2021 Ed (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 1,003.73 points (100.37 average)

9th place

5.11 expected wins (0.511)

68-62 all-play record (0.523)

+16.0% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 W 113.83 104.34 Schertz 9.49 Team Blangums
9 L 87.10 96.45 Dave -9.35
10 L 75.84 82.07 Rabbit -6.23
11 Mike R.
12 Pulley
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692329.2%174.29370629370626118.7661505790955830.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.186739003191500.3%80.5874125874126140.429482169235312.4%127.44055944055944135.4010316378444320.0%174.2937062937062696.30153192742193320.7%221.1468531468531590.59728739293031428.3%268.072.0523.6%314.853146853146883.6195988109915611.7%361.7062937062937112.6608146566314373.3%408.5594405594406133.2010883637076480.5%455.41258741258747140.0808026581248790.0%502.2657342657343141.16692237934710Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th77.0025641025641140.75739644970415210th142.2589743589743208.213017751479339th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479358th338.0282051282051163.2426035502958569th403.28461538461534185.727810650887678th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958598th599.053846153846163.24260355029585108th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124129th142.2589743589743185.7278106508876311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071411th272.77179487179484230.69822485207159th338.0282051282051185.727810650887669th403.28461538461534185.727810650887679th468.5410256410256185.727810650887689th533.7974358974359185.727810650887699th599.053846153846185.7278106508876105th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th77.0025641025641140.75739644970415210th142.2589743589743208.213017751479339th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479359th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876610th403.28461538461534208.213017751479378th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958589th533.7974358974359185.727810650887699th599.053846153846185.727810650887610Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.37471.66153846153847115.3552308697423120.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.866240.2769230769230581.3022067063365660.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.744324.5846153846153589.7283384838986580.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.67329.50769230769230694.6066973523422510.00071.6615384615384789.4796925087153920.189113.8153846153846128.160870987081430.614155.9692307692307398.7096937300497440.485198.12307692307692107.6323688218204850.000240.2769230769230521.37364418190388460.741282.430769230769289.9572449209859970.000324.5846153846153538.22590773702809580.295366.73846153846154120.8251902880617590.131408.89230769230767132.1487835076267510Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231574.60384615384615114.6035502958579920118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.23076923076923510250.1423076923076787.9763313609467460294.026923076923141.23076923076923713337.911538461538472.080381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310930.71923076923076293.301775147928991074.6038461538461587.9763313609467423118.48846153846154125.2544378698224837162.3730769230769103.9526627218934942206.2576923076923130.5798816568047350250.1423076923076734.72189349112425611294.02692307692382.650887573964570337.91153846153842.769230769230773685381.79615384615386114.6035502958579993425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.511 15.43 6-8 8th
1 973 2011 Ed 7-3 1st 101.86 0.505 20.01 9-4 1st 3rd place
2 970 2015 Mike R. 7-3 3rd 96.29 0.506 16.98 8-5 4th 6th place
3 970 2015 Schertz 7-3 2nd 100.31 0.506 24.70 9-4 2nd 2nd place
4 970 2021 Kevin 5-5 8th 102.16 0.514 24.39 5-9 9th
5 970 2022 Matt 5-5 7th 100.66 0.518 23.39 6-8 11th
6 969 2011 Matt 5-5 7th 102.38 0.518 20.30 7-6 6th 2nd place
7 968 2023 Pat 4-6 10th 100.75 0.522 19.27 5-9 11th
8 968 2010 Pulley 7-3 3rd 96.39 0.515 19.77 8-5 4th 5th place
9 964 2009 Rob 6-4 4th 97.83 0.499 15.98 8-5 3rd 4th place
10 962 2009 Babel 3-7 11th 97.25 0.500 14.18 5-8 9th