2013 Pat (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 884.83 points (88.48 average)

12th place

3.87 expected wins (0.387)

50-80 all-play record (0.385)

-9.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 91.71 131.44 Derrek -39.73
2 W 91.19 70.28 Dave 20.91
3 W 77.19 76.61 Babel 0.58
4 L 99.01 107.96 Matt -8.95
5 W 118.50 81.37 Allen 37.13
6 L 95.53 109.89 Pulley -14.36
7 L 55.91 85.61 Schertz -29.70 Slapped Heartbeat
8 W 100.14 77.64 Rob 22.50
9 L 85.94 96.21 Ed -10.27
10 L 69.71 102.64 Mike R. -32.93
11 Kevin
12 Richie
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923328.1%221.1468531468531571.9999999999999940.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.3%33.73426573426574140.4748724019158603.2%80.5874125874126133.25300887078208112.3%127.44055944055944110.86269706555186224.2%174.2937062937062681.4468334213639630.0%221.146853146853152.769230769230745420.1%268.091.6708956237917258.9%314.8531468531468119.1694558707945862.4%361.7062937062937135.3145382811562570.4%408.5594405594406140.3489816544508580.0%455.41258741258747141.169309170605990.0%502.2657342657343141.2294939383752410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272111th77.0025641025641230.698224852071212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479359th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711012th11.746153846153845253.1834319526627219th77.0025641025641185.727810650887627th142.2589743589743140.75739644970415311th207.5153846153846230.69822485207148th272.77179487179484163.24260355029585510th338.0282051282051208.2130177514793611th403.28461538461534230.69822485207178th468.5410256410256163.24260355029585810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793912th599.053846153846253.183431952662721012th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272110th77.0025641025641208.2130177514793212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272314th207.5153846153846298.15384615384613410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479359th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Arian Foster RB
2.12 26 Drew Brees QB
3.03 31 Eddie Lacy RB
4.12 54 James Jones WR
5.03 59 Reggie Wayne K WR
6.12 82 Kyle Rudolph TE
7.03 87 Jay Cutler K QB
8.12 110 Michael Floyd WR
9.03 115 Isaac Redman RB
10.12 138 Kendall Wright WR
11.03 143 Jonathan Stewart RB
12.12 166 New England DEF
13.03 171 Johnathan Franklin RB
14.12 194 Phil Dawson K
15.03 199 Santana Moss WR
16.12 222 Ed Dickson TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.39771.66153846153847113.7483306198141520.216113.8153846153846126.2669599452384330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.837198.1230769230769283.2563777487716350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.537324.58461538461535104.0795720447772780.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.40729.507692307692306113.0250619060718310.00071.6615384615384786.2658920088590820.000113.8153846153846111.3031506597076330.518155.96923076923073105.39003254434940.000198.1230769230769225.28198626677402750.467240.27692307692305108.931745022775460.033282.4307692307692138.955013366704870.000324.5846153846153566.928374858785380.333366.73846153846154118.1534211229901490.124408.89230769230767132.6190514221602510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231574.60384615384615114.6035502958579924118.48846153846154119.9289940828402330162.3730769230769141.23076923076923412206.257692307692377.3254437869822550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692377337.9115384615384103.9526627218934980381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310230.719230769230762130.579881656804731074.6038461538461587.9763313609467420118.4884615384615498.6272189349112436162.3730769230769109.2781065088757440206.257692307692313.4201183431952758250.1423076923076798.6272189349112460294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.911538461538466.6745562130177583381.79615384615386125.2544378698224893425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2013 Pat 4-6 12th 88.48 0.387 16.62 5-8 12th
1 983 2017 Matt 4-6 11th 85.65 0.384 16.48 5-8 11th
2 978 2017 Allen 4-6 10th 85.94 0.390 14.20 5-8 12th
3 977 2010 Kevin 2-8 12th 88.70 0.397 15.78 5-8 10th
4 965 2014 Pat 4-6 10th 89.91 0.398 19.86 5-8 11th
5 965 2015 Ed 3-7 11th 89.29 0.397 22.41 4-9 12th
6 961 2014 Schertz 5-5 8th 91.76 0.398 14.69 5-8 13th
7 955 2019 Richie 4-6 12th 95.13 0.395 17.81 5-8 12th
8 954 2013 Richie 5-5 8th 87.15 0.372 21.82 6-7 10th
9 954 2008 Mike R. 3-7 11th 86.50 0.403 19.08 5-8 8th
10 953 2014 Allen 4-6 11th 88.69 0.365 16.03 6-7 10th