2014 Pat (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 737.12 points

10th place

3.17 expected wins (0.397)

44-60 all-play record (0.423)

+21.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 Ed
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923232.5%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.8%38.940170940170944139.6091332779152506.7%96.20512820512818126.904668088611121.4%153.4700854700854895.61874988983820.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736325.6%268.086.71600720502948410.6%325.2649572649573118.5986477368221652.3%382.52991452991455136.3703596138491660.2%439.79487179487177140.7433252194883370.0%497.05982905982904141.214600244138648Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th95.6472527472527295.786982248520726th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124138th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958549th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272710th599.053846153846208.213017751479386th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd95.6472527472527250.81656804733728425th179.5483516483516695.786982248520738th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958546th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124158th431.2516483516483163.24260355029585610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793710th599.053846153846208.213017751479387th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th95.6472527472527295.786982248520726th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124138th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958549th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272611th515.1527472527472230.69822485207179th599.053846153846185.72781065088768Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.56234.776923076923076102.3009418765738610.64387.4692307692307696.7211146125706320.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.177245.54615384615386128.995471903342950.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307663.3711145223784810.00087.4692307692307652.2114599943720220.257140.16153846153844123.4497372702806130.464192.85384615384618109.0740112235105540.000245.54615384615386116.7601745759165450.058298.2384615384615137.2004317497997860.214350.93076923076916126.4385245827711470.800403.623076923076985.879657973346418Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678736.20480769230769103.9526627218934911191.0605769230769282.650887573964520145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692343255.6278846153846125.2544378698224850310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076966.674556213017751091.0605769230769224.07100591715975224145.91634615384615119.9289940828402333200.77211538461538125.2544378698224840255.6278846153846109.2781065088757451310.48365384615386135.9053254437869866365.3394230769231109.2781065088757479420.195192307692393.301775147928998All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.397 16.06 5-8 11th
1 988 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.394 18.46 4-9 14th
2 987 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.400 17.12 5-8 12th
3 981 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.405 17.09 6-7 8th
4 979 2019 Richie 3-5 12th 95.57 0.397 19.51 5-8 12th
5 978 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
6 978 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.402 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
7 978 2020 Derrek 4-4 9th 92.01 0.394 23.77 8-5 5th 5th place
8 976 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.391 14.90 5-9 10th
9 970 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.403 22.10 4-9 13th
10 970 2019 Dave 3-5 11th 95.65 0.405 16.05 6-7 10th