2014 Derrek (through 10 weeks)

4-6 (0.400), 878.10 points

12th place

3.70 expected wins (0.370)

44-86 all-play record (0.338)

+0.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 101.11 120.22 Rob -19.11
2 L 64.07 133.53 Pulley -69.46 Slapped Heartbeat
3 L 46.68 112.89 Rabbit -66.21 Slapped Heartbeat
4 W 124.36 97.37 Pat 26.99
5 L 63.74 70.04 Ed -6.30 Slapped Heartbeat
6 L 101.05 105.80 Richie -4.75
7 W 82.37 73.50 Dave 8.87
8 W 132.23 93.75 Kevin 38.48
9 L 68.29 100.76 Babel -32.47
10 W 94.20 85.66 Matt 8.54
11 Schertz
12 Mike R.
13 Allen

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%0123456789100.0%33.73426573426574141.2307692307692300.0%80.5874125874126141.2307692307692310.0%127.44055944055944141.2307692307692320.0%174.29370629370626141.23076923076923333.2%221.1468531468531572.040.0%268.0141.2307692307692350.0%314.8531468531468141.2307692307692360.0%361.7062937062937141.2307692307692370.0%408.5594405594406141.2307692307692380.0%455.41258741258747141.2307692307692390.0%502.2657342657343141.23076923076923100.1%33.73426573426574141.0567188898968701.8%80.5874125874126137.46721890386937112.1%127.44055944055944116.10593789845244229.5%174.2937062937062679.673704937051830.0%221.146853146853152.7692307692307736418.1%268.0103.4397182995056454.6%314.8531468531468131.5768654759751860.5%361.7062937062937140.1399377539883370.0%408.5594405594406141.1757000230430280.0%455.41258741258747141.2296741920852790.0%502.2657342657343141.2307653437461610Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st12345678910Rank by WeekWeek9th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th77.0025641025641253.18343195266272214th142.2589743589743298.15384615384613310th207.5153846153846208.2130177514793413th272.77179487179484275.6686390532544513th338.0282051282051275.6686390532544613th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272812th533.7974358974359253.18343195266272912th599.053846153846253.18343195266272109th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876113th77.0025641025641275.6686390532544214th142.2589743589743298.15384615384613313th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544413th272.77179487179484275.6686390532544514th338.0282051282051298.15384615384613613th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544712th468.5410256410256253.18343195266272813th533.7974358974359275.6686390532544912th599.053846153846253.18343195266272109th11.746153846153845185.7278106508876112th77.0025641025641253.18343195266272214th142.2589743589743298.15384615384613313th207.5153846153846275.6686390532544414th272.77179487179484298.15384615384613514th338.0282051282051298.15384615384613613th403.28461538461534275.6686390532544713th468.5410256410256275.6686390532544814th533.7974358974359298.15384615384613914th599.053846153846298.1538461538461310Expected WinsPlacePoints

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Adrian Peterson K RB
2.08 22 Larry Fitzgerald WR
3.07 35 Frank Gore RB
4.08 50 Roddy White WR
5.07 63 Golden Tate WR
6.08 78 Danny Amendola WR
7.07 91 Colin Kaepernick K QB
8.08 106 Kyle Rudolph TE
9.07 119 LeGarrette Blount RB
10.08 134 San Francisco DEF
11.07 147 Brandon LaFell WR
12.08 162 Ryan Tannehill QB
13.07 175 Jerick McKinnon RB
14.08 190 Robbie Gould K
15.07 203 Jerricho Cotchery WR
16.08 218 Jonathan Dwyer RB

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.000123456789100.00029.507692307692306141.2307692307692310.00071.66153846153847141.2307692307692320.000113.8153846153846141.2307692307692330.869155.9692307692307381.1015960402040440.000198.12307692307692141.2307692307692350.000240.27692307692305141.2307692307692360.236282.4307692307692124.910626799333370.920324.5846153846153577.5445982120309280.000366.73846153846154141.2307692307692390.422408.89230769230767112.0236123036517100.53629.507692307692306104.1141219253497610.04971.66153846153847137.820369715642220.004113.8153846153846140.9227991312692430.000155.9692307692307320.97242284963887540.046198.12307692307692138.0476539219152450.534240.27692307692305104.295949290368260.000282.4307692307692108.5904843678973770.000324.5846153846153513.85842719329261380.081366.73846153846154135.592984494166490.000408.8923076923076782.8164553765341710Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week0077131312345678910030.719230769230762141.230769230769231074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.23076923076923311162.373076923076982.650887573964540206.2576923076923141.2307692307692350250.14230769230767141.2307692307692367294.026923076923103.95266272189349711337.911538461538482.650887573964580381.79615384615386141.2307692307692394425.6807692307692119.9289940828402310530.719230769230762114.603550295857991074.60384615384615141.2307692307692320118.48846153846154141.2307692307692330162.373076923076924.07100591715975240206.2576923076923141.2307692307692354250.14230769230767119.9289940828402360294.02692307692366.6745562130177570337.911538461538424.07100591715975282381.79615384615386130.5798816568047390425.680769230769298.6272189349112410All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2014 Derrek 4-6 12th 87.81 0.370 26.36 5-8 12th
1 984 2013 Richie 5-5 8th 87.15 0.367 21.82 6-7 10th
2 966 2023 Scott 5-5 9th 90.92 0.375 20.74 8-6 7th
3 964 2014 Allen 4-6 11th 88.69 0.364 16.03 6-7 10th
4 960 2008 Matt 1-9 12th 83.76 0.368 15.79 3-10 12th
5 959 2021 Pulley 2-8 11th 90.11 0.363 16.69 5-9 10th
6 957 2016 Pat 6-4 5th 89.05 0.359 18.07 7-6 7th
7 952 2014 Richie 3-7 14th 88.77 0.353 20.68 6-7 9th
8 952 2020 Pat 4-6 12th 90.14 0.359 18.12 5-8 12th
9 951 2022 Richie 4-6 12th 88.83 0.361 12.89 6-8 13th
10 950 2011 Pulley 4-6 10th 90.97 0.361 16.04 5-8 10th