2009 Dave (through 6 weeks)

4-2 (0.667), 537.05 points

3rd place

2.23 expected wins (0.372)

20-46 all-play record (0.303)

-13.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 68.30 111.69 Rabbit -43.39 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 91.68 84.13 Kevin 7.55
3 W 95.08 42.13 Pulley 52.95
4 W 91.72 87.73 Pat 3.99
5 L 93.77 115.14 Mike R. -21.37
6 W 96.50 96.12 Derrek 0.38
7 Babel
8 Rob
9 Ed
10 Allen
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234560.0%47.120879120879124141.2307692307692300.0%120.74725274725276141.2307692307692310.0%194.3736263736264141.2307692307692320.0%268.0141.23076923076923311.1%341.6263736263736118.2376382771945640.0%415.2527472527472141.2307692307692350.0%488.8791208791208141.2307692307692365.5%47.120879120879124129.7600787852184021.3%120.7472527472527696.85333920653025133.3%194.373626373626472.0226.5%268.086.1773613015052330.0%341.626373626373695.244507323619942.2%415.2527472527472136.6920209024879750.1%488.8791208791208140.950301244970556Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196211th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196311th364.1307692307692271.5804195804196411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.5804195804196612th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th129.2076923076923245.00699300699326th246.66923076923075138.7132867132867534th364.130769230769285.5664335664335746th481.59230769230766138.7132867132867553rd599.05384615384658.993006993007015612th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613111th129.2076923076923271.5804195804196211th246.66923076923075271.5804195804196311th364.1307692307692271.5804195804196411th481.59230769230766271.5804195804196511th599.053846153846271.58041958041966Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.02 2 Larry Fitzgerald WR
2.11 23 Dwayne Bowe WR
3.02 26 Julius Jones RB
4.11 47 Greg Olsen TE
5.02 50 Lee Evans WR
6.11 71 Felix Jones RB
7.02 74 Donald Driver WR
8.11 95 Tim Hightower RB
9.02 98 Matt Forte K RB
10.11 119 Philip Rivers K QB
11.02 122 Chicago DEF
12.11 143 Michael Crabtree WR
13.02 146 Chester Taylor RB
14.11 167 Joey Galloway WR
15.02 170 Adam Vinatieri K
16.11 191 Brandon Jackson RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234560.00043.55897435897436141.2307692307692310.389113.8153846153846114.2735996767513520.453184.07179487179485109.8983787059952430.391254.32820512820513114.1485933633011740.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692350.475394.8410256410256108.3528461033385560.09643.55897435897436134.5814435072478510.000113.815384615384687.3164301227334620.000184.0717948717948578.5659881812212730.000254.3282051282051387.0664174958331240.429324.58461538461535111.5348249911611750.000394.841025641025675.474922975907876Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00661111123456045.347435897435886141.2307692307692314118.48846153846152116.0559440559440524191.62948717948714116.0559440559440535264.7705128205128109.7622377622377640337.9115384615384141.2307692307692353411.05256410256413122.349650349650356045.347435897435886141.2307692307692310118.4884615384615290.881118881118920191.6294871794871490.881118881118930264.770512820512878.2937062937063144337.9115384615384116.0559440559440550411.05256410256413103.468531468531476All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Dave 4-2 3rd 89.51 0.372 9.64 5-8 11th
1 984 2015 Rabbit 3-3 9th 88.66 0.367 10.43 5-8 11th
2 984 2014 Allen 2-4 12th 89.97 0.374 14.99 6-7 10th
3 975 2013 Allen 2-4 12th 89.86 0.379 14.75 4-9 14th
4 973 2019 Rob 3-3 10th 92.25 0.372 17.26 5-8 13th
5 971 2016 Derrek 2-4 11th 91.24 0.371 19.17 3-10 14th
6 969 2014 Pat 3-3 8th 89.54 0.361 14.33 5-8 11th
7 967 2024 Derrek 2-4 11th 88.49 0.371 23.30 4-10 14th
8 962 2012 Dave 3-3 9th 88.67 0.367 21.91 6-7 7th
9 962 2024 Schertz 2-4 12th 88.28 0.378 20.60 7-7 7th
10 962 2022 Mike R. 3-3 9th 88.09 0.356 9.27 9-5 2nd Blingabowl XV champion