2021 Kevin (through 10 weeks)

5-5 (0.500), 1,021.57 points

8th place

5.14 expected wins (0.514)

65-65 all-play record (0.500)

+12.9% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 102.07 81.96 Matt 20.11
2 L 77.65 167.50 Rabbit -89.85
3 W 139.14 108.74 Mike R. 30.40
4 W 97.37 85.80 Pulley 11.57
5 W 137.65 99.24 Ed 38.41
6 L 123.81 135.25 Babel -11.44
7 W 103.44 100.12 Rob 3.32
8 L 102.26 104.54 Matt -2.28
9 L 73.47 120.87 Derrek -47.40
10 L 64.71 79.95 Scott -15.24
11 Pat
12 Richie
13 Schertz
14 Dave

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.2307692307692330.0%221.14685314685315141.23076923076923431.7%268.071.9999999999999950.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.2263220718627400.1%80.5874125874126141.0488554933675711.2%127.44055944055944138.6203420448357827.3%174.29370629370626125.19127198182944321.1%221.1468531468531595.101530143316540.0%268.02.769230769230745525.6%314.853146853146885.18276460801857610.8%361.7062937062937117.7064891334476872.1%408.5594405594406136.6844967621772280.2%455.41258741258747140.8636941376270890.0%502.2657342657343141.2217205109450310Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207126th142.2589743589743118.2721893491124137th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041556th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124166th403.28461538461534118.2721893491124174th468.541025641025673.3017751479289987th533.7974358974359140.7573964497041597th599.053846153846140.75739644970415106th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124119th77.0025641025641185.727810650887625th142.258974358974395.786982248520736th207.5153846153846118.2721893491124145th272.7717948717948495.786982248520755th338.028205128205195.786982248520764th403.2846153846153473.3017751479289978th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958598th599.053846153846163.24260355029585108th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th77.0025641025641230.69822485207125th142.258974358974395.786982248520737th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041547th272.77179487179484140.7573964497041556th338.0282051282051118.2721893491124165th403.2846153846153495.786982248520775th468.541025641025695.786982248520786th533.7974358974359118.2721893491124198th599.053846153846163.2426035502958510Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.14 14 Davante Adams K WR
2.01 15 Clyde Edwards-Helaire RB
3.14 42 D.J. Moore WR
4.01 43 Kareem Hunt RB
5.14 70 Logan Thomas TE
6.01 71 Corey Davis WR
7.14 98 Josh Allen K QB
8.01 99 Marvin Jones, Jr. WR
9.14 126 T.Y. Hilton WR
10.01 127 Jonnu Smith TE
11.14 154 Russell Gage WR
12.01 155 Cole Beasley WR
13.14 182 J.D. McKissic RB
14.01 183 Derek Carr QB
15.14 210 Kansas City DEF
16.01 211 Robbie Gould K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.53929.507692307692306103.9102966960813310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.941113.815384615384676.0679814276334330.459155.96923076923073109.4219386982026440.935198.1230769230769276.5225498401795250.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.564282.4307692307692102.1829367284061970.000324.58461538461535141.2307692307692380.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.00029.50769230769230666.5898241613934410.16071.66153846153847130.1729867309315720.000113.815384615384610.90519362449762830.000155.9692307692307377.6131081656360640.000198.1230769230769211.81433044958981850.851240.2769230769230582.2955686795148460.000282.430769230769263.13510422604315470.542324.58461538461535103.705740910435680.111366.73846153846154133.5254287734589790.041408.89230769230767138.3893107877021310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910630.719230769230762109.278106508875741074.60384615384615141.23076923076923212118.4884615384615477.3254437869822535162.3730769230769114.60355029585799411206.257692307692382.650887573964550250.14230769230767141.2307692307692368294.02692307692398.6272189349112470337.9115384615384141.2307692307692380381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310030.71923076923076277.325443786982251274.60384615384615130.5798816568047320118.4884615384615413.4201183431952730162.373076923076987.9763313609467440206.257692307692324.07100591715975259250.1423076923076793.3017751479289960294.02692307692356.0236686390532477337.9115384615384103.9526627218934983381.79615384615386125.2544378698224892425.6807692307692130.5798816568047310All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Kevin 5-5 8th 102.16 0.514 24.39 5-9 9th
1 989 2022 Matt 5-5 7th 100.66 0.516 23.39 6-8 11th
2 987 2011 Matt 5-5 7th 102.38 0.516 20.30 7-6 6th 2nd place
3 974 2009 Ed 6-4 3rd 102.20 0.505 28.21 7-6 4th 6th place
4 972 2011 Ed 7-3 1st 101.86 0.506 20.01 9-4 1st 3rd place
5 971 2023 Pat 4-6 10th 100.75 0.521 19.27 5-9 11th
6 970 2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.512 15.43 6-8 8th
7 970 2015 Schertz 7-3 2nd 100.31 0.503 24.70 9-4 2nd 2nd place
8 967 2024 Babel 8-2 2nd 102.21 0.525 18.68 9-5 4th
9 963 2010 Pulley 7-3 3rd 96.39 0.512 19.77 8-5 4th 5th place
10 954 2009 Allen 4-6 10th 99.45 0.524 16.60 6-7 7th