2021 Ed (through 10 weeks)

3-7 (0.300), 1,003.73 points

9th place

5.12 expected wins (0.512)

68-62 all-play record (0.523)

+16.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.60 127.82 Dave -18.22
2 W 92.03 75.92 Rob 16.11
3 L 80.16 100.35 Matt -20.19
4 L 106.49 130.98 Derrek -24.49
5 L 99.24 137.65 Kevin -38.41
6 W 125.74 91.28 Pat 34.46
7 L 113.70 123.50 Richie -9.80
8 W 113.83 104.34 Schertz 9.49 Team Blangums
9 L 87.10 96.45 Dave -9.35
10 L 75.84 82.07 Rabbit -6.23
11 Mike R.
12 Pulley
13 Scott
14 Babel

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692329.1%174.29370629370626118.8666122754674230.0%221.14685314685315141.2307692307692340.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.0%33.73426573426574141.186502354012700.3%80.5874125874126140.4300028819474212.4%127.44055944055944135.423037132429120.0%174.2937062937062696.50245532016561320.6%221.1468531468531590.7528590141027428.3%268.072.0523.6%314.853146853146883.37263525609552611.8%361.7062937062937112.383051292816573.3%408.5594405594406133.0622812789440880.5%455.41258741258747140.0473957318625790.0%502.2657342657343141.1638634492317410Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek5th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th77.0025641025641140.75739644970415210th142.2589743589743208.213017751479339th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479358th338.0282051282051163.2426035502958569th403.28461538461534185.727810650887678th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958588th533.7974358974359163.2426035502958598th599.053846153846163.24260355029585108th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958516th77.0025641025641118.2721893491124129th142.2589743589743185.7278106508876311th207.5153846153846230.698224852071411th272.77179487179484230.69822485207159th338.0282051282051185.727810650887669th403.28461538461534185.727810650887679th468.5410256410256185.727810650887689th533.7974358974359185.727810650887699th599.053846153846185.7278106508876105th11.74615384615384595.786982248520717th77.0025641025641140.75739644970415210th142.2589743589743208.213017751479339th207.5153846153846185.7278106508876410th272.77179487179484208.213017751479359th338.0282051282051185.7278106508876610th403.28461538461534208.213017751479378th468.5410256410256163.2426035502958589th533.7974358974359185.727810650887699th599.053846153846185.727810650887610Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
2
5
7
7
10

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.03 3 Aaron Jones RB
2.12 26 Robert Woods WR
3.03 31 Josh Jacobs RB
4.12 54 DeVonta Smith WR
5.03 59 Brandin Cooks WR
6.12 82 Jalen Hurts QB
7.03 87 Tyler Higbee TE
8.12 110 Jamaal Williams RB
9.03 115 Mike Davis K RB
10.12 138 A.J. Brown K WR
11.03 143 Justin Tucker K
12.12 166 David Johnson RB
13.03 171 A.J. Green WR
14.12 194 Gerald Everett TE
15.03 199 Sam Darnold QB
16.12 222 Carolina DEF

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.37071.66153846153847115.5927048985157920.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.000155.96923076923073141.2307692307692340.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.864240.2769230769230581.4318886956772760.000282.4307692307692141.2307692307692370.741324.5846153846153589.9550464309164180.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.000408.89230769230767141.23076923076923100.67529.50769230769230694.500730556377310.00071.6615384615384789.9546405662623620.189113.8153846153846128.172885715728830.621155.9692307692307398.2395557495688840.490198.12307692307692107.3081955798633450.000240.2769230769230521.6330081605853260.738282.430769230769290.1141453753075670.000324.5846153846153538.6793236310636180.294366.73846153846154120.8884269046777190.137408.89230769230767131.7298835439019310Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231574.60384615384615114.6035502958579920118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.3730769230769141.2307692307692340206.2576923076923141.23076923076923510250.1423076923076787.9763313609467460294.026923076923141.23076923076923713337.911538461538472.080381.79615384615386141.2307692307692390425.6807692307692141.2307692307692310930.71923076923076293.301775147928991074.6038461538461587.9763313609467423118.48846153846154125.2544378698224837162.3730769230769103.9526627218934942206.2576923076923130.5798816568047350250.1423076923076734.72189349112425611294.02692307692382.650887573964570337.91153846153842.769230769230773685381.79615384615386114.6035502958579993425.6807692307692125.2544378698224810All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2021 Ed 3-7 9th 100.37 0.512 15.43 6-8 8th
1 975 2010 Pulley 7-3 3rd 96.39 0.512 19.77 8-5 4th 5th place
2 975 2022 Matt 5-5 7th 100.66 0.516 23.39 6-8 11th
3 973 2011 Matt 5-5 7th 102.38 0.516 20.30 7-6 6th 2nd place
4 972 2023 Pat 4-6 10th 100.75 0.521 19.27 5-9 11th
5 972 2011 Ed 7-3 1st 101.86 0.506 20.01 9-4 1st 3rd place
6 970 2021 Kevin 5-5 8th 102.16 0.514 24.39 5-9 9th
7 970 2009 Allen 4-6 10th 99.45 0.524 16.60 6-7 7th
8 969 2012 Rob 2-8 12th 97.86 0.521 14.05 3-10 13th
9 969 2015 Mike R. 7-3 3rd 96.29 0.506 16.98 8-5 4th 6th place
10 964 2015 Schertz 7-3 2nd 100.31 0.503 24.70 9-4 2nd 2nd place