2013 Pat (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 884.83 points

12th place

3.87 expected wins (0.387)

50-80 all-play record (0.385)

-9.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 L 85.94 96.21 Ed -10.27
10 L 69.71 102.64 Mike R. -32.93
11 Kevin
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923328.2%221.1468531468531572.040.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.3%33.73426573426574140.507218771575203.2%80.5874125874126133.448958300642112.2%127.44055944055944111.2210011102543224.3%174.2937062937062681.6637938878839730.0%221.146853146853152.7692307692307736420.2%268.091.7058483611703458.9%314.8531468531468119.275288434893262.4%361.7062937062937135.369872778570970.4%408.5594405594406140.3539939979895380.0%455.41258741258747141.1671800257944490.0%502.2657342657343141.2291941318760610Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th77.0025641025641208.2130177514793212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479359th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711012th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th77.0025641025641185.727810650887627th142.2589743589743140.75739644970415311th207.5153846153846230.69822485207148th272.77179487179484163.24260355029585510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793611th403.28461538461534230.69822485207178th468.5410256410256163.24260355029585810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th77.0025641025641208.2130177514793212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479359th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.39671.66153846153847113.8342556983397520.198113.8153846153846127.5281291262906530.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.841198.1230769230769283.0031531174013150.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.546324.58461538461535103.4132748407206780.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.40529.507692307692306113.1637672898342510.00071.6615384615384786.4377421659102520.000113.8153846153846113.8254890218120730.529155.96923076923073104.6292453442814640.000198.1230769230769224.77553700403339650.474240.27692307692305108.4021631684139960.046282.4307692307692138.0627520870462570.000324.5846153846153565.5957804506721180.319366.73846153846154119.1754345457562790.120408.89230769230767132.9034006046481410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231574.60384615384615114.6035502958579924118.48846153846154119.9289940828402330162.3730769230769141.23076923076923412206.257692307692377.3254437869822550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692377337.9115384615384103.9526627218934980381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310230.719230769230762130.579881656804731074.6038461538461587.9763313609467420118.4884615384615498.6272189349112436162.3730769230769109.2781065088757440206.257692307692313.4201183431952758250.1423076923076798.6272189349112460294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.911538461538466.6745562130177583381.79615384615386125.2544378698224893425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 4-6 12th 88.48 0.387 16.62 5-8 12th
1 983 2017 Allen 4-6 10th 85.94 0.386 14.20 5-8 12th
2 980 2017 Matt 4-6 11th 85.65 0.383 16.48 5-8 11th
3 976 2010 Kevin 2-8 12th 88.70 0.398 15.78 5-8 10th
4 974 2014 Pat 4-6 10th 89.91 0.394 19.86 5-8 11th
5 974 2014 Schertz 5-5 8th 91.76 0.392 14.69 5-8 13th
6 969 2015 Ed 3-7 11th 89.29 0.395 22.41 4-9 12th
7 957 2023 Scott 5-5 9th 90.92 0.375 20.74 8-6 7th
8 956 2019 Richie 4-6 12th 95.13 0.395 17.81 5-8 12th
9 951 2014 Allen 4-6 11th 88.69 0.364 16.03 6-7 10th
10 945 2021 Pulley 2-8 11th 90.11 0.363 16.69 5-9 10th