allen 3-4 10th 91.98 0.382 23.23 4-9 13th
6 954 2015 Ed 3-4 10th 90.34 0.398 23.62 4-9 12th
7 954 2022 Pat 3-4 11th 88.80 0.381 16.79 8-6 6th 6th place
8 950 2013 Allen 3-4 12th 89.44 0.383 13.69 4-9 14th
9 949 2013 Pat 3-4 11th 89.86 0.396 17.95 5-8 12th
10 948 2023 Richie 1-6 14th 91.48 0.387 13.48 4-10 13th