2009 Pat (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 955.73 points

9th place

4.15 expected wins (0.415)

46-64 all-play record (0.418)

+3.3% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 79.52 116.27 Matt -36.75
2 L 77.91 106.68 Rabbit -28.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 107.48 102.29 Kevin 5.19
4 L 87.73 91.72 Dave -3.99
5 W 113.92 93.89 Pulley 20.03
6 W 158.64 115.12 Mike R. 43.52 Team Blangums
7 W 81.24 73.82 Derrek 7.42
8 W 89.08 62.71 Babel 26.37
9 L 83.77 90.13 Rob -6.36
10 L 76.44 172.68 Ed -96.24
11 Allen
12 Matt
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923423.4%268.088.0215291427904650.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2261342347783301.1%80.5874125874126138.8021119644667718.1%127.44055944055944122.90617430632722222.4%174.2937062937062690.26673920812046330.4%221.1468531468531572.040.0%268.034.81228905481167510.9%314.8531468531468116.4260352855068163.1%361.7062937062937134.0679220858105570.6%408.5594405594406139.977874399868380.1%455.41258741258747141.1091324485555390.0%502.2657342657343141.2257395724035410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613210th142.2589743589743245.006993006993310th207.5153846153846245.00699300699349th272.77179487179484218.4335664335664557th338.0282051282051165.286713286713368th403.28461538461534191.860139860139979th468.5410256410256218.43356643356645811th533.7974358974359271.5804195804196911th599.053846153846271.58041958041961010th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613211th142.2589743589743271.5804195804196311th207.5153846153846271.5804195804196411th272.77179487179484271.580419580419655th338.0282051282051112.1398601398601664th403.2846153846153485.5664335664335773rd468.541025641025658.99300699300701584th533.797435897435985.5664335664335799th599.053846153846218.433566433566451010th11.746153846153845245.006993006993112th77.0025641025641298.15384615384613210th142.2589743589743245.006993006993310th207.5153846153846245.00699300699349th272.77179487179484218.4335664335664553rd338.028205128205158.99300699300701567th403.28461538461534165.286713286713375th468.5410256410256112.1398601398601686th533.7974358974359138.71328671328675911th599.053846153846271.580419580419610Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Brian Westbrook K RB
2.08 20 Marques Colston WR
3.05 29 Willie Parker RB
4.08 44 Matt Ryan QB
5.05 53 Santana Moss WR
6.08 68 Ray Rice RB
7.05 77 Carson Palmer QB
8.08 92 Anthony Gonzalez K WR
9.05 101 Muhsin Muhammad WR
10.08 116 LeSean McCoy RB
11.05 125 Zach Miller TE
12.08 140 New England DEF
13.05 149 Jason Elam K
14.08 164 Hakeem Nicks WR
15.05 173 Tony Scheffler TE
16.08 188 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.665113.815384615384695.1804320925299330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.766198.1230769230769288.2255353805747750.998240.2769230769230572.1338135764432660.226282.4307692307692125.5796946815495770.348324.58461538461535117.1360864185059880.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.20629.507692307692306126.977492550128810.18471.66153846153847128.477568311530920.000113.815384615384649.1300949542906330.329155.96923076923073118.4770632355169440.000198.1230769230769235.2203015303803150.000240.276923076923053.03685792211729260.000282.4307692307692109.9286201323299170.000324.5846153846153593.0414036062427480.265366.73846153846154122.8977410475276590.167408.89230769230767129.636717763523410Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.23076923076923210118.4884615384615478.293706293706330162.3730769230769141.23076923076923410206.257692307692378.2937062937063511250.1423076923076772.062294.026923076923128.6433566433566474337.9115384615384116.0559440559440580381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310230.719230769230762128.643356643356641074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.4884615384615415.3566433566433633162.3730769230769122.3496503496503540206.257692307692315.3566433566433650250.142307692307672.769230769230773660294.026923076923116.0559440559440570337.911538461538490.881118881118982381.79615384615386128.6433566433566492425.6807692307692128.6433566433566410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Pat 5-5 9th 95.57 0.415 24.17 6-7 8th
1 974 2016 Babel 5-5 9th 94.31 0.412 17.69 7-6 6th 6th place
2 968 2021 Pat 1-9 14th 94.53 0.420 14.51 3-11 12th
3 963 2019 Babel 6-4 6th 97.71 0.423 17.87 8-5 5th 5th place
4 956 2014 Ed 4-6 9th 93.03 0.424 15.49 6-7 8th
5 950 2019 Scott 3-7 13th 95.18 0.438 22.46 4-9 14th
6 948 2013 Babel 1-9 14th 96.65 0.431 32.64 4-9 13th
7 947 2008 Mike R. 3-7 11th 86.50 0.412 19.08 5-8 8th
8 947 2018 Richie 5-5 8th 99.32 0.400 20.45 5-8 11th
9 945 2019 Richie 4-6 12th 95.13 0.395 17.81 5-8 12th
10 942 2017 Richie 4-6 9th 86.36 0.408 20.82 6-7 8th