2014 Pat (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 899.11 points (89.91 average)

10th place

3.98 expected wins (0.398)

54-76 all-play record (0.415)

+11.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 L 51.98 93.61 Ed -41.63 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 110.01 82.61 Schertz 27.40
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923330.1%221.1468531468531572.040.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.2%33.73426573426574140.7936652883554402.2%80.5874125874126136.17944678657042110.0%127.44055944055944118.32006012930395223.2%174.2937062937062687.9648069506156130.0%221.146853146853152.7692307692307736422.4%268.089.7053481064182459.5%314.8531468531468119.5064058782019362.2%361.7062937062937136.2653922695704770.2%408.5594405594406140.6860231115728780.0%455.41258741258747141.2109039381704790.0%502.2657342657343141.2307692307692310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th77.002564102564195.786982248520726th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958548th272.77179487179484163.24260355029585512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793106th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd77.002564102564150.81656804733728425th142.258974358974395.786982248520738th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958546th272.77179487179484118.2721893491124158th338.0282051282051163.24260355029585610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793107th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th77.002564102564195.786982248520726th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958549th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272611th403.28461538461534230.69822485207179th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.56529.507692307692306101.9347863685404710.65771.6615384615384795.5578265604787920.000113.8153846153846140.9649616137552630.000155.96923076923073140.9649616137552640.208198.12307692307692126.57208647298150.000240.27692307692305140.9649616137552660.000282.4307692307692140.9649616137552670.000324.58461538461535140.9649616137552680.000366.73846153846154140.9649616137552690.701408.8923076923076792.55723686652647100.00029.50769230769230662.90461112332566510.00071.6615384615384750.15069150720229620.284113.8153846153846121.3698330936951930.462155.96923076923073109.0124240111778740.000198.12307692307692112.1792113322067550.063240.27692307692305136.5879978321725660.239282.4307692307692124.4434179143981770.804324.5846153846153585.413200042326718-0.002366.73846153846154141.0978654222622690.000408.8923076923076744.1495121192976810Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910730.719230769230762103.9526627218934911174.6038461538461582.650887573964520118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692343206.2576923076923125.2544378698224850250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.23076923076923910425.680769230769287.9763313609467410030.71923076923076266.674556213017751074.6038461538461524.07100591715975224118.48846153846154119.9289940828402333162.3730769230769125.2544378698224840206.2576923076923109.2781065088757451250.14230769230767135.9053254437869866294.026923076923109.2781065088757479337.911538461538493.3017751479289980381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.680769230769234.7218934911242510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 4-6 10th 89.91 0.398 19.86 5-8 11th
1 990 2015 Ed 3-7 11th 89.29 0.397 22.41 4-9 12th
2 986 2010 Kevin 2-8 12th 88.70 0.397 15.78 5-8 10th
3 982 2014 Schertz 5-5 8th 91.76 0.398 14.69 5-8 13th
4 974 2008 Mike R. 3-7 11th 86.50 0.403 19.08 5-8 8th
5 969 2019 Richie 4-6 12th 95.13 0.395 17.81 5-8 12th
6 969 2017 Richie 4-6 9th 86.36 0.406 20.82 6-7 8th
7 965 2013 Pat 4-6 12th 88.48 0.387 16.62 5-8 12th
8 963 2009 Pat 5-5 9th 95.57 0.401 24.17 6-7 8th
9 962 2008 Katie 4-6 9th 85.36 0.405 17.16 5-8 10th
10 957 2017 Allen 4-6 10th 85.94 0.390 14.20 5-8 12th