2014 Derrek (through 12 weeks)

5-7 (0.417), 1,053.07 points

12th place

4.48 expected wins (0.373)

57-99 all-play record (0.365)

+0.4% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 101.11 120.22 Rob -19.11
2 L 64.07 133.53 Pulley -69.46 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 46.68 112.89 Rabbit -66.21 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 124.36 97.37 Pat 26.99
5 L 63.74 70.04 Ed -6.30 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 101.05 105.80 Richie -4.75
7 W 82.37 73.50 Dave 8.87
8 W 132.23 93.75 Kevin 38.48
9 L 68.29 100.76 Babel -32.47
10 W 94.20 85.66 Matt 8.54
11 W 104.02 74.61 Schertz 29.41
12 L 70.95 114.05 Mike R. -43.10
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%01234567891011120.0%30.130177514792905141.2307692307692300.0%69.77514792899409141.2307692307692310.0%109.42011834319527141.2307692307692320.0%149.06508875739644141.2307692307692330.0%188.71005917159763141.23076923076923428.1%228.3550295857988374.3334500674336950.0%268.0141.2307692307692360.0%307.64497041420117141.2307692307692370.0%347.28994082840245141.2307692307692380.0%386.93491124260356141.2307692307692390.0%426.5798816568048141.23076923076923100.0%466.2248520710059141.23076923076923110.0%505.8698224852071141.23076923076923120.0%30.130177514792905141.1745767769377300.6%69.77514792899409139.8202755565099814.9%109.42011834319527129.6756530083113216.6%149.06508875739644101.62523553921923329.1%188.7100591715976372.040.0%228.355029585798837.43613090409815515.3%268.0104.8436657084633664.6%307.64497041420117130.2425642797157670.8%347.28994082840245139.4075792828970780.1%386.93491124260356141.0647356999374790.0%426.5798816568048141.22276820013622100.0%466.2248520710059141.23058902383386110.0%505.8698224852071141.2307679644632712Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789101112Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613310th171.92097902097902208.2130177514793413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544513th278.7041958041958275.6686390532544613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272812th438.87902097902094253.18343195266272912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721011th545.6622377622377230.6982248520711113th599.053846153846275.6686390532544129th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876113th65.13776223776223275.6686390532544214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544413th225.3125874125874275.6686390532544514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544712th385.4874125874125253.18343195266272813th438.87902097902094275.6686390532544912th492.27062937062936253.183431952662721010th545.6622377622377208.21301775147931112th599.053846153846253.18343195266272129th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th65.13776223776223253.18343195266272214th118.52937062937062298.15384615384613313th171.92097902097902275.6686390532544414th225.3125874125874298.15384615384613514th278.7041958041958298.15384615384613613th332.09580419580413275.6686390532544713th385.4874125874125275.6686390532544814th438.87902097902094298.15384615384613914th492.27062937062936298.153846153846131013th545.6622377622377275.66863905325441113th599.053846153846275.668639053254412Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
11

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.08 22 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.07 35 Frank Gore RB
4.08 50 Roddy White WR
5.07 63 Golden Tate WR
6.08 78 Danny Amendola WR
7.07 91 Colin Kaepernick K QB
8.08 106 Kyle Rudolph TE
9.07 119 LeGarrette Blount RB
10.08 134 San Francisco DEF
11.07 147 Brandon LaFell WR
12.08 162 Ryan Tannehill QB
13.07 175 Jerick McKinnon RB
14.08 190 Robbie Gould K
15.07 203 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.08 218 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567891011120.00025.994871794871795141.2307692307692310.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692320.00096.25128205128203141.2307692307692330.876131.3794871794871780.582684551167840.000166.5076923076923141.2307692307692350.000201.63589743589745141.2307692307692360.243236.76410256410256124.3917153102970670.927271.8923076923076777.0256867229946680.000307.0205128205128141.2307692307692390.429342.14871794871794111.50470081461546100.594377.2769230769231100.09503365970863110.000412.4051282051282141.23076923076923120.54425.994871794871795103.5952104363135210.05761.12307692307692137.3014582266059720.01296.25128205128203140.4038876422330330.000131.3794871794871719.9345998715663940.053166.5076923076923137.52874243287950.541201.63589743589745103.7770378013319460.000236.76410256410256107.5526613898248970.000271.8923076923076712.820604215220180.089307.0205128205128135.0740730051301290.000342.1487179487179481.77863239846168100.000377.276923076923158.959298088648055110.111412.4051282051282133.5285404024734212Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789101112027.062179487179485141.230769230769231063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.23076923076923311136.7737179487179482.650887573964540173.3442307692307141.2307692307692350209.91474358974358141.2307692307692367246.4852564102564103.95266272189349711283.055769230769282.650887573964580319.62628205128203141.2307692307692394356.19679487179485119.928994082840231012392.767307692307777.32544378698225110429.3378205128205141.2307692307692312527.062179487179485114.603550295857991063.6326923076923141.2307692307692320100.20320512820511141.2307692307692330136.7737179487179424.07100591715975240173.3442307692307141.2307692307692354209.91474358974358119.9289940828402360246.485256410256466.6745562130177570283.055769230769224.07100591715975282319.62628205128203130.5798816568047390356.1967948717948598.62721893491124100392.767307692307713.42011834319527111429.3378205128205135.9053254437869812All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Derrek 5-7 12th 87.76 0.373 24.99 5-8 12th
1 991 2011 Pat 5-7 10th 88.34 0.376 25.14 5-8 11th
2 985 2013 Richie 5-7 11th 86.56 0.374 21.33 6-7 10th
3 978 2009 Pulley 4-8 12th 88.76 0.369 19.83 4-9 12th
4 970 2008 Matt 2-10 12th 83.04 0.374 20.13 3-10 12th
5 969 2015 Pat 5-7 11th 85.47 0.382 23.03 6-7 9th
6 969 2010 Pat 3-9 12th 84.74 0.367 21.61 3-10 12th
7 967 2016 Pat 7-5 5th 89.61 0.369 16.58 7-6 7th
8 966 2014 Schertz 5-7 11th 90.16 0.374 14.21 5-8 13th
9 958 2019 Richie 4-8 13th 90.95 0.364 19.87 5-8 12th
10 954 2022 Pat 6-6 10th 88.96 0.361 15.85 8-6 6th 6th place