2019 Pat (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 825.70 points

8th place

4.09 expected wins (0.512)

47-57 all-play record (0.452)

+1.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 W 131.67 92.84 Babel 38.83 Team Blangums
5 W 117.60 94.00 Ed 23.60
6 L 101.80 109.50 Mike R. -7.70
7 L 79.02 95.43 Richie -16.41
8 W 110.23 104.75 Scott 5.48
9 Dave
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923331.0%268.071.9999999999999940.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944141.0012303726314301.5%96.20512820512818137.8051572607122418.3%153.47008547008548122.70868429611369221.8%210.7350427350427392.5143211503759630.0%268.02.769230769230745424.5%325.264957264957386.45207019698759510.5%382.52991452991455117.7804164637891262.2%439.79487179487177136.3505177412368770.2%497.05982905982904140.86253182358118Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th95.64725274725272208.213017751479329th179.54835164835166185.727810650887635th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289956th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124165th515.152747252747295.786982248520775th599.05384615384695.7869822485207810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793211th179.54835164835166230.69822485207136th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124146th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124156th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124169th515.1527472527472185.727810650887678th599.053846153846163.2426035502958589th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479335th263.4494505494505595.786982248520746th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124156th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124166th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124176th599.053846153846118.272189349112418Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.26287.46923076923076123.0711670142070620.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.871192.8538461538461880.9099467505573840.754245.5461538461538689.0467213351323650.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.650403.623076923076996.240266463674280.50934.776923076923076106.0248515437287710.00087.46923076923076104.911564797644920.404140.16153846153844113.2752177238388630.000192.8538461538461820.58912427034553640.000245.5461538461538636.86267343949549550.500298.2384615384615106.5816978490977260.143350.93076923076916131.3215837019185770.000403.623076923076951.2497636965791948Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231691.06057692307692109.2781065088757420145.91634615384615141.23076923076923313200.7721153846153872.047255.6278846153846103.9526627218934950310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692376420.1951923076923109.278106508875748536.20480769230769114.603550295857991091.0605769230769277.3254437869822525145.91634615384615114.6035502958579930200.772115384615382.769230769230773640255.627884615384666.6745562130177554310.48365384615386119.9289940828402361365.3394230769231135.9053254437869870420.195192307692377.325443786982258All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.512 15.66 6-7 9th
1 975 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.507 22.91 6-8 10th
2 974 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.504 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
3 966 2011 Kevin 4-4 6th 104.56 0.511 29.13 6-7 8th
4 965 2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.508 14.79 6-7 7th
5 965 2011 Dave 3-5 10th 100.07 0.511 25.96 3-10 12th
6 962 2016 Ed 4-4 7th 100.49 0.524 16.57 6-7 9th
7 962 2020 Rabbit 4-4 6th 103.79 0.502 23.84 6-7 10th
8 962 2012 Allen 3-5 7th 101.75 0.520 23.52 6-7 8th
9 961 2009 Rob 4-4 6th 98.45 0.520 17.62 8-5 3rd 4th place
10 961 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.503 20.45 5-9 11th