2014 Pat (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 899.11 points

10th place

3.94 expected wins (0.394)

54-76 all-play record (0.415)

+11.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 L 51.98 93.61 Ed -41.63 Slapped Heartbeat
10 W 110.01 82.61 Schertz 27.40
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923330.3%221.1468531468531571.9999999999999940.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.2%33.73426573426574140.771450965993902.3%80.5874125874126135.94740097215228110.4%127.44055944055944117.51253489547298223.8%174.2937062937062686.8877670503110630.0%221.146853146853152.769230769230745421.9%268.091.135676255114858.9%314.8531468531468120.883155248862562.0%361.7062937062937136.746045084087670.2%408.5594405594406140.7420828713275780.0%455.41258741258747141.210197938370290.0%502.2657342657343141.230600599122410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th77.002564102564195.786982248520726th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958549th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793106th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd77.002564102564150.81656804733728425th142.258974358974395.786982248520738th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958546th272.77179487179484118.2721893491124158th338.0282051282051163.24260355029585610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793710th468.5410256410256208.2130177514793812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272910th599.053846153846208.2130177514793107th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th77.002564102564195.786982248520726th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124138th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958549th272.77179487179484185.7278106508876512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272611th403.28461538461534230.69822485207179th468.5410256410256185.7278106508876813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.57029.507692307692306101.7617303904237610.65171.6615384615384796.1819031264205420.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.185198.12307692307692128.456260417192850.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.695408.8923076923076793.12493055204808100.00029.50769230769230662.2926915500782910.00071.6615384615384751.1330370220718320.265113.8153846153846122.9105257841305130.472155.96923076923073108.5347997373604740.000198.12307692307692115.6817516036163550.066240.27692307692305136.6612202636496860.221282.4307692307692125.8993130966210470.807324.5846153846153585.3404464871963280.011366.73846153846154140.5023233496641290.000408.8923076923076745.0190918733269410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910730.719230769230762103.9526627218934911174.6038461538461582.650887573964520118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692343206.2576923076923125.2544378698224850250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.23076923076923910425.680769230769287.9763313609467410030.71923076923076266.674556213017751074.6038461538461524.07100591715975224118.48846153846154119.9289940828402333162.3730769230769125.2544378698224840206.2576923076923109.2781065088757451250.14230769230767135.9053254437869866294.026923076923109.2781065088757479337.911538461538493.3017751479289980381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.680769230769234.7218934911242510All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 4-6 10th 89.91 0.394 19.86 5-8 11th
1 990 2015 Ed 3-7 11th 89.29 0.395 22.41 4-9 12th
2 979 2010 Kevin 2-8 12th 88.70 0.398 15.78 5-8 10th
3 978 2014 Schertz 5-5 8th 91.76 0.392 14.69 5-8 13th
4 974 2013 Pat 4-6 12th 88.48 0.387 16.62 5-8 12th
5 973 2019 Richie 4-6 12th 95.13 0.395 17.81 5-8 12th
6 957 2017 Allen 4-6 10th 85.94 0.386 14.20 5-8 12th
7 956 2017 Richie 4-6 9th 86.36 0.408 20.82 6-7 8th
8 956 2023 Scott 5-5 9th 90.92 0.375 20.74 8-6 7th
9 954 2017 Matt 4-6 11th 85.65 0.383 16.48 5-8 11th
10 949 2018 Richie 5-5 8th 99.32 0.400 20.45 5-8 11th