2025 Pat

4-5 (0.444), 817.04 points (90.78 average)

10th place

3.53 expected wins (0.392)

48-69 all-play record (0.410)

-22.1% strength of schedule

Week W/L PF PA Opponent Margin
1 W 91.43 84.46 Ed 6.97
2 W 98.05 33.06 Richie 64.99
3 L 128.99 130.88 Scott -1.89
4 L 72.03 86.80 Kevin -14.77
5 W 134.30 67.92 Babel 66.38
6 L 59.19 141.42 Rabbit -82.23 Slapped Heartbeat
7 L 55.01 88.58 Pulley -33.57 Slapped Heartbeat
8 L 84.15 86.67 Dave -2.52
9 W 93.89 93.37 Derrek 0.52
10 Mike R.
11 Rob
12 Ed
13 Matt
14 Schertz

Expected Win Distribution:

Expected Win Distribution0.0%0.0%8.0%8.0%16.0%16.0%24.0%24.0%32.0%32.0%01234567890.0%49.53846153846153141.2307692307692300.0%120.30769230769232141.2307692307692310.0%191.07692307692307141.2307692307692320.0%261.8461538461538141.23076923076923331.5%332.615384615384674.564513379011940.0%403.38461538461536141.2307692307692350.0%474.15384615384613141.2307692307692360.0%544.9230769230769141.2307692307692370.0%615.6923076923078141.2307692307692380.0%686.4615384615386141.2307692307692390.1%49.53846153846153141.0436834734895502.2%120.30769230769232136.63886407627183115.1%191.07692307692307109.21906682426538232.7%261.846153846153872.030.0%332.61538461538467.898257527254572414.8%403.38461538461536109.839775952125553.3%474.15384615384613134.213909360729760.3%544.9230769230769140.5789307774062470.0%615.6923076923078141.2111269189973780.0%686.4615384615386141.230590847347179Expected Win DistributionWins

Season Trajectory

Rank by Week14th14th13th13th12th12th11th11th10th10th9th9th8th8th7th7th6th6th5th5th4th4th3rd3rd2nd2nd1st1st123456789Rank by WeekWeek8th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th85.15961538461536230.69822485207124th158.573076923076973.3017751479289936th231.98653846153846118.2721893491124144th305.473.3017751479289959th378.8134615384615185.7278106508876610th452.226923076923208.2130177514793711th525.6403846153845230.698224852071811th599.053846153846230.69822485207197th11.746153846153845140.7573964497041514th85.1596153846153673.3017751479289924th158.573076923076973.3017751479289937th231.98653846153846140.7573964497041544th305.473.3017751479289958th378.8134615384615163.24260355029585610th452.226923076923208.2130177514793712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272810th599.053846153846208.213017751479398th11.746153846153845163.24260355029585111th85.15961538461536230.69822485207124th158.573076923076973.3017751479289939th231.98653846153846185.727810650887645th305.495.786982248520759th378.8134615384615185.7278106508876612th452.226923076923253.18343195266272712th525.6403846153845253.18343195266272811th599.053846153846230.6982248520719Expected WinsPlacePoints

Trades

Week Traded for Traded away
6

Draft Picks

Pick Overall Player Position
1.07 7 Derrick Henry K RB
2.08 22 Mike Evans WR
3.07 35 Malik Nabers K WR
4.08 50 D'Andre Swift RB
5.07 63 David Montgomery RB
6.08 78 David Njoku TE
7.07 91 Caleb Williams QB
8.08 106 Rashid Shaheed WR
9.07 119 Trevor Lawrence QB
10.08 134 Joshua Palmer WR
11.07 147 Dalton Kincaid TE
12.08 162 Nick Chubb RB
13.07 175 Justice Hill RB
14.08 190 Detroit DEF
15.07 203 Kyle Monangai RB
16.08 218 Cam Little K

Keepers

Expected Wins by Week0.0000.0000.5000.5001.0001.0001234567890.38246.379487179487185114.79027531598810.488114.58461538461539107.446581481220920.000182.78974358974358141.2307692307692330.000250.99487179487176141.2307692307692340.934319.2000000000000576.5473678393489550.000387.4051282051282141.2307692307692360.000455.61025641025645141.2307692307692370.000523.8153846153846141.2307692307692380.438592.0205128205127110.9229000560747190.00046.37948717948718588.3497814012067710.000114.5846153846153973.662393731672620.882182.7897435897435880.1696371136184530.117250.99487179487176133.1220815404238440.000319.2000000000000511.86396644792867550.026387.4051282051282139.4341478750575660.017455.61025641025645140.0524953921497570.242523.8153846153846124.4644152689281880.000592.020512820512780.615030881380199Expected Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game
All-Play Wins by Week00771313123456789647.687179487179485109.2781065088757416117.8153846153846109.2781065088757420187.9435897435897141.2307692307692330258.07179487179485141.23076923076923412328.277.3254437869822550398.32820512820507141.2307692307692360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692370538.5846153846154141.2307692307692387608.7128205128206103.952662721893499047.68717948717948577.3254437869822510117.815384615384677.32544378698225212187.943589743589777.3254437869822531258.07179487179485135.9053254437869840328.213.4201183431952750398.32820512820507141.2307692307692360468.45641025641015141.2307692307692374538.5846153846154119.9289940828402380608.712820512820666.674556213017759All-Play Wins by WeekWeekWon gameLost game

Most Similar Seasons

Score Record Place Avg. Exp. % SD Final Record Final Place Playoff Finish
2025 Pat 4-5 10th 90.78 0.392 26.01
1 964 2014 Kevin 2-7 14th 91.39 0.400 17.41 4-9 14th
2 961 2013 Pat 4-5 10th 90.57 0.401 16.23 5-8 12th
3 953 2019 Richie 3-6 12th 94.47 0.383 18.66 5-8 12th
4 944 2021 Pulley 2-7 10th 92.98 0.379 15.07 5-9 10th
5 941 2010 Kevin 2-7 11th 87.50 0.405 16.19 5-8 10th
6 940 2014 Richie 3-6 11th 89.47 0.369 21.69 6-7 9th
7 937 2016 Richie 4-5 12th 90.80 0.368 17.89 5-8 12th
8 937 2020 Derrek 4-5 11th 93.15 0.415 22.64 8-5 5th 5th place
9 936 2008 Mike R. 2-7 11th 84.71 0.378 19.30 5-8 8th
10 935 2021 Pat 1-8 13th 94.67 0.406 15.29 3-11 12th