2017 Matt (through 5 weeks)

2-3 (0.400), 441.69 points (88.34 average)

8th place

2.19 expected wins (0.438)

30-35 all-play record (0.462)

+0.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 77.11 95.74 Kevin -18.63
2 L 78.20 93.62 Rob -15.42
3 L 73.28 118.90 Richie -45.62
4 W 118.61 86.95 Pulley 31.66
5 W 94.49 68.41 Allen 26.08
6 Babel
7 Ed
8 Derrek
9 Rabbit
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Pat
13 Mike R.

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%0123450.0%53.25641025641026141.2307692307692300.0%139.15384615384616141.23076923076923140.2%225.0512820512820472.020.0%310.94871794871796141.2307692307692330.0%396.84615384615387141.2307692307692340.0%482.7435897435898141.2307692307692352.1%53.25641025641026137.57067335525235021.8%139.15384615384616103.6367171576232210.0%225.051282051282042.7692307692307736227.2%310.9487179487179694.3592297874964237.8%396.84615384615387127.7533176442661640.8%482.7435897435898139.833357004355835Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272214th305.4298.1538461538461339th452.226923076923185.727810650887649th599.053846153846185.7278106508876512th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th158.5730769230769275.6686390532544214th305.4298.15384615384613312th452.226923076923253.1834319526627248th599.053846153846163.24260355029585511th11.746153846153845230.698224852071112th158.5730769230769253.18343195266272213th305.4275.668639053254439th452.226923076923185.727810650887648th599.053846153846163.242603550295855Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.05 5 Jordy Nelson WR
2.10 24 Marshawn Lynch RB
3.05 33 Allen Robinson II WR
4.10 52 Cam Newton QB
5.05 61 Tyler Eifert TE
6.10 80 Doug Martin RB
7.05 89 Michael Thomas K WR
8.10 108 Tevin Coleman K RB
9.05 117 Kenny Britt WR
10.10 136 Andy Dalton QB
11.05 145 Taylor Gabriel WR
12.10 164 Baltimore DEF
13.05 173 Evan Engram TE
14.10 192 Breshad Perriman WR
15.05 201 Devontae Booker RB
16.10 220 Adam Vinatieri K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123450.00050.58461538461538141.2307692307692310.000134.8923076923077141.2307692307692320.000219.2141.2307692307692330.890303.5076923076922579.5808731312830440.518387.8153846153846105.399654696556850.27150.58461538461538122.4664835007338610.286134.8923076923077121.4276201096711820.227219.2125.5108890400156330.000303.5076923076922517.93097703179685740.000387.815384615384669.568540162344365Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345052.661538461538456141.2307692307692310140.43076923076922141.2307692307692320228.20000000000002141.23076923076923312315.969230769230777.3254437869822548403.738461538461598.627218934911245352.661538461538456125.2544378698224813140.43076923076922125.2544378698224824228.20000000000002119.9289940828402330315.969230769230713.4201183431952740403.738461538461556.023668639053245All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2017 Matt 2-3 8th 88.34 0.438 16.79 5-8 11th
1 982 2017 Kevin 3-2 6th 85.29 0.439 19.44 10-3 2nd 4th place
2 971 2024 Schertz 2-3 9th 92.43 0.441 20.14 7-7 7th
3 967 2012 Pulley 1-4 11th 93.55 0.442 13.69 4-9 12th
4 961 2009 Pat 2-3 11th 93.31 0.446 14.72 6-7 8th
5 960 2014 Pat 3-2 6th 94.12 0.436 10.97 5-8 11th
6 953 2019 Rob 3-2 8th 97.80 0.439 13.14 5-8 13th
7 950 2015 Schertz 3-2 5th 93.20 0.454 16.95 9-4 2nd 2nd place
8 943 2013 Pat 3-2 8th 95.52 0.428 13.49 5-8 12th
9 943 2023 Ed 3-2 7th 97.13 0.448 15.74 11-3 1st 2nd place
10 940 2014 Mike R. 2-3 11th 94.84 0.434 29.03 6-7 7th