2013 Pat (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 729.18 points

8th place

3.36 expected wins (0.420)

44-60 all-play record (0.423)

-16.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 Ed
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923327.3%268.078.8599990216204140.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.6%38.940170940170944139.901179831082305.6%96.20512820512818128.45946530984202118.5%153.4700854700854898.88549578505246230.3%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.016.48922881247158413.7%325.2649572649573109.776511267900753.6%382.52991452991455132.887587507983660.4%439.79487179487177140.2715554656235570.0%497.05982905982904141.204870011238828Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479359th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071711th599.053846153846230.698224852071812th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th95.64725274725272185.727810650887627th179.54835164835166140.75739644970415311th263.44945054945055230.69822485207148th347.3505494505494163.24260355029585510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793611th515.1527472527472230.69822485207178th599.053846153846163.24260355029585812th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479359th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071711th599.053846153846230.6982248520718Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.38687.46923076923076114.4827665358279220.189140.16153846153844128.1766399637788330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.832245.5461538461538683.651663954889550.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.537403.6230769230769104.0617856782088680.39634.776923076923076113.8122781273224410.00087.4692307692307687.7347638408866120.000140.16153846153844115.1225106967884430.519192.85384615384618105.2777561817696340.000245.5461538461538626.0725586790097650.465298.2384615384615109.0506740059021860.036350.93076923076916138.7112629245344270.000403.623076923076966.89280212564858Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231591.06057692307692114.6035502958579924145.91634615384615119.9289940828402330200.77211538461538141.23076923076923412255.627884615384677.3254437869822550310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692377420.1951923076923103.952662721893498236.20480769230769130.579881656804731091.0605769230769287.9763313609467420145.9163461538461598.6272189349112436200.77211538461538109.2781065088757440255.627884615384613.4201183431952758310.4836538461538698.6272189349112460365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.195192307692366.674556213017758All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 4-4 8th 91.15 0.420 17.13 5-8 12th
1 977 2009 Dave 5-3 4th 92.67 0.425 13.82 5-8 11th
2 975 2012 Dave 4-4 6th 90.45 0.414 21.94 6-7 7th
3 973 2009 Ed 4-4 7th 91.00 0.410 14.25 7-6 4th 6th place
4 973 2017 Pat 2-6 14th 88.86 0.427 18.73 6-7 7th
5 970 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.425 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place
6 969 2017 Rabbit 4-4 7th 87.98 0.428 15.82 6-7 9th
7 969 2010 Rob 3-5 9th 86.59 0.419 22.04 6-7 7th
8 966 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.405 17.09 6-7 8th
9 965 2011 Derrek 4-4 8th 95.16 0.422 24.27 8-5 3rd 6th place
10 963 2015 Ed 3-5 11th 91.07 0.407 22.18 4-9 12th