2009 Allen (through 8 weeks)

3-5 (0.375), 775.89 points

9th place

4.06 expected wins (0.508)

43-45 all-play record (0.489)

+12.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 101.19 82.27 Mike R. 18.92
2 L 96.95 113.43 Derrek -16.48
3 W 107.45 98.81 Babel 8.64
4 L 101.62 118.20 Rob -16.58
5 L 65.14 78.27 Ed -13.13 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 82.35 85.04 Pulley -2.69 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 109.55 133.67 Matt -24.12
8 W 111.64 108.57 Rabbit 3.07
9 Kevin
10 Dave
11 Pat
12 Mike R.
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456780.0%38.940170940170944141.2307692307692300.0%96.20512820512818141.2307692307692310.0%153.47008547008548141.23076923076923221.7%210.7350427350427391.9637233131491330.0%268.0141.2307692307692340.0%325.2649572649573141.2307692307692350.0%382.52991452991455141.2307692307692360.0%439.79487179487177141.2307692307692370.0%497.05982905982904141.2307692307692380.2%38.940170940170944140.8440230777389401.9%96.20512820512818136.888886426178418.8%153.47008547008548121.1699542036078620.0%210.7350427350427342.69667739552902330.4%268.072.0424.4%325.264957264957385.6452778105097510.5%382.52991452991455117.4329458422707362.0%439.79487179487177136.706198734507170.1%497.05982905982904140.990588897462718Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th95.64725274725272165.286713286713322nd179.5483516483516632.4195804195804336th263.44945054945055138.7132867132867548th347.3505494505494191.860139860139959th431.2516483516483218.4335664335664569th515.1527472527472218.4335664335664576th599.053846153846138.7132867132867586th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th95.64725274725272165.286713286713322nd179.5483516483516632.4195804195804338th263.44945054945055191.8601398601399410th347.3505494505494245.006993006993511th431.2516483516483271.5804195804196611th515.1527472527472271.580419580419679th599.053846153846218.4335664335664586th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th95.64725274725272165.286713286713322nd179.5483516483516632.4195804195804336th263.44945054945055138.7132867132867548th347.3505494505494191.860139860139959th431.2516483516483218.4335664335664569th515.1527472527472218.4335664335664577th599.053846153846165.28671328671338Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Peyton Manning K QB
2.05 17 Terrell Owens WR
3.08 32 Roy Williams WR
4.05 41 Jonathan Stewart RB
5.08 56 Owen Daniels TE
6.05 65 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.08 80 LenDale White RB
8.05 89 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
9.08 104 DeAngelo Williams K RB
10.05 113 Bobby Engram WR
11.08 128 New York DEF
12.05 137 Jason Campbell QB
13.08 152 Robbie Gould K
14.05 161 Nate Washington WR
15.08 176 Isaac Bruce WR
16.05 185 Bo Scaife TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456780.55834.776923076923076102.6316370144956810.00087.46923076923076141.2307692307692320.675140.1615384615384494.51759085054830.000192.85384615384618141.2307692307692340.000245.54615384615386141.2307692307692350.000298.2384615384615141.2307692307692360.000350.93076923076916141.2307692307692370.737403.623076923076990.1878267210465280.00034.77692307692307664.0325047982221310.48687.46923076923076107.5637042906207520.000140.1615384615384447.8044124703267830.565192.85384615384618102.0975191297540340.077245.54615384615386135.9287732334966650.256298.2384615384615123.5190555709884360.707350.9307692307691692.2902056290721870.000403.623076923076939.14488421132388Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678636.20480769230769103.468531468531471091.06057692307692141.2307692307692329145.9163461538461584.5874125874125930200.77211538461538141.2307692307692340255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692360365.3394230769231141.2307692307692379420.195192307692384.587412587412598036.2048076923076965.706293706293721591.06057692307692109.7622377622377620145.9163461538461527.94405594405594736200.77211538461538103.4685314685314740255.6278846153846141.2307692307692350310.48365384615386141.2307692307692368365.339423076923190.8811188811188870420.195192307692327.9440559440559478All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Allen 3-5 9th 96.99 0.508 14.79 6-7 7th
1 981 2008 Ed 4-4 7th 92.62 0.507 14.62 6-7 6th 3rd place
2 979 2009 Babel 3-5 11th 96.48 0.500 13.38 5-8 9th
3 975 2017 Schertz 3-5 9th 93.67 0.503 16.54 5-8 10th
4 972 2011 Ed 5-3 4th 101.16 0.504 17.06 9-4 1st 3rd place
5 969 2017 Ed 3-5 8th 95.19 0.501 20.17 4-9 13th
6 969 2023 Pat 3-5 10th 99.89 0.503 20.45 5-9 11th
7 967 2010 Derrek 5-3 4th 95.07 0.517 18.04 7-6 5th 3rd place
8 966 2009 Derrek 3-5 10th 96.68 0.492 15.33 7-6 5th 3rd place
9 965 2012 Rob 2-6 12th 98.15 0.522 14.36 3-10 13th
10 965 2019 Pat 4-4 8th 103.21 0.512 15.66 6-7 9th