2025 Pat (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 890.93 points (89.09 average)

11th place

3.65 expected wins (0.365)

49-81 all-play record (0.377)

-21.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 W 134.30 67.92 Babel 66.38
6 L 59.19 141.42 Rabbit -82.23 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 55.01 88.58 Pulley -33.57 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 84.15 86.67 Dave -2.52
9 W 93.89 93.37 Derrek 0.52
10 L 73.89 93.48 Mike R. -19.59
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Matt
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%46.32167832167832141.2307692307692300.0%110.65734265734265141.2307692307692310.0%174.993006993007141.2307692307692320.0%239.3286713286713141.23076923076923331.5%303.664335664335772.040.0%367.99999999999994141.2307692307692350.0%432.33566433566426141.2307692307692360.0%496.67132867132864141.2307692307692370.0%561.006993006993141.2307692307692380.0%625.3426573426574141.2307692307692390.0%689.6783216783215141.23076923076923100.1%46.32167832167832141.0535461841193701.9%110.65734265734265136.96229804168104113.6%174.993006993007111.26470008712731230.6%239.328671328671374.0823117892243930.0%303.66433566433572.7692307692307736416.8%367.99999999999994104.2859645644923354.7%432.33566433566426130.7951734483902460.7%496.67132867132864139.717791023460670.0%561.006993006993141.1276194622675280.0%625.3426573426574141.228124873863790.0%689.6783216783215141.2307480691300210Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207124th142.258974358974373.3017751479289937th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041544th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289959th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793711th468.5410256410256230.698224852071811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.698224852071107th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th77.002564102564173.3017751479289924th142.258974358974373.3017751479289937th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041544th272.7717948717948473.3017751479289958th338.0282051282051163.24260355029585610th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272810th533.7974358974359208.2130177514793911th599.053846153846230.698224852071108th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207124th142.258974358974373.3017751479289939th207.5153846153846185.727810650887645th272.7717948717948495.786982248520759th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876612th403.28461538461534253.18343195266272712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272811th533.7974358974359230.698224852071911th599.053846153846230.69822485207110Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.37342.969230769230776115.3732046657418410.487104.35384615384616107.5443270487955420.000165.73846153846156141.2307692307692330.000227.12307692307695141.2307692307692340.931288.507692307692376.7872510925568650.000349.89230769230767141.2307692307692360.000411.276923076923141.2307692307692370.000472.6615384615384141.2307692307692380.431534.0461538461539111.3811806189233290.000595.4307692307691141.23076923076923100.00042.96923076923077689.5156401007144610.000104.3538461538461673.8578848668218620.885165.7384615384615679.9905540662577330.115227.12307692307695133.3005752184057540.000288.507692307692312.34373295434448950.026349.89230769230767139.4545274921121660.015411.276923076923140.1920094489075670.247472.6615384615384124.1190495140066380.000534.046153846153981.5315920070774290.137595.4307692307691131.7522421732844310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910644.18076923076923109.2781065088757416107.29615384615383109.2781065088757420170.41153846153844141.2307692307692330233.52692307692305141.23076923076923412296.642307692307777.3254437869822550359.7576923076923141.2307692307692360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692370485.9884615384615141.2307692307692387549.1038461538462103.9526627218934990612.2192307692309141.2307692307692310044.1807692307692377.3254437869822510107.2961538461538377.32544378698225212170.4115384615384477.3254437869822531233.52692307692305135.9053254437869840296.642307692307713.4201183431952750359.7576923076923141.2307692307692360422.8730769230769141.2307692307692374485.9884615384615119.9289940828402380549.103846153846266.6745562130177591612.2192307692309135.9053254437869810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 4-6 11th 89.09 0.365 25.19
1 991 2014 Derrek 4-6 12th 87.81 0.365 26.36 5-8 12th
2 980 2014 Allen 4-6 11th 88.69 0.365 16.03 6-7 10th
3 976 2016 Pat 6-4 5th 89.05 0.360 18.07 7-6 7th
4 973 2014 Richie 3-7 14th 88.77 0.356 20.68 6-7 9th
5 972 2021 Pulley 2-8 11th 90.11 0.361 16.69 5-9 10th
6 971 2013 Richie 5-5 8th 87.15 0.372 21.82 6-7 10th
7 969 2023 Scott 5-5 9th 90.92 0.372 20.74 8-6 7th
8 968 2020 Pat 4-6 12th 90.14 0.358 18.12 5-8 12th
9 965 2022 Richie 4-6 12th 88.83 0.360 12.89 6-8 13th
10 963 2011 Pulley 4-6 10th 90.97 0.359 16.04 5-8 10th