2021 Kevin (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,021.57 points (102.16 average)

8th place

5.14 expected wins (0.514)

65-65 all-play record (0.500)

+12.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 102.07 81.96 Matt 20.11
2 L 77.65 167.50 Rabbit -89.85
3 W 139.14 108.74 Mike R. 30.40
4 W 97.37 85.80 Pulley 11.57
5 W 137.65 99.24 Ed 38.41
6 L 123.81 135.25 Babel -11.44
7 W 103.44 100.12 Rob 3.32
8 L 102.26 104.54 Matt -2.28
9 L 73.47 120.87 Derrek -47.40
10 L 64.71 79.95 Scott -15.24
11 Pat
12 Richie
13 Schertz
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923431.9%268.072.050.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.227221026305700.1%80.5874125874126141.0702483174861211.1%127.44055944055944138.7404179042170527.3%174.29370629370626125.3084603526327321.3%221.1468531468531594.9728729104714740.0%268.02.7692307692307736525.6%314.853146853146885.70439982669544610.6%361.7062937062937118.2432418184557772.0%408.5594405594406136.865294516306280.2%455.41258741258747140.8823900961445290.0%502.2657342657343141.2218597049273410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207126th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124137th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041556th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124166th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124174th468.541025641025673.3017751479289987th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041597th599.053846153846140.75739644970415106th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124119th77.0025641025641185.727810650887625th142.258974358974395.786982248520736th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124145th272.7717948717948495.786982248520755th338.028205128205195.786982248520764th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289978th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958598th599.053846153846163.24260355029585108th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207125th142.258974358974395.786982248520737th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041556th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124165th403.2846153846153495.786982248520775th468.541025641025695.786982248520786th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124198th599.053846153846163.2426035502958510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Davante Adams K WR
2.01 15 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
3.14 42 D.J. Moore WR
4.01 43 Kareem Hunt RB
5.14 70 Logan Thomas TE
6.01 71 Corey Davis WR
7.14 98 Josh Allen K QB
8.01 99 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
9.14 126 T.Y. Hilton WR
10.01 127 Jonnu Smith TE
11.14 154 Russell Gage WR
12.01 155 Cole Beasley WR
13.14 182 J.D. McKissic RB
14.01 183 Derek Carr QB
15.14 210 Kansas City DEF
16.01 211 Robbie Gould K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.53329.507692307692306104.3602926589963410.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.949113.815384615384675.5163742472950930.457155.96923076923073109.5953622640675540.941198.1230769230769276.0814879751937750.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.563282.4307692307692102.2694641543495570.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230667.4898160872234710.15871.66153846153847130.2973669565657520.000113.81538461538469.80197926382095430.000155.9692307692307377.9599552973658540.000198.1230769230769210.93220671961830750.853240.2769230769230582.1534150270200960.000282.430769230769263.3081590779298770.536324.58461538461535104.1317399947925880.102366.73846153846154134.1752407288969490.046408.89230769230767138.0782477573910Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910630.719230769230762109.278106508875741074.60384615384615141.23076923076923212118.4884615384615477.3254437869822535162.3730769230769114.60355029585799411206.257692307692382.650887573964550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692368294.02692307692398.6272189349112470337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076277.325443786982251274.60384615384615130.5798816568047320118.4884615384615413.4201183431952730162.373076923076987.9763313609467440206.257692307692324.07100591715975259250.1423076923076793.3017751479289960294.02692307692356.0236686390532477337.9115384615384103.9526627218934983381.79615384615386125.2544378698224892425.6807692307692130.5798816568047310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Kevin 5-5 8th 102.16 0.514 24.39 5-9 9th
1 984 2022 Matt 5-5 7th 100.66 0.518 23.39 6-8 11th
2 983 2011 Matt 5-5 7th 102.38 0.518 20.30 7-6 6th 2nd place
3 976 2015 Schertz 7-3 2nd 100.31 0.506 24.70 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 973 2011 Ed 7-3 1st 101.86 0.505 20.01 9-4 1st 3rd place
5 970 2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.511 15.43 6-8 8th
6 968 2024 Babel 8-2 2nd 102.21 0.524 18.68 9-5 4th 4th place
7 967 2023 Pat 4-6 10th 100.75 0.522 19.27 5-9 11th
8 966 2010 Pulley 7-3 3rd 96.39 0.515 19.77 8-5 4th 5th place
9 964 2009 Ed 6-4 3rd 102.20 0.500 28.21 7-6 4th 6th place
10 962 2018 Rob 7-3 5th 106.49 0.518 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place