2025 Derrek

2-6 (0.250), 746.96 points (93.37 average)

13th place

3.34 expected wins (0.418)

45-59 all-play record (0.433)

+22.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.80 89.67 Pulley 14.13
2 L 88.30 112.82 Matt -24.52
3 W 119.37 95.32 Kevin 24.05
4 L 71.12 146.34 Babel -75.22 Slapped Heartbeat
5 L 73.23 83.03 Schertz -9.80
6 L 114.40 117.55 Dave -3.15
7 L 94.90 166.57 Mike R. -71.67
8 L 81.84 92.82 Richie -10.98
9 Pat
10 Scott
11 Ed
12 Pulley
13 Rob
14 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.23076923076923118.5%210.73504273504273101.0305415229910920.0%289.36752136752136141.2307692307692330.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.5%53.470085470085465140.199451558536905.0%132.1025641025641130.4905008136527710.0%210.7350427350427360.830313815212946231.9%289.3675213675213671.99999999999999327.9%368.080.73497827433305412.8%446.6324786324787113.5025657011849553.0%525.2649572649573134.6347130475126360.3%603.897435897436140.4721407290455270.0%682.5299145299145141.197678968384458Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek4th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th95.64725274725272208.213017751479326th179.54835164835166118.27218934911241310th263.44945054945055208.2130177514793412th347.3505494505494253.18343195266272510th431.2516483516483208.213017751479369th515.1527472527472185.7278106508876710th599.053846153846208.213017751479384th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th95.64725274725272208.213017751479325th179.5483516483516695.786982248520739th263.44945054945055185.7278106508876413th347.3505494505494275.6686390532544511th431.2516483516483230.698224852071612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272713th599.053846153846275.668639053254484th11.74615384615384573.30177514792899110th95.64725274725272208.213017751479326th179.54835164835166118.27218934911241311th263.44945054945055230.698224852071413th347.3505494505494275.6686390532544510th431.2516483516483208.213017751479369th515.1527472527472185.7278106508876710th599.053846153846208.21301775147938Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Christian McCaffrey RB
2.13 27 TreVeyon Henderson RB
3.02 30 DK Metcalf WR
4.13 55 Jakobi Meyers WR
5.02 58 Jerry Jeudy WR
6.13 83 Cooper Kupp WR
7.02 86 Ladd McConkey K WR
8.13 111 Colston Loveland TE
9.02 114 Justin Herbert QB
10.13 139 Austin Ekeler RB
11.02 142 Minnesota DEF
12.13 167 Ricky Pearsall K WR
13.02 170 MarShawn Lloyd RB
14.13 195 Will Shipley RB
15.02 198 Cam Ward QB
16.13 223 Wil Lutz K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.56150.642307692307696102.4017361402777310.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.815204.1038461538461584.791966250500630.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.000434.29615384615386141.2307692307692360.000511.0269230769231141.2307692307692370.000587.7576923076922141.2307692307692380.00050.64230769230769663.5727030497862310.317127.37307692307691119.3002858726880520.000204.1038461538461528.35316327023194630.110280.8346153846154133.633282923475440.136357.56538461538463131.8138436052297250.744434.2961538461538689.7496925030197660.448511.0269230769231110.2244252326532370.212587.7576923076922126.556867136719738Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456781052.0701923076923187.9763313609467410130.96442307692305141.23076923076923211209.8586538461538682.650887573964530288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692350446.5413461538462141.2307692307692360525.435576923077141.2307692307692370604.3298076923076141.230769230769238052.0701923076923134.7218934911242513130.96442307692305125.2544378698224820209.8586538461538624.07100591715975230288.75288461538463141.2307692307692342367.6471153846154130.5798816568047359446.541346153846293.3017751479289967525.435576923077103.9526627218934973604.3298076923076125.254437869822488All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Derrek 2-6 13th 93.37 0.418 16.91
1 990 2013 Pat 4-4 8th 91.15 0.418 17.13 5-8 12th
2 988 2009 Dave 5-3 4th 92.67 0.419 13.82 5-8 11th
3 975 2023 Ed 5-3 6th 95.58 0.425 16.55 11-3 1st 2nd place
4 973 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.407 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
5 973 2012 Dave 4-4 6th 90.45 0.415 21.94 6-7 7th
6 972 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.409 22.10 4-9 13th
7 970 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.406 17.09 6-7 8th
8 970 2011 Derrek 4-4 8th 95.16 0.422 24.27 8-5 3rd 6th place
9 968 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.402 17.12 5-8 12th
10 964 2015 Ed 3-5 11th 91.07 0.409 22.18 4-9 12th