2014 Allen (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 886.88 points

11th place

3.64 expected wins (0.364)

44-86 all-play record (0.338)

-12.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 87.44 112.07 Babel -24.63
2 W 93.15 78.05 Matt 15.10
3 L 60.70 100.87 Ed -40.17
4 W 100.35 59.65 Richie 40.70
5 L 89.05 107.18 Schertz -18.13
6 L 109.12 112.15 Rob -3.03
7 W 78.02 77.73 Kevin 0.29
8 W 108.28 98.27 Dave 10.01
9 L 63.43 91.71 Mike R. -28.28
10 L 97.34 98.82 Rabbit -1.48
11 Pulley
12 Pat
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923327.6%221.1468531468531571.9999999999999940.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.6%33.73426573426574139.803579570992804.5%80.5874125874126129.83022831491186114.9%127.44055944055944103.73689946048111226.4%174.2937062937062674.9238332114105830.0%221.146853146853152.769230769230745417.5%268.097.2208839536076156.7%314.8531468531468124.356243722511561.5%361.7062937062937137.5234839646846670.2%408.5594405594406140.8144892405166280.0%455.41258741258747141.2115750172956290.0%502.2657342657343141.230472604801510Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek10th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th77.0025641025641163.24260355029585213th142.2589743589743275.6686390532544313th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071611th403.28461538461534230.698224852071713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613913th599.053846153846275.66863905325441010th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th77.0025641025641163.24260355029585212th142.2589743589743253.18343195266272310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272512th338.0282051282051253.18343195266272611th403.28461538461534230.69822485207178th468.5410256410256163.24260355029585810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793911th599.053846153846230.6982248520711010th11.746153846153845208.213017751479318th77.0025641025641163.24260355029585213th142.2589743589743275.6686390532544312th207.5153846153846253.18343195266272412th272.77179487179484253.18343195266272511th338.0282051282051230.698224852071612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272913th599.053846153846275.668639053254410Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Arian Foster RB
2.09 23 Andre Johnson WR
3.06 34 Matthew Stafford QB
4.09 51 Torrey Smith WR
5.06 62 Pierre Thomas RB
6.09 79 DeAngelo Williams RB
7.06 90 Dennis Pitta TE
8.09 107 Rueben Randle K WR
9.06 118 Steve Smith, Sr. WR
10.09 135 Shonn Greene RB
11.06 146 Knile Davis RB
12.09 163 Arizona DEF
13.06 174 Mason Crosby K
14.09 191 Robert Woods K WR
15.06 202 Tre Mason RB
16.09 219 Latavius Murray RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.40371.66153846153847113.3532249103490120.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.521155.96923076923073105.1596292742057740.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.176282.4307692307692129.0358351431890570.664324.5846153846153595.2727663013283580.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.31329.507692307692306119.5921763725440610.00071.6615384615384785.4756805899287920.033113.8153846153846138.945426536693830.000155.9692307692307369.0884893176423140.337198.12307692307692117.8989090358098850.678240.2769230769230594.3181726349815860.000282.4307692307692116.8409010556088770.000324.5846153846153549.31476337188746680.043366.73846153846154138.2294812869336690.472408.89230769230767108.5688923683014210Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231574.60384615384615114.6035502958579920118.48846153846154141.2307692307692334162.3730769230769119.9289940828402340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692364294.026923076923119.9289940828402377337.9115384615384103.9526627218934980381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310430.719230769230762119.928994082840231074.6038461538461587.9763313609467421118.48846153846154135.9053254437869830162.373076923076998.6272189349112445206.2576923076923114.6035502958579957250.14230769230767103.9526627218934960294.02692307692398.6272189349112470337.911538461538466.6745562130177581381.79615384615386135.9053254437869896425.6807692307692109.2781065088757410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Allen 4-6 11th 88.69 0.364 16.03 6-7 10th
1 992 2021 Pulley 2-8 11th 90.11 0.363 16.69 5-9 10th
2 987 2022 Richie 4-6 12th 88.83 0.361 12.89 6-8 13th
3 985 2011 Pulley 4-6 10th 90.97 0.361 16.04 5-8 10th
4 985 2016 Pat 6-4 5th 89.05 0.359 18.07 7-6 7th
5 979 2020 Pat 4-6 12th 90.14 0.359 18.12 5-8 12th
6 975 2013 Richie 5-5 8th 87.15 0.367 21.82 6-7 10th
7 973 2016 Derrek 2-8 13th 89.70 0.353 16.78 3-10 14th
8 971 2008 Matt 1-9 12th 83.76 0.368 15.79 3-10 12th
9 969 2014 Richie 3-7 14th 88.77 0.353 20.68 6-7 9th
10 964 2014 Derrek 4-6 12th 87.81 0.370 26.36 5-8 12th