2023 Pat (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 1,007.45 points (100.74 average)

10th place

5.22 expected wins (0.522)

65-65 all-play record (0.500)

+28.8% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 56.18 120.90 Rabbit -64.72 Slapped Heartbeat
2 W 99.99 88.68 Derrek 11.31
3 W 132.84 125.95 Matt 6.89
4 L 93.83 103.39 Pulley -9.56
5 L 107.37 118.00 Scott -10.63
6 W 90.72 86.28 Babel 4.44
7 L 110.68 144.61 Dave -33.93
8 L 107.48 129.08 Rabbit -21.60
9 W 91.18 79.26 Kevin 11.92
10 L 117.18 122.53 Rob -5.35
11 Mike R.
12 Richie
13 Ed
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923319.3%221.1468531468531593.3413948820144640.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2032251221726800.2%80.5874125874126140.6133033808674212.0%127.44055944055944136.2751508719363228.1%174.29370629370626120.9931473870140330.0%221.1468531468531545.452020533259684427.8%268.072.0524.8%314.853146853146879.48293156932112613.3%361.7062937062937108.2146513506445973.9%408.5594405594406131.5505698060513380.5%455.41258741258747140.027887032263590.0%502.2657342657343141.2266476761059310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek14th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th77.0025641025641208.213017751479328th142.2589743589743163.2426035502958538th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958548th272.77179487179484163.2426035502958557th338.0282051282051140.7573964497041566th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124176th468.5410256410256118.2721893491124188th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958597th599.053846153846140.757396449704151014th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613110th77.0025641025641208.213017751479327th142.2589743589743140.7573964497041538th207.5153846153846163.2426035502958549th272.77179487179484185.727810650887658th338.0282051282051163.2426035502958569th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876710th468.5410256410256208.213017751479389th533.7974358974359185.7278106508876910th599.053846153846208.21301775147931014th11.746153846153845298.15384615384613112th77.0025641025641253.1834319526627229th142.2589743589743185.727810650887639th207.5153846153846185.727810650887649th272.77179487179484185.727810650887658th338.0282051282051163.2426035502958567th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041578th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958597th599.053846153846140.7573964497041510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.09 9 Davante Adams WR
2.06 20 Ja'Marr Chase K WR
3.09 37 Lamar Jackson QB
4.06 48 Alvin Kamara RB
5.09 65 D'Andre Swift RB
6.06 76 A.J. Dillon RB
7.09 93 Chris Olave K WR
8.06 104 Dalton Kincaid TE
9.09 121 Dalton Schultz TE
10.06 132 Kenneth Gainwell RB
11.09 149 Devin Singletary RB
12.06 160 K.J. Osborn WR
13.09 177 Matthew Stafford QB
14.06 188 New England DEF
15.09 205 Jason Myers K
16.06 216 Josh Downs WR

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.49871.66153846153847106.785152837327720.916113.815384615384677.7910848818042130.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.349240.27692307692305117.0802606136757360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.356366.73846153846154116.5933366189486390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00429.507692307692306140.987573407950910.00071.6615384615384772.3395364438861720.000113.815384615384614.35140053283919330.417155.96923076923073112.3901791993426140.618198.1230769230769298.4666301524642550.000240.2769230769230592.9297519965822460.678282.430769230769294.3187233778061870.623324.5846153846153598.0751809398889580.000366.7384615384615491.9559040071280190.767408.8923076923076788.1231639472924810Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231574.60384615384615114.60355029585799212118.4884615384615477.3254437869822530162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692357250.14230769230767103.9526627218934960294.026923076923141.2307692307692370337.9115384615384141.2307692307692387381.79615384615386103.9526627218934990425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.6038461538461587.9763313609467420118.4884615384615413.4201183431952735162.3730769230769114.6035502958579947206.2576923076923103.9526627218934950250.1423076923076766.67455621301775610294.02692307692387.9763313609467474337.9115384615384119.9289940828402380381.7961538461538666.6745562130177598425.680769230769298.6272189349112410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2023 Pat 4-6 10th 100.75 0.522 19.27 5-9 11th
1 990 2024 Babel 8-2 2nd 102.21 0.524 18.68 9-5 4th 4th place
2 982 2022 Matt 5-5 7th 100.66 0.518 23.39 6-8 11th
3 982 2011 Matt 5-5 7th 102.38 0.518 20.30 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 978 2009 Allen 4-6 10th 99.45 0.528 16.60 6-7 7th
5 974 2012 Rob 2-8 12th 97.86 0.524 14.05 3-10 13th
6 968 2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.511 15.43 6-8 8th
7 967 2021 Kevin 5-5 8th 102.16 0.514 24.39 5-9 9th
8 966 2010 Pulley 7-3 3rd 96.39 0.515 19.77 8-5 4th 5th place
9 966 2018 Rob 7-3 5th 106.49 0.518 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
10 965 2010 Babel 6-4 4th 99.19 0.535 20.64 8-5 3rd 6th place