2009 Allen (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 994.45 points (99.44 average)

10th place

5.28 expected wins (0.528)

56-54 all-play record (0.509)

+11.5% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 101.19 82.27 Mike R. 18.92
2 L 96.95 113.43 Derrek -16.48
3 W 107.45 98.81 Babel 8.64
4 L 101.62 118.20 Rob -16.58
5 L 65.14 78.27 Ed -13.13 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 82.35 85.04 Pulley -2.69 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 109.55 133.67 Matt -24.12
8 W 111.64 108.57 Rabbit 3.07
9 L 89.74 94.23 Kevin -4.49
10 W 128.82 110.58 Dave 18.24
11 Pat
12 Mike R.
13 Derrek

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923318.6%221.1468531468531595.1085364913527440.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2110157062779200.2%80.5874125874126140.7303671141122511.7%127.44055944055944136.9232183546403427.5%174.29370629370626122.6328023254170530.0%221.1468531468531548.98630375193626427.9%268.072.0525.6%314.853146853146877.85012656702267613.8%361.7062937062937106.9069834808289674.1%408.5594405594406131.0927143508129780.6%455.41258741258747139.8664508257572890.0%502.2657342657343141.18095842073910Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th77.0025641025641165.286713286713322nd142.258974358974332.4195804195804336th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867548th272.77179487179484191.860139860139959th338.0282051282051218.4335664335664569th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664576th468.5410256410256138.7132867132867587th533.7974358974359165.286713286713396th599.053846153846138.71328671328675106th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th77.0025641025641165.286713286713322nd142.258974358974332.4195804195804338th207.5153846153846191.8601398601399410th272.77179487179484245.006993006993511th338.0282051282051271.5804195804196611th403.28461538461534271.580419580419679th468.5410256410256218.43356643356645810th533.7974358974359245.006993006993910th599.053846153846245.006993006993106th11.746153846153845138.7132867132867517th77.0025641025641165.286713286713322nd142.258974358974332.4195804195804336th207.5153846153846138.7132867132867548th272.77179487179484191.860139860139959th338.0282051282051218.4335664335664569th403.28461538461534218.4335664335664577th468.5410256410256165.286713286713388th533.7974358974359191.860139860139997th599.053846153846165.286713286713310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Peyton Manning K QB
2.05 17 Terrell Owens WR
3.08 32 Roy Williams WR
4.05 41 Jonathan Stewart RB
5.08 56 Owen Daniels TE
6.05 65 Jerricho Cotchery WR
7.08 80 LenDale White RB
8.05 89 Ahmad Bradshaw RB
9.08 104 DeAngelo Williams K RB
10.05 113 Bobby Engram WR
11.08 128 New York DEF
12.05 137 Jason Campbell QB
13.08 152 Robbie Gould K
14.05 161 Nate Washington WR
15.08 176 Isaac Bruce WR
16.05 185 Bo Scaife TE

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.54929.507692307692306103.2555115429552510.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.676113.815384615384694.4454736880962930.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.747324.5846153846153589.5245545713155580.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.931408.8923076923076776.7788268750316100.00029.50769230769230665.2802538551412510.48771.66153846153847107.5199646001001120.000113.815384615384647.6601781454233330.563155.96923076923073102.2795538602566140.053198.12307692307692137.5884109783827450.222240.27692307692305125.8369017395307660.715282.430769230769291.7643955167290570.000324.5846153846153537.81833991186185580.340366.73846153846154117.6758167571544890.000408.8923076923076712.3268845192939710Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0066111112345678910630.719230769230762103.468531468531471074.60384615384615141.2307692307692329118.4884615384615484.5874125874125930162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692360294.026923076923141.2307692307692379337.911538461538484.5874125874125980381.79615384615386141.23076923076923910425.680769230769278.293706293706310030.71923076923076265.706293706293721574.60384615384615109.7622377622377620118.4884615384615427.94405594405594736162.3730769230769103.4685314685314740206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692368294.02692307692390.8811188811188870337.911538461538427.94405594405594783381.79615384615386122.3496503496503590425.680769230769215.3566433566433610All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2009 Allen 4-6 10th 99.45 0.528 16.60 6-7 7th
1 981 2012 Rob 2-8 12th 97.86 0.524 14.05 3-10 13th
2 978 2023 Pat 4-6 10th 100.75 0.522 19.27 5-9 11th
3 977 2010 Babel 6-4 4th 99.19 0.535 20.64 8-5 3rd 6th place
4 976 2024 Babel 8-2 2nd 102.21 0.524 18.68 9-5 4th 4th place
5 966 2020 Scott 6-4 5th 101.51 0.538 13.48 7-6 8th
6 961 2022 Matt 5-5 7th 100.66 0.518 23.39 6-8 11th
7 960 2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.511 15.43 6-8 8th
8 960 2011 Matt 5-5 7th 102.38 0.518 20.30 7-6 6th 2nd place
9 959 2013 Dave 4-6 11th 100.18 0.541 22.45 7-6 5th 4th place
10 955 2010 Pulley 7-3 3rd 96.39 0.515 19.77 8-5 4th 5th place