2009 Dave (through 8 weeks)

5-3 (0.625), 741.37 points (92.67 average)

4th place

3.36 expected wins (0.419)

34-54 all-play record (0.386)

-16.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 L 83.04 100.36 Babel -17.32
8 W 121.28 77.40 Rob 43.88 Team Blangums
9 Ed
10 Allen
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.2307692307692330.0%268.0141.23076923076923413.5%325.2649572649573110.40427879002750.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.5%38.940170940170944140.1859309811940205.7%96.20512820512818128.23862498474432119.1%153.4700854700854897.64289376736153230.3%210.7350427350427371.99999999999999326.6%268.080.381243674908540.0%325.264957264957379.5777883492847953.8%382.52991452991455132.5049339603953360.5%439.79487179487177140.0117971662754170.0%497.05982905982904141.172353760983198Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th95.64725274725272271.5804195804196211th179.54835164835166271.5804195804196311th263.44945054945055271.5804195804196411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196611th515.1527472527472271.5804195804196710th599.053846153846245.006993006993812th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th95.64725274725272245.00699300699326th179.54835164835166138.7132867132867534th263.4494505494505585.5664335664335746th347.3505494505494138.7132867132867553rd431.251648351648358.99300699300701565th515.1527472527472112.1398601398601674th599.05384615384685.56643356643357812th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th95.64725274725272271.5804195804196211th179.54835164835166271.5804195804196311th263.44945054945055271.5804195804196411th347.3505494505494271.5804195804196511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196610th515.1527472527472245.006993006993710th599.053846153846245.0069930069938Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.38687.46923076923076114.4800330409278620.453140.16153846153844109.8561725557808330.390192.85384615384618114.2451846646229340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.483298.2384615384615107.7961259088943460.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.892403.623076923076979.4790460840339180.08434.776923076923076135.385492280200210.00087.4692307692307687.729296851086520.000140.1615384615384478.4815758807924330.000192.8538461538461887.2596000984766240.423245.54615384615386111.959710432131450.000298.238461538461574.3614825870194760.244350.93076923076916124.3716980922691670.000403.623076923076917.727322937298588Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231491.06057692307692116.0559440559440524145.91634615384615116.0559440559440535200.77211538461538109.7622377622377640255.6278846153846141.2307692307692353310.48365384615386122.3496503496503560365.3394230769231141.23076923076923711420.195192307692372.08036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.0605769230769290.881118881118920145.9163461538461590.881118881118930200.7721153846153878.2937062937063144255.6278846153846116.0559440559440550310.48365384615386103.4685314685314763365.3394230769231122.3496503496503570420.19519230769232.76923076923077368All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 5-3 4th 92.67 0.419 13.82 5-8 11th
1 984 2013 Pat 4-4 8th 91.15 0.418 17.13 5-8 12th
2 973 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.424 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place
3 966 2012 Dave 4-4 6th 90.45 0.415 21.94 6-7 7th
4 964 2012 Pulley 3-5 8th 92.62 0.436 12.91 4-9 12th
5 964 2011 Derrek 4-4 8th 95.16 0.422 24.27 8-5 3rd 6th place
6 963 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.406 17.09 6-7 8th
7 963 2008 Allen 5-3 5th 88.87 0.430 14.31 8-5 4th 5th place
8 961 2020 Babel 5-3 5th 96.36 0.430 12.81 8-5 3rd 3rd place
9 961 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.407 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
10 960 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.409 22.10 4-9 13th