2016 Allen (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 748.12 points

9th place

3.22 expected wins (0.403)

45-59 all-play record (0.433)

-20.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 72.19 85.25 Richie -13.06 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 106.42 91.85 Dave 14.57
3 W 136.95 98.49 Mike R. 38.46 Team Blangums
4 W 105.54 93.80 Pulley 11.74
5 L 77.03 129.47 Schertz -52.44
6 L 75.57 76.61 Babel -1.04
7 L 70.14 89.78 Pat -19.64
8 W 104.28 86.50 Ed 17.78
9 Matt
10 Rob
11 Kevin
12 Rabbit
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923328.1%268.086.2578247589543640.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.2%38.940170940170944140.7444334254848604.8%96.20512820512818131.91901997452396120.2%153.47008547008548101.60677091436585235.3%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.031.28488028713948749.7%325.2649572649573122.2682133814070851.6%382.52991452991455138.0933065902375260.1%439.79487179487177140.9842067016946370.0%497.05982905982904141.223378337627888Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th95.64725274725272253.1834319526627229th179.54835164835166185.727810650887637th263.44945054945055140.7573964497041549th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793610th515.1527472527472208.213017751479379th599.053846153846185.7278106508876814th11.746153846153845298.1538461538461319th95.64725274725272185.727810650887626th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124132nd263.4494505494505528.33136094674557648th347.3505494505494163.2426035502958559th431.2516483516483185.7278106508876610th515.1527472527472208.213017751479379th599.053846153846185.7278106508876814th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th95.64725274725272253.1834319526627228th179.54835164835166163.2426035502958537th263.44945054945055140.7573964497041549th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876510th431.2516483516483208.2130177514793610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793711th599.053846153846230.6982248520718Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Ezekiel Elliott RB
2.13 27 Russell Wilson K QB
3.02 30 Eric Decker WR
4.13 55 Rashad Jennings RB
5.02 58 Tyler Lockett WR
6.13 83 Isaiah Crowell RB
7.02 86 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
8.13 111 DeAndre Washington RB
9.02 114 Jordan Reed K TE
10.13 139 Mohamed Sanu WR
11.02 142 Kansas City DEF
12.13 167 Wendell Smallwood RB
13.02 170 Jaelen Strong WR
14.13 195 Paul Perkins RB
15.02 198 Brock Osweiler QB
16.13 223 Josh Brown K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.62287.4692307692307698.1445834205190720.933140.1615384615384476.6094048761481530.607192.8538461538461899.2014549796887240.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.581403.6230769230769101.0197286298730980.10234.776923076923076134.135037483855610.00087.4692307692307655.05839761026892620.000140.1615384615384411.98804052152706830.000192.8538461538461857.1721407286082340.155245.54615384615386130.4757617628595850.136298.2384615384615131.805374369556960.085350.93076923076916135.3510079874163870.000403.623076923076960.8086880289769458Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231991.0605769230769293.30177514792899213145.9163461538461572.038200.7721153846153898.6272189349112440255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692378420.195192307692398.627218934911248036.20480769230769141.230769230769231091.0605769230769245.37278106508874520145.916346153846152.769230769230773630200.7721153846153856.0236686390532443255.6278846153846125.2544378698224853310.48365384615386125.2544378698224861365.3394230769231135.9053254437869870420.195192307692356.023668639053248All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.403 22.10 4-9 13th
1 992 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.402 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
2 984 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.400 17.12 5-8 12th
3 982 2015 Ed 3-5 11th 91.07 0.407 22.18 4-9 12th
4 980 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.405 17.09 6-7 8th
5 976 2019 Dave 3-5 11th 95.65 0.405 16.05 6-7 10th
6 974 2019 Richie 3-5 12th 95.57 0.397 19.51 5-8 12th
7 973 2020 Derrek 4-4 9th 92.01 0.394 23.77 8-5 5th 5th place
8 970 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.397 16.06 5-8 11th
9 968 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.394 18.46 4-9 14th
10 967 2008 Mike R. 2-6 10th 86.72 0.403 19.57 5-8 8th