2020 Pat (through 4 weeks)

3-1 (0.750), 412.54 points

4th place

1.79 expected wins (0.448)

25-27 all-play record (0.481)

-47.7% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.57 112.71 Richie -3.14
2 W 128.02 82.27 Matt 45.75
3 W 82.96 74.29 Kevin 8.67
4 W 91.99 90.53 Babel 1.46
5 Scott
6 Derrek
7 Pulley
8 Rabbit
9 Dave
10 Ed
11 Mike R.
12 Rob
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.2307692307692310.0%268.00000000000006141.23076923076923217.5%371.0769230769231113.9244193672417530.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692345.4%61.846153846153854132.7544036867182031.0%164.9230769230769392.84569341369064144.3%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.076923076923186.6180695037142831.8%474.1538461538462138.40976113216464Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd207.515384615384650.816568047337284210th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793311th599.053846153846230.69822485207148th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041527th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041534th599.05384615384673.3017751479289946th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124114th207.515384615384673.3017751479289929th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876311th599.053846153846230.6982248520714Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Julio Jones WR
2.07 21 Chris Carson RB
3.08 36 Le'Veon Bell RB
4.07 49 David Montgomery RB
5.08 64 Evan Engram TE
6.07 77 Matt Ryan QB
7.08 92 Nick Chubb K RB
8.07 105 Jordan Howard RB
9.08 120 Mecole Hardman WR
10.07 133 Chase Edmonds RB
11.08 148 Darrell Henderson, Jr. RB
12.07 161 Hollywood Brown K WR
13.08 176 Adrian Peterson RB
14.07 189 Buffalo DEF
15.08 204 Drew Lock QB
16.07 217 Younghoe Koo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.790166.507692307692386.557756344115520.141271.89230769230767131.4918439242963230.278377.276923076923121.9572714711421240.58461.12307692307692100.8084760774353610.000166.507692307692331.8847434574617820.000271.89230769230767121.7529186178234130.000377.276923076923102.683773711515024Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.23076923076923112173.3442307692307677.3254437869822522283.0557692307692130.5798816568047333392.76730769230767125.254437869822484863.632692307692398.6272189349112410173.3442307692307613.4201183431952720283.0557692307692119.9289940828402330392.76730769230767109.278106508875744All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Pat 3-1 4th 103.14 0.448 17.26 5-8 12th
1 988 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.447 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
2 981 2020 Babel 2-2 9th 101.98 0.448 10.80 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 969 2011 Dave 1-3 11th 101.35 0.440 13.84 3-10 12th
4 963 2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.466 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
5 961 2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.446 11.80 6-8 8th
6 959 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.456 18.27 6-7 7th
7 954 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.455 19.33 6-7 7th
8 948 2019 Scott 1-3 12th 96.00 0.455 22.37 4-9 14th
9 947 2012 Pulley 1-3 10th 93.00 0.444 15.26 4-9 12th
10 946 2018 Scott 2-2 9th 105.81 0.465 21.66 6-7 8th