2013 Pat (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 729.18 points (91.15 average)

8th place

3.34 expected wins (0.418)

44-60 all-play record (0.423)

-14.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 Ed
10 Mike R.
11 Kevin
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923327.0%268.079.5770664602886540.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.6%38.940170940170944139.8283966061240705.8%96.20512820512818128.03061767476558118.8%153.4700854700854898.24554431638185230.3%210.7350427350427371.9999999999999930.0%268.017.92336368980807413.5%325.2649572649573110.3951759708869553.6%382.52991452991455133.1142623037170860.4%439.79487179487177140.3212640755624570.0%497.05982905982904141.212872556836778Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272111th95.64725274725272230.698224852071212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479359th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071711th599.053846153846230.698224852071812th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th95.64725274725272185.727810650887627th179.54835164835166140.75739644970415311th263.44945054945055230.69822485207148th347.3505494505494163.24260355029585510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793611th515.1527472527472230.69822485207178th599.053846153846163.24260355029585812th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793212th179.54835164835166253.18343195266272314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613410th347.3505494505494208.213017751479359th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071711th599.053846153846230.6982248520718Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.38887.46923076923076114.36218659600320.207140.16153846153844126.8808159214272730.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.829245.5461538461538683.8702337249604650.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.528403.6230769230769104.6934280209661180.39934.776923076923076113.6389178822606710.00087.4692307692307687.4936039612367720.000140.16153846153844112.5308626120853130.509192.85384615384618106.0038885205378640.000245.5461538461538626.509698219151750.458298.2384615384615109.5456009989642360.024350.93076923076916139.5688693428936670.000403.623076923076968.156086811163018Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231591.06057692307692114.6035502958579924145.91634615384615119.9289940828402330200.77211538461538141.23076923076923412255.627884615384677.3254437869822550310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692377420.1951923076923103.952662721893498236.20480769230769130.579881656804731091.0605769230769287.9763313609467420145.9163461538461598.6272189349112436200.77211538461538109.2781065088757440255.627884615384613.4201183431952758310.4836538461538698.6272189349112460365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.195192307692366.674556213017758All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 4-4 8th 91.15 0.418 17.13 5-8 12th
1 984 2009 Dave 5-3 4th 92.67 0.419 13.82 5-8 11th
2 982 2012 Dave 4-4 6th 90.45 0.415 21.94 6-7 7th
3 973 2015 Ed 3-5 11th 91.07 0.409 22.18 4-9 12th
4 973 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.406 17.09 6-7 8th
5 972 2010 Rob 3-5 9th 86.59 0.418 22.04 6-7 7th
6 968 2017 Pat 2-6 14th 88.86 0.427 18.73 6-7 7th
7 968 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.424 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place
8 965 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.407 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
9 964 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.409 22.10 4-9 13th
10 963 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.402 16.06 5-8 11th