2014 Schertz (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 917.60 points

8th place

3.92 expected wins (0.392)

53-77 all-play record (0.408)

-17.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 83.62 157.21 Dave -73.59
2 W 74.81 72.63 Ed 2.18
3 W 96.28 75.96 Mike R. 20.32
4 W 100.39 87.58 Babel 12.81
5 W 107.18 89.05 Allen 18.13
6 W 120.48 60.70 Kevin 59.78 Team Blangums
7 L 78.03 84.05 Matt -6.02
8 L 99.95 153.86 Rabbit -53.91
9 L 74.25 82.06 Rob -7.81
10 L 82.61 110.01 Pat -27.40
11 Derrek
12 Pulley
13 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923420.7%268.091.2110958431183650.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.3%33.73426573426574140.6190759403723402.8%80.5874125874126134.42516889613705111.5%127.44055944055944113.37884210256755224.0%174.2937062937062683.27780186364194328.6%221.1468531468531572.040.0%268.041.1914224554674959.2%314.8531468531468118.9644853873914962.5%361.7062937062937135.1440106992177470.4%408.5594405594406140.2420895773096880.0%455.41258741258747141.1436461682061290.0%502.2657342657343141.2275733761243810Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479357th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958578th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958589th533.7974358974359185.7278106508876911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711011th11.746153846153845230.698224852071111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207128th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958534th207.515384615384673.3017751479289943rd272.7717948717948450.81656804733728453rd338.028205128205150.81656804733728464th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289975th468.541025641025695.786982248520786th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124198th599.053846153846163.242603550295851011th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479357th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958578th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.24260355029585910th599.053846153846208.213017751479310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Matt Forte RB
2.13 27 Vincent Jackson WR
3.02 30 Pierre Garcon WR
4.13 55 Vernon Davis TE
5.02 58 Tom Brady QB
6.13 83 Ben Tate K RB
7.02 86 Terrance West RB
8.13 111 Justin Hunter WR
9.02 114 Jay Cutler QB
10.13 139 St. Louis DEF
11.02 142 Matt Prater K
12.13 167 Jonathan Grimes RB
13.02 170 Michael Crabtree K WR
14.13 195 Brandon Bostick TE
15.02 198 C.J. Anderson RB
16.13 223 Harry Douglas WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.14071.66153846153847131.5473256225061820.458113.8153846153846109.5234860346482230.522155.96923076923073105.0687155916965540.650198.1230769230769296.2159957573614850.836240.2769230769230583.3630738926208360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.25229.507692307692306123.7742057679680810.00071.66153846153847121.8638820142431520.000113.815384615384677.816202838527230.000155.9692307692307368.9066619526238640.000198.1230769230769251.2012222839537450.000240.2769230769230525.49537855447245260.177282.4307692307692129.001742512248170.513324.58461538461535105.7051113692610880.133366.73846153846154132.0246224556795890.239408.89230769230767124.6833425930602510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231274.60384615384615130.5798816568047325118.48846153846154114.6035502958579935162.3730769230769114.60355029585799410206.257692307692387.97633136094674513250.1423076923076772.060294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310330.719230769230762125.254437869822481074.60384615384615119.9289940828402320118.4884615384615487.9763313609467430162.373076923076987.9763313609467440206.257692307692334.7218934911242550250.142307692307672.769230769230773665294.026923076923114.6035502958579975337.9115384615384114.6035502958579983381.79615384615386125.2544378698224892425.6807692307692130.5798816568047310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Schertz 5-5 8th 91.76 0.392 14.69 5-8 13th
1 978 2014 Pat 4-6 10th 89.91 0.394 19.86 5-8 11th
2 974 2019 Richie 4-6 12th 95.13 0.395 17.81 5-8 12th
3 974 2013 Pat 4-6 12th 88.48 0.387 16.62 5-8 12th
4 973 2010 Kevin 2-8 12th 88.70 0.398 15.78 5-8 10th
5 968 2015 Ed 3-7 11th 89.29 0.395 22.41 4-9 12th
6 964 2017 Allen 4-6 10th 85.94 0.386 14.20 5-8 12th
7 954 2017 Matt 4-6 11th 85.65 0.383 16.48 5-8 11th
8 951 2023 Scott 5-5 9th 90.92 0.375 20.74 8-6 7th
9 945 2016 Babel 5-5 9th 94.31 0.412 17.69 7-6 6th 6th place
10 942 2018 Richie 5-5 8th 99.32 0.400 20.45 5-8 11th