2019 Dave (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 765.20 points (95.65 average)

11th place

3.22 expected wins (0.402)

36-68 all-play record (0.346)

+0.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 89.82 100.20 Rabbit -10.38
2 L 72.44 102.52 Rob -30.08
3 L 79.62 102.86 Ed -23.24 Slapped Heartbeat
4 L 96.01 99.26 Richie -3.25
5 L 86.16 126.31 Mike R. -40.15
6 W 106.81 103.85 Scott 2.96
7 W 123.86 100.12 Pulley 23.74
8 W 110.48 85.34 Babel 25.14
9 Pat
10 Matt
11 Derrek
12 Schertz
13 Kevin

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456780.0%53.470085470085465141.2307692307692300.0%132.1025641025641141.2307692307692310.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923232.3%289.3675213675213672.030.0%368.0141.2307692307692340.0%446.6324786324787141.2307692307692350.0%525.2649572649573141.2307692307692360.0%603.897435897436141.2307692307692370.0%682.5299145299145141.2307692307692380.7%53.470085470085465139.776617464465506.3%132.1025641025641127.67098563768181120.8%210.7350427350427396.6630345172827120.0%289.367521367521362.7692307692307736326.0%368.085.44232680126908411.2%446.6324786324787117.1838900324421152.5%525.2649572649573135.8095691341811260.3%603.897435897436140.6529274923455870.0%682.5299145299145141.20899701293278Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek11th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272711th599.053846153846230.698224852071811th11.746153846153845230.698224852071114th95.64725274725272298.15384615384613214th179.54835164835166298.15384615384613314th263.44945054945055298.15384615384613414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613614th515.1527472527472298.15384615384613711th599.053846153846230.698224852071811th11.746153846153845230.698224852071113th95.64725274725272275.6686390532544213th179.54835164835166275.6686390532544313th263.44945054945055275.6686390532544414th347.3505494505494298.15384615384613514th431.2516483516483298.15384615384613612th515.1527472527472253.18343195266272712th599.053846153846253.183431952662728Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
1

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.04 4 Tyreek Hill WR
2.05 19 Zach Ertz T TE
3.10 38 Aaron Rodgers T QB
4.11 53 Alshon Jeffery WR
5.04 60 Latavius Murray RB
6.11 81 Curtis Samuel WR
7.04 88 Anthony Miller WR
8.11 109 James Washington WR
9.04 116 James White K RB
10.11 137 Mohamed Sanu WR
12.05 159 Damien Harris T RB
12.11 165 Greg Zuerlein K
13.04 172 Derrius Guice K RB
14.11 193 Minnesota DEF
15.04 200 Malcolm Brown RB
16.11 221 Ryquell Armstead RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00050.642307692307696141.2307692307692310.000127.37307692307691141.2307692307692320.000204.10384615384615141.2307692307692330.000280.8346153846154141.2307692307692340.000357.56538461538463141.2307692307692350.590434.29615384615386100.415272900799260.816511.026923076923184.7331288649977170.639587.757692307692297.0016153675468580.30450.642307692307696120.2188125153690210.074127.37307692307691136.104065353784420.150204.10384615384615130.857375526068130.400280.8346153846154113.5668143613147340.245357.56538461538463124.2552302304223850.000434.2961538461538659.59977657082916460.000511.026923076923128.23548849922619370.000587.757692307692252.772461504324478Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678052.07019230769231141.2307692307692310130.96442307692305141.2307692307692320209.85865384615386141.2307692307692330288.75288461538463141.2307692307692340367.6471153846154141.2307692307692356446.5413461538462109.27810650887574610525.43557692307787.9763313609467477604.3298076923076103.952662721893498352.07019230769231125.2544378698224811130.96442307692305135.9053254437869820209.85865384615386141.2307692307692337288.75288461538463103.9526627218934942367.6471153846154130.5798816568047350446.541346153846277.3254437869822560525.43557692307734.7218934911242570604.329807692307666.674556213017758All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Dave 3-5 11th 95.65 0.402 16.05 6-7 10th
1 989 2016 Richie 4-4 8th 93.52 0.402 17.12 5-8 12th
2 985 2014 Pat 3-5 10th 92.14 0.402 16.06 5-8 11th
3 982 2019 Richie 3-5 12th 95.57 0.397 19.51 5-8 12th
4 977 2021 Pat 1-7 13th 95.04 0.392 16.18 3-11 12th
5 976 2014 Ed 3-5 11th 92.02 0.406 17.09 6-7 8th
6 976 2009 Ed 4-4 7th 91.00 0.401 14.25 7-6 4th 6th place
7 975 2016 Babel 3-5 12th 93.59 0.407 19.36 7-6 6th 6th place
8 970 2019 Babel 4-4 9th 96.45 0.392 19.78 8-5 5th 5th place
9 967 2021 Pulley 2-6 10th 94.91 0.388 14.90 5-9 10th
10 965 2016 Allen 4-4 9th 93.52 0.409 22.10 4-9 13th