2014 Pat (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 737.12 points (92.14 average)

10th place

3.22 expected wins (0.402)

44-60 all-play record (0.423)

+20.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 103.15 62.19 Mike R. 40.96
2 W 107.21 100.70 Richie 6.51
3 L 84.31 147.33 Pulley -63.02
4 L 97.37 124.36 Derrek -26.99
5 W 78.58 72.85 Kevin 5.73
6 L 66.61 111.37 Matt -44.76
7 L 81.67 111.64 Rob -29.97
8 L 118.22 151.00 Babel -32.78
9 Ed
10 Schertz
11 Dave
12 Allen
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923232.0%210.7350427350427372.030.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.7%38.940170940170944139.6544354883541506.4%96.20512820512818127.30715377824176120.7%153.4700854700854896.4673356171558520.0%210.735042735042732.7692307692307736326.0%268.084.92135863119303411.3%325.2649572649573116.6490329558621452.6%382.52991452991455135.6180710264772260.3%439.79487179487177140.6339983992487570.0%497.05982905982904141.210737478463568Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek7th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th95.6472527472527295.786982248520726th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124138th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958548th347.3505494505494163.24260355029585512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272611th515.1527472527472230.698224852071710th599.053846153846208.213017751479386th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd95.6472527472527250.81656804733728425th179.5483516483516695.786982248520738th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958546th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124158th431.2516483516483163.24260355029585610th515.1527472527472208.2130177514793710th599.053846153846208.213017751479387th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041515th95.6472527472527295.786982248520726th179.54835164835166118.2721893491124138th263.44945054945055163.2426035502958549th347.3505494505494185.7278106508876512th431.2516483516483253.18343195266272611th515.1527472527472230.69822485207179th599.053846153846185.72781065088768Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Calvin Johnson WR
2.11 25 Drew Brees K QB
3.04 32 Eddie Lacy K RB
4.11 53 Stevan Ridley RB
5.04 60 Reggie Wayne WR
6.11 81 Khiry Robinson RB
7.04 88 Cecil Shorts III WR
8.11 109 Delanie Walker TE
9.04 116 Chris Ivory RB
10.11 137 Donald Brown RB
11.04 144 James Starks RB
12.11 165 James Jones WR
13.04 172 Kansas City DEF
14.11 193 Nick Novak K
15.04 200 Stevie Johnson WR
16.11 221 BenJarvus Green-Ellis RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.55734.776923076923076102.676047123491810.64987.4692307692307696.2868217810317920.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.200245.54615384615386127.3607349582941950.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.000403.6230769230769141.2307692307692380.00034.77692307692307664.1213250162143710.00087.4692307692307651.3428743312943720.276140.16153846153844122.1484754915163630.454192.85384615384618109.7672979941528440.000245.54615384615386113.4907006858191550.055298.2384615384615137.3959110626000860.231350.93076923076916125.2279720885954270.796403.623076923076986.1226829452148Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678736.20480769230769103.9526627218934911191.0605769230769282.650887573964520145.91634615384615141.2307692307692330200.77211538461538141.2307692307692343255.6278846153846125.2544378698224850310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692370420.1951923076923141.230769230769238036.2048076923076966.674556213017751091.0605769230769224.07100591715975224145.91634615384615119.9289940828402333200.77211538461538125.2544378698224840255.6278846153846109.2781065088757451310.48365384615386135.9053254437869866365.3394230769231109.2781065088757479420.195192307692393.301775147928998All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.402 16.06 5-8 11th
1 992 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.402 17.12 5-8 12th
2 991 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.406 17.09 6-7 8th
3 989 2009 Ed 4-4 7th 91.00 0.401 14.25 7-6 4th 6th place
4 985 2019 Dave 3-5 11th 95.65 0.402 16.05 6-7 10th
5 978 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.407 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
6 977 2014 Kevin 2-6 13th 91.43 0.395 18.46 4-9 14th
7 969 2015 Ed 3-5 11th 91.07 0.409 22.18 4-9 12th
8 969 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.409 22.10 4-9 13th
9 968 2019 Richie 3-5 12th 95.57 0.397 19.51 5-8 12th
10 967 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th