2009 Dave (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 741.37 points

4th place

3.40 expected wins (0.425)

34-54 all-play record (0.386)

-15.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 W 121.28 77.40 Rob 43.88 Team Blangums
9 Ed
10 Allen
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923414.2%325.2649572649573107.8815431201045150.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.5%38.940170940170944140.0189784684926605.5%96.20512820512818128.28531689283233118.3%153.4700854700854898.40283646025537229.6%210.7350427350427372.0326.9%268.078.3316494050988240.0%325.264957264957374.5323170094398154.3%382.52991452991455131.2073370608182560.6%439.79487179487177139.709652623099270.0%497.05982905982904141.147549369302748Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th95.64725274725272271.5804195804196211th179.54835164835166271.5804195804196311th263.44945054945055271.5804195804196411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196611th515.1527472527472271.5804195804196710th599.053846153846245.006993006993812th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th95.64725274725272245.00699300699326th179.54835164835166138.7132867132867534th263.4494505494505585.5664335664335746th347.3505494505494138.7132867132867553rd431.251648351648358.99300699300701565th515.1527472527472112.1398601398601674th599.05384615384685.56643356643357812th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th95.64725274725272271.5804195804196211th179.54835164835166271.5804195804196311th263.44945054945055271.5804195804196411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196610th515.1527472527472245.006993006993710th599.053846153846245.0069930069938Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.39687.46923076923076113.825384173443120.459140.16153846153844109.4501632026870130.398192.85384615384618113.7003778599929340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.481298.2384615384615107.9046306000302960.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.864403.623076923076981.4260205692206780.10334.776923076923076134.133228003939610.00087.4692307692307686.4199991161169720.000140.1615384615384477.6695571746047830.000192.8538461538461886.1699864892166340.435245.54615384615386111.0866094878529150.000298.238461538461574.5784919692913660.265350.93076923076916122.882659793423970.000403.623076923076921.6212719076720968Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231491.06057692307692116.0559440559440524145.91634615384615116.0559440559440535200.77211538461538109.7622377622377640255.6278846153846141.2307692307692353310.48365384615386122.3496503496503560365.3394230769231141.23076923076923711420.195192307692372.08036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.0605769230769290.881118881118920145.9163461538461590.881118881118930200.7721153846153878.2937062937063144255.6278846153846116.0559440559440550310.48365384615386103.4685314685314763365.3394230769231122.3496503496503570420.19519230769232.76923076923077368All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 5-3 4th 92.67 0.425 13.82 5-8 11th
1 982 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.425 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place
2 977 2013 Pat 4-4 8th 91.15 0.420 17.13 5-8 12th
3 972 2017 Rabbit 4-4 7th 87.98 0.428 15.82 6-7 9th
4 971 2012 Pulley 3-5 8th 92.62 0.438 12.91 4-9 12th
5 970 2017 Pat 2-6 14th 88.86 0.427 18.73 6-7 7th
6 970 2015 Schertz 5-3 5th 93.00 0.439 14.62 9-4 2nd 2nd place
7 968 2014 Schertz 5-3 5th 95.09 0.436 14.48 5-8 13th
8 966 2012 Babel 3-5 9th 92.55 0.438 17.99 6-7 6th 2nd place
9 966 2020 Babel 5-3 5th 96.36 0.434 12.81 8-5 3rd 3rd place
10 964 2011 Derrek 4-4 8th 95.16 0.422 24.27 8-5 3rd 6th place