2020 Pat (through 4 weeks)

3-1 (0.750), 412.54 points (103.14 average)

4th place

1.79 expected wins (0.448)

25-27 all-play record (0.481)

-48.2% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 L 109.57 112.71 Richie -3.14
2 W 128.02 82.27 Matt 45.75
3 W 82.96 74.29 Kevin 8.67
4 W 91.99 90.53 Babel 1.46
5 Scott
6 Derrek
7 Pulley
8 Rabbit
9 Dave
10 Ed
11 Mike R.
12 Rob
13 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%10.0%10.0%20.0%20.0%30.0%30.0%40.0%40.0%012340.0%61.846153846153854141.2307692307692300.0%164.92307692307693141.2307692307692310.0%268.00000000000006141.23076923076923217.4%371.0769230769231113.8936450469651630.0%474.1538461538462141.2307692307692345.4%61.846153846153854132.79339637390223031.2%164.9230769230769392.39426645774226144.2%268.0000000000000672.020.0%371.076923076923186.556520863161131.8%474.1538461538462138.36568839086024Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st1234Rank by WeekWeek6th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124113rd207.515384615384650.816568047337284210th403.28461538461534208.2130177514793311th599.053846153846230.69822485207148th11.746153846153845163.2426035502958517th207.5153846153846140.7573964497041527th403.28461538461534140.7573964497041534th599.05384615384673.3017751479289946th11.746153846153845118.2721893491124114th207.515384615384673.3017751479289929th403.28461538461534185.7278106508876311th599.053846153846230.6982248520714Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
3

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.08 8 Julio Jones WR
2.07 21 Chris Carson RB
3.08 36 Le'Veon Bell RB
4.07 49 David Montgomery RB
5.08 64 Evan Engram TE
6.07 77 Matt Ryan QB
7.08 92 Nick Chubb K RB
8.07 105 Jordan Howard RB
9.08 120 Mecole Hardman WR
10.07 133 Chase Edmonds RB
11.08 148 Darrell Henderson, Jr. RB
12.07 161 Hollywood Brown K WR
13.08 176 Adrian Peterson RB
14.07 189 Buffalo DEF
15.08 204 Drew Lock QB
16.07 217 Younghoe Koo K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.00012340.00061.12307692307692141.2307692307692310.795166.507692307692386.1723273631200320.144271.89230769230767131.263015173151330.278377.276923076923121.9887961251102740.57461.12307692307692101.4590198174558110.000166.507692307692331.1138854954708420.000271.89230769230767121.2952611155333630.000377.276923076923102.74682301945134Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week007713131234063.6326923076923141.23076923076923112173.3442307692307677.3254437869822522283.0557692307692130.5798816568047333392.76730769230767125.254437869822484863.632692307692398.6272189349112410173.3442307692307613.4201183431952720283.0557692307692119.9289940828402330392.76730769230767109.278106508875744All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2020 Pat 3-1 4th 103.14 0.448 17.26 5-8 12th
1 986 2011 Matt 2-2 8th 100.72 0.446 17.55 7-6 6th 2nd place
2 977 2020 Babel 2-2 9th 101.98 0.445 10.80 8-5 3rd 3rd place
3 966 2020 Derrek 2-2 8th 103.30 0.464 18.13 8-5 5th 5th place
4 964 2011 Dave 1-3 11th 101.35 0.437 13.84 3-10 12th
5 962 2019 Rabbit 2-2 8th 97.32 0.454 18.27 6-7 7th
6 959 2021 Ed 1-3 11th 97.07 0.445 11.80 6-8 8th
7 954 2019 Scott 1-3 12th 96.00 0.452 22.37 4-9 14th
8 952 2012 Dave 2-2 7th 96.07 0.456 19.33 6-7 7th
9 946 2009 Mike R. 1-3 10th 94.38 0.450 9.86 5-8 10th
10 942 2011 Derrek 2-2 7th 101.92 0.431 27.39 8-5 3rd 6th place