2015 Pat (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,025.63 points

11th place

4.58 expected wins (0.382)

58-98 all-play record (0.372)

-12.6% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 76.98 104.98 Matt -28.00
2 L 72.40 82.17 Derrek -9.77 Slapped Heartbeat
3 W 95.17 70.39 Ed 24.78
4 L 86.56 129.49 Rob -42.93
5 L 37.04 80.54 Mike R. -43.50 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 100.98 116.76 Richie -15.78
7 W 108.08 62.44 Kevin 45.64
8 L 78.37 81.96 Schertz -3.59
9 W 101.17 76.41 Babel 24.76
10 L 63.95 118.36 Pulley -54.41
11 W 74.26 66.81 Allen 7.45
12 W 130.67 101.42 Dave 29.25
13 Rabbit

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923426.4%228.3550295857988372.0370228480010650.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1605841062726700.8%69.77514792899409139.1305624938942715.3%109.42011834319527127.36540056838533215.9%149.0650887573964499.58948712885805326.5%188.7100591715976372.0000000000000140.0%228.355029585798832.84327646523289516.5%268.097.9823345261528166.6%307.64497041420117124.0142903945859371.7%347.28994082840245136.8607179123495180.3%386.93491124260356140.537782160323190.0%426.5798816568048141.16572420137368100.0%466.2248520710059141.22756182744797110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307079855518712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek12th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721111th599.053846153846230.6982248520711212th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272114th65.13776223776223298.15384615384613213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711111th599.053846153846230.6982248520711212th11.746153846153845253.18343195266272113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544213th118.52937062937062275.6686390532544312th171.92097902097902253.18343195266272414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613612th332.09580419580413253.18343195266272713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721012th545.6622377622377253.183431952662721111th599.053846153846230.69822485207112Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
9

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.01 1 Adrian Peterson RB
2.14 28 Jimmy Graham TE
3.01 29 Peyton Manning QB
4.14 56 Joique Bell RB
5.01 57 Mike Wallace WR
6.14 84 Eric Decker WR
7.01 85 Mike Evans K WR
8.14 112 Andre Wiliams RB
9.01 113 Chris Ivory K RB
10.14 140 Montee Ball RB
11.01 141 DeAngelo Williams RB
12.14 168 Theo Riddick RB
13.01 169 Percy Harvin WR
14.14 196 Matt Prater K
15.01 197 Baltimore DEF
16.14 224 Cameron Artis-Payne RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.48796.25128205128203107.4850172808150430.000131.37948717948717141.2307692307692340.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.707236.7641025641025692.2569754605210970.000271.89230769230767141.2307692307692380.583307.0205128205128100.836954247328590.000342.14871794871794141.23076923076923100.180377.2769230769231128.73609056734466110.957412.405128205128274.99473999408339120.21225.994871794871795126.588254818064410.16261.12307692307692129.9975179121600520.00096.2512820512820373.7392653308608630.347131.37948717948717117.2127813093013340.045166.5076923076923138.1115640761077550.579201.63589743589745101.1437879257971160.000236.7641025641025643.28318169027295470.228271.89230769230767125.4177411557582280.000307.020512820512860.4431392638877990.095342.14871794871794134.65684414075747100.000377.2769230769231116.24141190392011110.000412.40512820512828.75871075739755212Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692325100.20320512820511114.6035502958579930136.77371794871794141.2307692307692340173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692369246.485256410256493.3017751479289970283.0557692307692141.2307692307692386319.62628205128203109.2781065088757490356.19679487179485141.23076923076923104392.7673076923077119.928994082840231111429.337820512820582.650887573964512227.062179487179485130.579881656804731063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.2032051282051187.9763313609467439136.7737179487179493.3017751479289940173.3442307692307141.2307692307692356209.91474358974358109.2781065088757460246.485256410256445.37278106508874573283.0557692307692125.2544378698224880319.6262820512820377.3254437869822593356.19679487179485125.25443786982248100392.767307692307798.62721893491124110429.337820512820524.07100591715975212All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2015 Pat 5-7 11th 85.47 0.382 23.03 6-7 9th
1 977 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.374 21.33 6-7 10th
2 973 2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
3 969 2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.373 24.99 5-8 12th
4 968 2008 Matt 2-10 12th 83.04 0.374 20.13 3-10 12th
5 964 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.367 21.61 3-10 12th
6 955 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.369 19.83 4-9 12th
7 954 2023 Scott 6-6 9th 91.99 0.389 19.90 8-6 7th
8 954 2016 Mike R. 4-8 13th 91.24 0.387 16.09 5-8 11th
9 949 2023 Derrek 4-8 12th 92.24 0.389 17.93 5-9 12th
10 948 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.374 14.21 5-8 13th