2019 Pat (through 8 weeks)

4-4 (0.500), 825.70 points (103.21 average)

8th place

4.06 expected wins (0.508)

47-57 all-play record (0.452)

+0.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 102.27 115.23 Rob -12.96
2 W 87.25 75.97 Kevin 11.28
3 L 95.86 145.86 Pulley -50.00
4 W 131.67 92.84 Babel 38.83 Team Blangums
5 W 117.60 94.00 Ed 23.60
6 L 101.80 109.50 Mike R. -7.70
7 L 79.02 95.43 Richie -16.41
8 W 110.23 104.75 Scott 5.48
9 Dave
10 Derrek
11 Matt
12 Rabbit
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.2307692307692320.0%210.73504273504273141.23076923076923331.0%268.072.040.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.1%38.940170940170944140.9936889861019201.6%96.20512820512818137.6349523575903518.6%153.47008547008548121.95651924914179222.3%210.7350427350427391.470230462306230.0%268.02.7692307692307736424.0%325.264957264957387.56395475526449510.1%382.52991452991455118.6572350931594662.1%439.79487179487177136.5900139412128270.2%497.05982905982904140.882293390158968Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th95.64725274725272208.213017751479329th179.54835164835166185.727810650887635th263.4494505494505595.786982248520744th347.350549450549473.3017751479289956th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124166th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124175th599.05384615384695.7869822485207810th11.746153846153845208.2130177514793110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793211th179.54835164835166230.69822485207136th263.44945054945055118.2721893491124146th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124156th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124169th515.1527472527472185.727810650887678th599.053846153846163.2426035502958589th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876110th95.64725274725272208.2130177514793210th179.54835164835166208.213017751479335th263.4494505494505595.786982248520746th347.3505494505494118.2721893491124156th431.2516483516483118.2721893491124166th515.1527472527472118.2721893491124176th599.053846153846118.272189349112418Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
7

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.06 6 Michael Thomas WR
2.09 23 Leonard Fournette RB
3.06 34 David Montgomery RB
4.09 51 Josh Gordon WR
5.06 62 Carson Wentz QB
6.09 79 Sterling Shepard WR
7.06 90 David Njoku TE
8.09 107 Nick Chubb K RB
9.06 118 Christian Kirk K WR
10.09 135 Mitchell Trubisky QB
11.06 146 Nyheim Hines RB
12.09 163 Jordan Reed TE
13.06 174 DaeSean Hamilton WR
14.09 191 Hollywood Brown WR
15.06 202 New Orleans DEF
16.09 219 Mike Badgley K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.00034.776923076923076141.2307692307692310.26287.46923076923076123.0683355168300720.000140.16153846153844141.2307692307692330.879192.8538461538461880.3639639710323840.749245.5461538461538689.363862545606650.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.634403.623076923076997.3650917448047680.50434.776923076923076106.3050627354837910.00087.46923076923076104.9059018028909420.396140.16153846153844113.794650137401430.000192.8538461538461819.49715871129552640.000245.5461538461538637.4969558604439550.494298.2384615384615107.0647639125409760.144350.93076923076916131.2309795704827670.000403.623076923076953.499414258840298Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678036.20480769230769141.230769230769231691.06057692307692109.2781065088757420145.91634615384615141.23076923076923313200.7721153846153872.047255.6278846153846103.9526627218934950310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692376420.1951923076923109.278106508875748536.20480769230769114.603550295857991091.0605769230769277.3254437869822525145.91634615384615114.6035502958579930200.772115384615382.769230769230773640255.627884615384666.6745562130177554310.48365384615386119.9289940828402361365.3394230769231135.9053254437869870420.195192307692377.325443786982258All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.508 15.66 6-7 9th
1 978 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.502 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
2 975 2023 Dave 4-4 7th 102.73 0.504 22.91 6-8 10th
3 972 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.505 20.45 5-9 11th
4 971 2020 Rabbit 4-4 6th 103.79 0.503 23.84 6-7 10th
5 966 2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.512 14.79 6-7 7th
6 964 2016 Ed 4-4 7th 100.49 0.520 16.57 6-7 9th
7 963 2020 Richie 4-4 8th 99.78 0.500 18.97 7-6 7th
8 962 2011 Matt 4-4 7th 99.50 0.498 16.72 7-6 6th 2nd place
9 962 2022 Kevin 4-4 8th 99.30 0.501 20.03 6-8 12th
10 962 2011 Kevin 4-4 6th 104.56 0.505 29.13 6-7 8th