2014 Pat (through 5 weeks)

3-2 (0.600), 470.62 points (94.12 average)

6th place

2.18 expected wins (0.436)

28-37 all-play record (0.431)

+0.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 Matt
7 Rob
8 Babel
9 Ed
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.2307692307692310.0%225.05128205128204141.23076923076923227.5%310.9487179487179689.1995366231269530.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692354.5%53.25641025641026132.67293043085357021.5%139.15384615384616100.60111263925776136.6%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.9487179487179637.16830401548466539.0%396.84615384615387124.2759644192508141.0%482.7435897435898139.293443660092755Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th158.573076923076995.786982248520726th305.4118.2721893491124138th452.226923076923163.2426035502958548th599.053846153846163.2426035502958556th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd158.573076923076950.81656804733728425th305.495.786982248520738th452.226923076923163.2426035502958546th599.053846153846118.2721893491124157th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th158.573076923076995.786982248520726th305.4118.2721893491124138th452.226923076923163.2426035502958549th599.053846153846185.72781065088765Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.56650.58461538461538102.0797375648824810.658134.892307692307795.6905122224224820.000219.2141.2307692307692330.000303.50769230769225141.2307692307692340.209387.8153846153846126.7644253996848750.00050.5846153846153862.9287058989957310.000134.892307692307750.1502552140757320.284219.2121.5521659329070430.463303.50769230769225109.170988435543540.000387.8153846153846112.298081568600515Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345752.661538461538456103.95266272189349111140.4307692307692282.650887573964520228.20000000000002141.2307692307692330315.9692307692307141.2307692307692343403.7384615384615125.254437869822485052.66153846153845666.6745562130177510140.4307692307692224.07100591715975224228.20000000000002119.9289940828402333315.9692307692307125.2544378698224840403.7384615384615109.278106508875745All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 3-2 6th 94.12 0.436 10.97 5-8 11th
1 981 2012 Pulley 1-4 11th 93.55 0.442 13.69 4-9 12th
2 974 2019 Rob 3-2 8th 97.80 0.439 13.14 5-8 13th
3 973 2013 Pat 3-2 8th 95.52 0.428 13.49 5-8 12th
4 973 2020 Babel 3-2 7th 100.42 0.436 10.15 8-5 3rd 3rd place
5 969 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.446 14.72 6-7 8th
6 964 2024 Schertz 2-3 9th 92.43 0.441 20.14 7-7 7th
7 960 2017 Matt 2-3 8th 88.34 0.438 16.79 5-8 11th
8 957 2014 Mike R. 2-3 11th 94.84 0.434 29.03 6-7 7th
9 954 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.448 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 949 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place