2014 Schertz (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 917.60 points (91.76 average)

8th place

3.98 expected wins (0.398)

53-77 all-play record (0.408)

-16.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 83.62 157.21 Dave -73.59
2 W 74.81 72.63 Ed 2.18
3 W 96.28 75.96 Mike R. 20.32
4 W 100.39 87.58 Babel 12.81
5 W 107.18 89.05 Allen 18.13
6 W 120.48 60.70 Kevin 59.78 Team Blangums
7 L 78.03 84.05 Matt -6.02
8 L 99.95 153.86 Rabbit -53.91
9 L 74.25 82.06 Rob -7.81
10 L 82.61 110.01 Pat -27.40
11 Derrek
12 Pulley
13 Richie

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.2307692307692320.0%239.3286713286713141.2307692307692330.0%303.6643356643357141.23076923076923421.2%367.9999999999999489.3596008408499450.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.2%46.32167832167832140.63552065358302.7%110.65734265734265134.66587050861182111.0%174.993006993007114.29536344342884223.2%239.328671328671384.55206858076019328.3%303.664335664335771.9999999999999940.0%367.9999999999999437.4884324509306659.9%432.33566433566426116.9009885368578862.9%496.67132867132864134.120271376102170.5%561.006993006993139.981337016369580.0%625.3426573426574141.1105998150442590.0%689.6783216783215141.225927152079710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479357th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958578th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.24260355029585911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711011th11.746153846153845230.698224852071111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207128th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958534th207.515384615384673.3017751479289943rd272.7717948717948450.81656804733728453rd338.028205128205150.81656804733728464th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289975th468.541025641025695.786982248520786th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124198th599.053846153846163.242603550295851011th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544211th142.2589743589743230.698224852071310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479357th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041568th403.28461538461534163.2426035502958578th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.24260355029585910th599.053846153846208.213017751479310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Matt Forte RB
2.13 27 Vincent Jackson WR
3.02 30 Pierre Garcon WR
4.13 55 Vernon Davis TE
5.02 58 Tom Brady QB
6.13 83 Ben Tate K RB
7.02 86 Terrance West RB
8.13 111 Justin Hunter WR
9.02 114 Jay Cutler QB
10.13 139 St. Louis DEF
11.02 142 Matt Prater K
12.13 167 Jonathan Grimes RB
13.02 170 Michael Crabtree K WR
14.13 195 Brandon Bostick TE
15.02 198 C.J. Anderson RB
16.13 223 Harry Douglas WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00042.969230769230776141.2307692307692310.154104.35384615384616130.548469752005220.447165.73846153846156110.2663211815228130.511227.12307692307695105.8750421220814540.655288.507692307692395.8694607402622150.832349.8923076923076783.662513003728660.000411.276923076923141.2307692307692370.000472.6615384615384141.2307692307692380.000534.0461538461539141.2307692307692390.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.27242.969230769230776122.4183291574027410.000104.35384615384616119.8661702732411820.000165.7384615384615679.301873132276430.000227.1230769230769570.5193150133936740.000288.507692307692350.50815224975518450.000349.8923076923076726.0942567766879760.198411.276923076923127.5267829160529470.503472.6615384615384106.4093360143491780.145534.0461538461539131.1619322798998790.262595.4307692307691123.0993808066514210Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910044.18076923076923141.2307692307692312107.29615384615383130.5798816568047325170.41153846153844114.6035502958579935233.52692307692305114.60355029585799410296.642307692307787.97633136094674513359.757692307692372.060422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.9884615384615141.2307692307692380549.1038461538462141.2307692307692390612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310344.18076923076923125.2544378698224810107.29615384615383119.9289940828402320170.4115384615384487.9763313609467430233.5269230769230587.9763313609467440296.642307692307734.7218934911242550359.75769230769232.769230769230773665422.8730769230769114.6035502958579975485.9884615384615114.6035502958579983549.1038461538462125.2544378698224892612.2192307692309130.5798816568047310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Schertz 5-5 8th 91.76 0.398 14.69 5-8 13th
1 985 2010 Kevin 2-8 12th 88.70 0.397 15.78 5-8 10th
2 982 2014 Pat 4-6 10th 89.91 0.398 19.86 5-8 11th
3 975 2019 Richie 4-6 12th 95.13 0.395 17.81 5-8 12th
4 973 2015 Ed 3-7 11th 89.29 0.397 22.41 4-9 12th
5 961 2013 Pat 4-6 12th 88.48 0.387 16.62 5-8 12th
6 960 2017 Allen 4-6 10th 85.94 0.390 14.20 5-8 12th
7 959 2009 Pat 5-5 9th 95.57 0.401 24.17 6-7 8th
8 959 2008 Mike R. 3-7 11th 86.50 0.403 19.08 5-8 8th
9 954 2008 Katie 4-6 9th 85.36 0.405 17.16 5-8 10th
10 952 2018 Richie 5-5 8th 99.32 0.401 20.45 5-8 11th